Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short notional in Hong Kong is HK$335bn and has been falling over the last 12 months due to a drop in the market.</li>
<li>In terms of short notional to marketcap, the Materials, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Utilities, Real Estate sectors are most shorted while the least shorted are Information Technology, Communication Services, Energy.</li>
<li>The largest shorts have been built on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (1398)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wharf-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:51:1" rel="noopener">Wharf Holdings (4)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Short notional in Hong Kong is HK$335bn and has been falling over the last 12 months due to a drop in the market.
In terms of short notional to marketcap, the Materials, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Utilities, Real Estate sectors are most shorted while the least shorted are Information Technology, Communication Services, Energy.
The largest shorts have been built on BYD (1211), XPeng (9868), ICBC (1398), Xiaomi (1810), Link REIT (823), JD.com (9618), Wharf Holdings (4) and New World Development (17). 


Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>US-Led tech chain may push for AI phone features, which itself is a great strategy to pull the tech industry out of doldrums. It will pressure Huawei, in our opinion;</li>
<li>We believe there are other stories unfolding in the AI era, including availability of AI killer apps, the rivalry between super apps and OS vendors, and the growing China/Ex-China chasm.</li>
<li>Our Top Pick is Tencent and Kuaishou. We maintain Xiaomi at SELL.</li>
</ul>


US-Led tech chain may push for AI phone features, which itself is a great strategy to pull the tech industry out of doldrums. It will pressure Huawei, in our opinion;
We believe there are other stories unfolding in the AI era, including availability of AI killer apps, the rivalry between super apps and OS vendors, and the growing China/Ex-China chasm.
Our Top Pick is Tencent and Kuaishou. We maintain Xiaomi at SELL.


[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

BrainBees Solutions / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainbees-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36115:1" rel="noopener">FirstCry</a> is looking to raise up to US$700m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>FirstCry is India’s largest multi-channel retailing platform for Mothers’, Babies’ and Kids’ products in terms of GMV, for the year ending Dec 2022 (9M23), according to RedSeer.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



FirstCry is looking to raise up to US$700m in its upcoming India IPO.
FirstCry is India’s largest multi-channel retailing platform for Mothers’, Babies’ and Kids’ products in terms of GMV, for the year ending Dec 2022 (9M23), according to RedSeer.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Not All of It Fits Together

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (GUM HK)</a> (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Guming Holdings (Guming) is a maker of freshly-made beverages in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Guming Holdings (Guming) is a maker of freshly-made beverages in China.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Growth Sustainability Remains a Question Mark

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> now aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its US IPO. Proceeds from the listing will be used to pay down debt to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta-</a>led consortium.</li>
<li>Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) now aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its US IPO. Proceeds from the listing will be used to pay down debt to the Anta-led consortium.
Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Amer Sports IPO - Deal Updates and Thoughts on Valuation

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?

HK Short notional HK$335bn and has been falling over the last year due to a drop in the market. There are stocks where shorts have risen over the...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Not All of It Fits Together

FirstCry is looking to raise up to US$700m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Growth Sustainability Remains a Question Mark

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive...

Clarence Chu

Amer Sports IPO - Deal Updates and Thoughts on Valuation

Amer Sports (AS US) now aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its US IPO. Proceeds from the listing will be used to pay down debt to the Anta-led...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?

HK Short notional HK$335bn and has been falling over the last year due to a drop in the market. There are stocks where shorts have risen over the...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: What Does AI Phone Bring to the Tech Competition?

​US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Not All of It Fits Together

FirstCry is looking to raise up to US$700m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Growth Sustainability Remains a Question Mark

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive...

Clarence Chu

Amer Sports IPO - Deal Updates and Thoughts on Valuation

Amer Sports (AS US) now aims to raise up to US$1.8bn in its US IPO. Proceeds from the listing will be used to pay down debt to the Anta-led...

Sumeet Singh

US-led tech chain may drive AI phone features, boosting the industry and pressuring Huawei. Other AI trends include killer apps, super app...