Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sunwoda Electronic Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.</li>
<li>Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.
Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500


Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Tekscend Photomask / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a> (TP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) (TP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.
TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Tekscend Photomask IPO - The Negatives - Market Share

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Pref spread looks stretched near 21–22%, likely a pullback soon. Structural re-rate needs a major Samsung narrative shift.</li>
<li>A surprise Samsung special dividend could pivot the pref discount; H2 FCF, Q3 prelims, and lighter capex are the key swing factors.</li>
<li>Expect a short-term pullback; but still stay cautious. Watch the memory upcycle and consider a discount-narrowing trade around late September.</li>
</ul>


Pref spread looks stretched near 21–22%, likely a pullback soon. Structural re-rate needs a major Samsung narrative shift.
A surprise Samsung special dividend could pivot the pref discount; H2 FCF, Q3 prelims, and lighter capex are the key swing factors.
Expect a short-term pullback; but still stay cautious. Watch the memory upcycle and consider a discount-narrowing trade around late September.


Timing a Structural Pivot in Samsung's Max Stretched Pref Discount: Potential Special Dividend

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a> (TP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) (TP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.
TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Tekscend Photomask IPO - The Positives - Strong Market Position

Victory Giant Technology -A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/victory-giant-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25395:1" rel="noopener">Victory Giant Technology -A (300476 CH)</a> (VG) aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>VG is one of the global leaders in advanced printed circuit boards (PCB) products for AI and high-performance computing.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Victory Giant Technology -A (300476 CH) (VG) aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
VG is one of the global leaders in advanced printed circuit boards (PCB) products for AI and high-performance computing.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Victory Giant A/H Listing - Riding the AI Wave

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact. Actionable Themes: Communications, Manufacturing (Robotics and Batteries),...

Vermilion Research

Timing a Structural Pivot in Samsung's Max Stretched Pref Discount: Potential Special Dividend

This post explores the timing of a structural pivot in Samsung’s max-stretched preferred share discount, factoring in the potential for a special...

Sanghyun Park

Tekscend Photomask IPO - The Positives - Strong Market Position

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) (TP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.

Sumeet Singh

Victory Giant A/H Listing - Riding the AI Wave

Victory Giant Technology -A (300476 CH) (VG) aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we look at the company's past...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact. Actionable Themes: Communications, Manufacturing (Robotics and Batteries),...

Vermilion Research

Tekscend Photomask IPO - The Negatives - Market Share

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Timing a Structural Pivot in Samsung's Max Stretched Pref Discount: Potential Special Dividend

This post explores the timing of a structural pivot in Samsung’s max-stretched preferred share discount, factoring in the potential for a special...

Sanghyun Park

Tekscend Photomask IPO - The Positives - Strong Market Position

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) (TP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.

Sumeet Singh

Victory Giant A/H Listing - Riding the AI Wave

Victory Giant Technology -A (300476 CH) (VG) aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we look at the company's past...

Sumeet Singh