Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Oct)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile, CCB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile, CCB.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.</li>
<li>Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.
Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.


Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 3rd): Tencent, Anta, Hang Seng Bank

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD, Horizonrobot, Meituan, Jd, Kuaishou, Bidu, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD, Horizonrobot, Meituan, Jd, Kuaishou, Bidu, BYD.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Oct)

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Europe EURO $STOXX 50 Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan $EWT, China $MCHI, Korea $EWY, and the U.S. $SPX; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 3rd): Tencent, Anta, Hang Seng Bank

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Sep 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (6 Oct)

​Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Europe EURO $STOXX 50 Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan $EWT, China $MCHI, Korea $EWY, and the U.S. $SPX; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 3rd): Tencent, Anta, Hang Seng Bank

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Sep): Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Sep 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Kuaishou, HORIZON ROBOTICS, JD.COM, BIDU, MEITUAN, BYD,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.