Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Capital Markets

Didi Chuxing is the dominant ride-hailing platform in one of the world’s most compelling markets for shared mobility. It is a global leader in some respects (number of active users, drivers, and transactions) and its IPO could represent the second-largest China IPO in the US trailing only eCommerce giant Alibaba Group. We value Didi Chuxing at $63/share (the ADR exchange has not yet been announced) which implies a pre-IPO equity value for the entire company of $70bn. This report includes full financial forecasts, valuation, a summary of investment highlights and a list of questions we would ask on the roadshow.

Didi Chuxing is the dominant ride-hailing platform in one of the world’s most compelling markets for shared mobility. It is a global leader in some respects (number of active users, drivers, and transactions) and its IPO could represent the second-largest China IPO in the US trailing only eCommerce giant Alibaba Group. We value Didi Chuxing at $63/share (the ADR exchange has not yet been announced) which implies a pre-IPO equity value for the entire company of $70bn. This report includes full financial forecasts, valuation, a summary of investment highlights and a list of questions we would ask on the roadshow.

Didi Chuxing and Softbank - Long Awaited IPO of China’s Mobility Giant Worth $70bn

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

In our weekly HK Connect Flow series, we aim to highlight key stocks and sectors which the mainland investors traded via the southbound Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine.Since the opening of Hong Kong Connect scheme in 2014, southbound Chinese money started to play an increasingly important role in the Hong Kong stock market. In a Hong Kong exchange report released in July 2019, the exchange highlighted that flows from mainland China accounted for 12% of the total trading volume in the market and is ahead of the US investors' 10% and UK investors' 7% share respectively. We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: HSCEI component stocks, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.In this insight, we will highlight inflows into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a> , as well as outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> .

In our weekly HK Connect Flow series, we aim to highlight key stocks and sectors which the mainland investors traded via the southbound Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine.Since the opening of Hong Kong Connect scheme in 2014, southbound Chinese money started to play an increasingly important role in the Hong Kong stock market. In a Hong Kong exchange report released in July 2019, the exchange highlighted that flows from mainland China accounted for 12% of the total trading volume in the market and is ahead of the US investors' 10% and UK investors' 7% share respectively. We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: HSCEI component stocks, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.In this insight, we will highlight inflows into Geely Auto (175 HK) , as well as outflows from Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) and Meituan (3690 HK) .

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Geely Inflows, and Xiaomi Meituan Outflows

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ganfeng-lithium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26795:1" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$628m to fund its capacity expansion plans and for potential investment. 
We have covered the H-shares listing in 2018, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ganfeng-lithium-ipo-falling-lithium-prices-weigh-on-the-leading-producer" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:24529" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium IPO (赣锋锂业): Falling Lithium Prices Weigh on the Leading Producer</a> and the Sep 2020 placement in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ganfeng-lithium-placement-momentum-play" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium Placement - Momentum Play.</a>
</div><div>In this note, we talk about the updates since then and run the deal through our ECM Framework.</div>


Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK) aims to raise around US$628m to fund its capacity expansion plans and for potential investment. 
We have covered the H-shares listing in 2018, Ganfeng Lithium IPO (赣锋锂业): Falling Lithium Prices Weigh on the Leading Producer and the Sep 2020 placement in Ganfeng Lithium Placement - Momentum Play.
In this note, we talk about the updates since then and run the deal through our ECM Framework.

Ganfeng Lithium Placement - Recent Momentum Has Been Weakening, Last Deal Did Exceptionally Well

Sona Blw Precision Forgings Lt / Equity Capital Markets

Sona Comstar (Sona) aims to raise around US$761m in its Indian IPO. The company is backed by Blackstone, which held a 66.2% stake prior to listing.Sona is an automotive technology company, designing, manufacturing and supplying highly engineered, mission critical automotive systems and components to automotive OEMs across US, Europe, India and China, for both electrified and non-electrified powertrain segments.Sona delivered a steady performance in 2019 with revenue up 16.6% and PAT up 24.1%. However, its revenue fell by 14.5% in FY20, although it still managed to grow its PAT by 4%. It registered a strong bounce bank in FY21 with 28.4% revenue growth but PAT was flat.While the company enjoys a long customer relationship, its largest customers haven’t consistently grown their contribution to revenue over the past few years.We have covered the deal background in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sona-comstar-pre-ipo-inconsistent-growth-patchy-disclosures" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sona Comstar Pre-IPO - Inconsistent growth, patchy disclosures. </a>In this note, we will talk about the recent updates and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Sona Comstar (Sona) aims to raise around US$761m in its Indian IPO. The company is backed by Blackstone, which held a 66.2% stake prior to listing.Sona is an automotive technology company, designing, manufacturing and supplying highly engineered, mission critical automotive systems and components to automotive OEMs across US, Europe, India and China, for both electrified and non-electrified powertrain segments.Sona delivered a steady performance in 2019 with revenue up 16.6% and PAT up 24.1%. However, its revenue fell by 14.5% in FY20, although it still managed to grow its PAT by 4%. It registered a strong bounce bank in FY21 with 28.4% revenue growth but PAT was flat.While the company enjoys a long customer relationship, its largest customers haven’t consistently grown their contribution to revenue over the past few years.We have covered the deal background in our earlier note, Sona Comstar Pre-IPO - Inconsistent growth, patchy disclosures. In this note, we will talk about the recent updates and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Sona Comstar - Has Its Positives, but We Remain Unconvinced

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Nexteer's share price was plagued by the auto chip shortage that causes its share price to fall from HKD 14to 7, a fall of 50% in the span of 3 months, presenting an excellent opportunity to add or initiate a position in the portfolio due to 1) the ending of the chip shortage is near thus auto-related stocks will benefit from the positive sentiment thus multiples will be higher and 2) the management has confirmed that 2H 2021 will have much bigger revenue (around 9x) although the reality could be different, nevertheless, it presents growth potential for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexteer-automotive-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15483:1" rel="noopener">Nexteer Automotive (1316 HK)</a> .

Nexteer's share price was plagued by the auto chip shortage that causes its share price to fall from HKD 14to 7, a fall of 50% in the span of 3 months, presenting an excellent opportunity to add or initiate a position in the portfolio due to 1) the ending of the chip shortage is near thus auto-related stocks will benefit from the positive sentiment thus multiples will be higher and 2) the management has confirmed that 2H 2021 will have much bigger revenue (around 9x) although the reality could be different, nevertheless, it presents growth potential for Nexteer Automotive (1316 HK) .

Nexteer (1316): Positive Sentiment and Exciting 2H 2021

Hong Kong

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited operates as a passenger vehicles manufacturing company. The Company provides passenger vehicles development, manufacturing, sales, and other services. Geely Automobile Holdings also exports passenger vehicles.

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Geely Auto (175 HK)

Didi Chuxing and Softbank - Long Awaited IPO of China’s Mobility Giant Worth $70bn

This report includes full financial forecasts/valuation, the investment case top down and bottom-up,, Uber comps and a list of questions we would...

Kirk Boodry

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Geely Inflows, and Xiaomi Meituan Outflows

We highlight weekly Hong Kong Connect inflows into Geely (175 HK) and outflows from Xiaomi (1810 HK) and Meituan (3690 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ganfeng Lithium Placement - Recent Momentum Has Been Weakening, Last Deal Did Exceptionally Well

Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK) aims to raise around US$628m to fund its capacity expansion plans and for potential investment.

Sumeet Singh

Sona Comstar - Has Its Positives, but We Remain Unconvinced

Sona Comstar aims to raise around US$761m in its Indian IPO. The company is backed by Blackstone, which held a 66.2% stake prior to listing.

Sumeet Singh

Nexteer (1316): Positive Sentiment and Exciting 2H 2021

Nexteer's share price was plagued by the auto chip shortage as its share price fell 50% in the span of 3 months, presenting an excellent...

Henry Soediarko

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