IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In response to a Nikkei article, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wealthnavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31058:1" rel="noopener">WealthNavi (7342 JP)</a> disclosed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-ufj-financial-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:218:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)</a>’s tender offer at JPY1,950 per share, an 84.3% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The high premium reflects WealthNavi's steep 46% YTD share price decline, i.e., the timing is opportunistic. The offer is below the Board’s requested price.</li>
<li>While the irrevocable has a competing offer clause, a competing proposal is unlikely due to MUFG’s stake. However, a bump is possible if activist(s) take around a 15% stake. </li>
</ul>


In response to a Nikkei article, WealthNavi (7342 JP) disclosed Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)’s tender offer at JPY1,950 per share, an 84.3% premium to the undisturbed price.
The high premium reflects WealthNavi's steep 46% YTD share price decline, i.e., the timing is opportunistic. The offer is below the Board’s requested price.
While the irrevocable has a competing offer clause, a competing proposal is unlikely due to MUFG’s stake. However, a bump is possible if activist(s) take around a 15% stake. 


WealthNavi (7342 JP): MUFG (8306 JP)’s Opportunistic Tender Offer

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Overnight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanrio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16476:1" rel="noopener">Sanrio (8136 JP)</a> announced a placement of 25.87m shares to unwind crossholdings and improve corporate value. There is an overallotment option for another 3.88m shares.</li>
<li>There will be limited passive buying in the short-term and the shares offered is a large percentage of real float of the stock.</li>
<li>However, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanrio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16476:1" rel="noopener">Sanrio (8136 JP)</a> is the highest ranked non-constituent stock in a global index universe and a drop in the stock price could be used to accumulate positions.</li>
</ul>


Overnight, Sanrio (8136 JP) announced a placement of 25.87m shares to unwind crossholdings and improve corporate value. There is an overallotment option for another 3.88m shares.
There will be limited passive buying in the short-term and the shares offered is a large percentage of real float of the stock.
However, Sanrio (8136 JP) is the highest ranked non-constituent stock in a global index universe and a drop in the stock price could be used to accumulate positions.


Sanrio (8136 JP) Placement: Potential Global Index Migration Leads to Interesting Dynamics

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kioxia Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP)</a> is aiming to raise around US$700m (including over-allocation) from its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>It was the world’s largest pure-play NAND flash memory supplier, in terms of both revenue and unit shipments in 2023, according to TechInsights.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) is aiming to raise around US$700m (including over-allocation) from its Japan IPO.
It was the world’s largest pure-play NAND flash memory supplier, in terms of both revenue and unit shipments in 2023, according to TechInsights.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Kioxoa Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Follower of the Cycle

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP)</a> is aiming to raise around US$700m (including over-allocation) from its Japan IPO</li>
<li>It was the world’s largest pure-play NAND flash memory supplier, in terms of both revenue and unit shipments in 2023, according to TechInsights.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) is aiming to raise around US$700m (including over-allocation) from its Japan IPO
It was the world’s largest pure-play NAND flash memory supplier, in terms of both revenue and unit shipments in 2023, according to TechInsights.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Kioxoa Pre-IPO - The Positives - Among the Leaders in Its Space

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP)</a> aims to list in Japan by Oct 2024 at a valuation of over US$10bn, as per media reports. </li>
<li>Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers</li>
<li>In this note, we take an early look at the possible listing.</li>
</ul>



Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) aims to list in Japan by Oct 2024 at a valuation of over US$10bn, as per media reports. 
Kioxia is a manufacturer and a global leader in flash memory and solid state drives for smartphones, PCs, enterprise servers and data centers
In this note, we take an early look at the possible listing.


Kioxia IPO Early Re-Look - Better Placed This Time Around

Japan

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MUFG) is a holding company established through the merger of Mitsubishi Tokyo Financial Group and UFJ Holdings. As a financial group, the Company provides a variety of financial and investment services including commercial banking, trust banking, international finance, and assets management services.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)

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Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)

WealthNavi (7342 JP): MUFG (8306 JP)’s Opportunistic Tender Offer

The high premium reflects WealthNavi's steep 46% YTD share price decline, i.e., the timing is opportunistic. The offer is below the Board’s...

Arun George

Sanrio (8136 JP) Placement: Potential Global Index Migration Leads to Interesting Dynamics

The secondary offering in Sanrio is US$865m and represents 10x ADV and 25% of real float. There are some interesting dynamics that will play out...

Brian Freitas

Kioxoa Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Follower of the Cycle

Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) is aiming to raise around US$700m (including over-allocation) from its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so...

Sumeet Singh

Kioxoa Pre-IPO - The Positives - Among the Leaders in Its Space

Kioxia Holdings (6600 JP) is aiming to raise around US$700m (including over-allocation) from its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Kioxia IPO Early Re-Look - Better Placed This Time Around

The deal is now live, with Kioxia looking to raise around around US$700m at a valuation of around US$4.8bn. We've had a early look at the deal in...

Sumeet Singh

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