Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<p>21Vianet, a leading China carrier-neutral and cloud-neutral data center player, is raising up to USD 367 million via a placement. In this insight, we will look at the company's fundamentals and provide our thoughts on the deal. We like the data center business and the visibility of VNET's earnings. </p>

21Vianet, a leading China carrier-neutral and cloud-neutral data center player, is raising up to USD 367 million via a placement. In this insight, we will look at the company's fundamentals and provide our thoughts on the deal. We like the data center business and the visibility of VNET's earnings. 

21Vianet Placement: Data Center as Scarce Resource

Global TMT analyst with Asia ex-Japan focus.

Mitchell Kim

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul type="disc">
<li>
<strong>In this report, we highlight the best money making ideas by identifying the winners and the losers of the sectors in the 5G value chain. </strong>For investors looking for 5G thematic ideas, we provide a snapshot of the sectors in the 5G value chain.  To distill our ideas, we focus on three positive factors: 1) does 5G generate new customers or revenue sources? 2) does it lead to market share changes? And 3) are the sectors in the upward cycle still in play? </li>
<li>
<strong>The sectors we like in the 5G context are Internet technology platforms, smartphones/devices, 5G infrastructure vendors, PCB and small cell technology providers, and selective telecom operators. </strong>We are bullish on Southeast Asian telcos but bearish on North Asian telcos.  </li>
</ul><ul type="disc"><li>
<strong>Our contrarian buys in the telecom sector are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/globe-telecom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1926:1" rel="noopener">Globe Telecom (GLO PM)</a>.</strong> They operate in markets with low fixed broadband penetration and weak incumbent fixed broadband operators.  5G FWA (fixed wireless access) will allow these operators to expand fixed broadband penetration and also gain market share.  </li></ul><ul type="disc">
<li>
<strong>Avoid North Asia telecom operators.</strong> North Asian telecom stocks languished because they did not generate sufficient returns on 3G and 4G. 5G is no different.    </li>
<li>
<strong>5G provides low priced smartphone maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> another opportunity to gain market share as did 4G</strong>, but it will not lead to total handset shipment growth for top brands, in our view. </li>
<li>
<strong>The best time to take a position in telecom equipment vendors is pre-launch and in the first two years of the new generation technology launch</strong>. <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zte-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6922:1" rel="noopener">Zte Corp H (763 HK)</a></strong> is trading below its 10-year mean P/E.  </li>
</ul><hr><div class="content-highlight">
<h2>What’s Original?</h2>
<p>We set out in this report to be different from others by avoiding a menu of stocks and the size of the markets in the 5G ecosystem and, instead, recommend several key thematic ideas distilled by analyzing more in-depth the drivers of three key sectors to determine where the market is overly bullish or overlooking the opportunities or where the 5G factor has not yet been priced-in. </p>
<ul>
<li>We analyzed the stock price performances of these sectors to review how they behaved during the 4G deployment to ascertain how they may react to 5G.</li>
<li>We conducted a proprietary analysis of the size of the potential revenue from billions of IoT connections that the industry is touting in the long term.</li>
<li>We provide a RoIC analysis of the Chinese telecom operators' 3G/4G investments to better understand why the Chinese telecom operators invest less in 5G than the figures promoted by the governments or the industry research firms.   </li>
<li>We compare our Capex forecasts with the industry projection to assess the opportunities and risks. </li>
</ul>
</div>



In this report, we highlight the best money making ideas by identifying the winners and the losers of the sectors in the 5G value chain. For investors looking for 5G thematic ideas, we provide a snapshot of the sectors in the 5G value chain.  To distill our ideas, we focus on three positive factors: 1) does 5G generate new customers or revenue sources? 2) does it lead to market share changes? And 3) are the sectors in the upward cycle still in play? 

The sectors we like in the 5G context are Internet technology platforms, smartphones/devices, 5G infrastructure vendors, PCB and small cell technology providers, and selective telecom operators. We are bullish on Southeast Asian telcos but bearish on North Asian telcos.  

Our contrarian buys in the telecom sector are Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) and Globe Telecom (GLO PM). They operate in markets with low fixed broadband penetration and weak incumbent fixed broadband operators.  5G FWA (fixed wireless access) will allow these operators to expand fixed broadband penetration and also gain market share.  

Avoid North Asia telecom operators. North Asian telecom stocks languished because they did not generate sufficient returns on 3G and 4G. 5G is no different.    

5G provides low priced smartphone maker Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) another opportunity to gain market share as did 4G, but it will not lead to total handset shipment growth for top brands, in our view. 

The best time to take a position in telecom equipment vendors is pre-launch and in the first two years of the new generation technology launch. Zte Corp H (763 HK) is trading below its 10-year mean P/E.  

What’s Original?
We set out in this report to be different from others by avoiding a menu of stocks and the size of the markets in the 5G ecosystem and, instead, recommend several key thematic ideas distilled by analyzing more in-depth the drivers of three key sectors to determine where the market is overly bullish or overlooking the opportunities or where the 5G factor has not yet been priced-in. 

We analyzed the stock price performances of these sectors to review how they behaved during the 4G deployment to ascertain how they may react to 5G.
We conducted a proprietary analysis of the size of the potential revenue from billions of IoT connections that the industry is touting in the long term.
We provide a RoIC analysis of the Chinese telecom operators' 3G/4G investments to better understand why the Chinese telecom operators invest less in 5G than the figures promoted by the governments or the industry research firms.   
We compare our Capex forecasts with the industry projection to assess the opportunities and risks. 



China

VNET Group, Inc. provides carrier-neutral Internet data center services. The Company hosts its customers' servers and networking equipment, as well as provides interconnectivity to enable customers to deliver data across the Internet. VNET Group conducts business in Beijing, China.

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VNET Group (VNET US)

21Vianet Placement: Data Center as Scarce Resource

21Vianet, a leading China carrier-neutral and cloud-neutral data center player, is raising up to USD 367 million via a placement. In this insight,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Road to 5G: How to Make Money in 5G

In this report, we highlight the best money making ideas by identifying the winners and the losers of the sectors in the 5G value chain. For...

Mitchell Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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