Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

Industrial Bank Co Ltd A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this China banks screener; we focus on the potential for increased credit quality headwinds going forward, given the weak GDP growth outlook</li>
<li>China bank shares have been poor performers and still we see selective buy opportunities, with better credit quality metrics</li>
<li>We favour Industrial Bank and CCB both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng, on the other hand, remains exposed to a worsening of the credit quality cycle</li>
</ul>


In this China banks screener; we focus on the potential for increased credit quality headwinds going forward, given the weak GDP growth outlook
China bank shares have been poor performers and still we see selective buy opportunities, with better credit quality metrics
We favour Industrial Bank and CCB both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng, on the other hand, remains exposed to a worsening of the credit quality cycle


China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 16th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the inflows to be USD 1.5bn and highlight flows for CCB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 16th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the inflows to be USD 1.5bn and highlight flows for CCB.


<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Jun 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and offset by consumer staples, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD Co Ltd and China Construction Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Jun 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and offset by consumer staples, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD Co Ltd and China Construction Bank.


Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Unseasoned loans are especially high for 2 banks and very low for 2 others, divergent risks</li>
<li>Worsening China economy, geopolitical concerns, beware of well-held China banks</li>
<li>Rising losses at China's corporate suggests worse asset quality than reported</li>
</ul>


Unseasoned loans are especially high for 2 banks and very low for 2 others, divergent risks
Worsening China economy, geopolitical concerns, beware of well-held China banks
Rising losses at China's corporate suggests worse asset quality than reported


China Banks - Unseasoned Loans, Institutional Ownership, Corporate Losses

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Jun 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and offset by consumer staples, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CCB, China Longyuan and BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Jun 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and offset by consumer staples, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CCB, China Longyuan and BYD.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 9th): CCB, China Longyuan, BYD

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund management, foreign exchange, and other services. China Construction Bank provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Construction Bank (601939 CH)

China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks

There is potential for worsening China banks credit quality going forward, but low valuations and our balance sheet reviews lead us to recommend...

Victor Galliano

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 16th): CCB

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week. We estimate the inflows to be USD 1.5bn and highlight flows for China Construction Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 9th): BYD, CCB

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BYD Co Ltd, and China Construction Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Banks - Unseasoned Loans, Institutional Ownership, Corporate Losses

China concerns rising, we look at banks' unseasoned loans, institutional ownership, and losses of loss making companies in China - soaring.

Daniel Tabbush

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 9th): CCB, China Longyuan, BYD

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CCB, China Longyuan, BYD Co Ltd.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)