Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A quick synoptic look at the tactical models for some key indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week July 7 - July 11.</li>
<li>Since our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/global-markets-tactical-outlook-week-of-june-30-july-4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Global Markets WEEKLY Tactical Outlook published last week</a>, US markets became even more overbought by the end of the week, while some Asian  stocks started to pull back. </li>
<li>Stocks are falling on Monday, the Trump administration is threatening imposing 25% tariffs on a number of nations (including Japan and South Korea), <strong>global markets may close the week down.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


A quick synoptic look at the tactical models for some key indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week July 7 - July 11.
Since our Global Markets WEEKLY Tactical Outlook published last week, US markets became even more overbought by the end of the week, while some Asian  stocks started to pull back. 
Stocks are falling on Monday, the Trump administration is threatening imposing 25% tariffs on a number of nations (including Japan and South Korea), global markets may close the week down.



Global Markets WEEKLY Tactical Outlook: July 7 to July 11

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> ended on 30 June, the changes will be announced on 22 August and implemented on 5 September.</li>
<li>No constituent changes will result in a one-way turnover of 4.1% and that will mean a round-trip trade of HK$15.2bn (US$1.94bn).</li>
<li>An expansion of the index universe could lead to one constituent change and that increases the one-way turnover to 6.2% and the round-trip trade to HK$23.1bn (US$2.94bn).</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the Hang Seng TECH Index ended on 30 June, the changes will be announced on 22 August and implemented on 5 September.
No constituent changes will result in a one-way turnover of 4.1% and that will mean a round-trip trade of HK$15.2bn (US$1.94bn).
An expansion of the index universe could lead to one constituent change and that increases the one-way turnover to 6.2% and the round-trip trade to HK$23.1bn (US$2.94bn).


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Universe Expansion Could Lead to One Change

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit, Asmpt.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit, Asmpt.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jun): BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining.


HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), BYD (1211 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK), BYD (1211 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): Inflows Accelerated, Xiaomi/Tencent Profit Taking Continued

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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BYD (1211 HK)

Global Markets WEEKLY Tactical Outlook: July 7 to July 11

Global markets may close the week down as US markets became very overbought and stocks started to pull back globally, while the Trump...

Nico Rosti

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Universe Expansion Could Lead to One Change

Horizon Robotics' FAF increase will result in big passive buying. An expansion of the index universe could lead to one constituent change with...

Brian Freitas

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jun): BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit, Asmpt.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): Inflows Accelerated, Xiaomi/Tencent Profit Taking Continued

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Markets WEEKLY Tactical Outlook: July 7 to July 11

​Global markets may close the week down as US markets became very overbought and stocks started to pull back globally, while the Trump...

Nico Rosti

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Universe Expansion Could Lead to One Change

Horizon Robotics' FAF increase will result in big passive buying. An expansion of the index universe could lead to one constituent change with...

Brian Freitas

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jun): BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in BYD, Ntes, Kuaishou, Lenovo, Li Auto, Horizonrobot, China Lit, Asmpt.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Ntes, Meituan, Bidu, CCB, ICBC, Beigene, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (June): Inflows Accelerated, Xiaomi/Tencent Profit Taking Continued

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), CCB (939 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global markets may close the week down as US markets became very overbought and stocks started to pull back globally, while the Trump...