Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-capital-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45653:1" rel="noopener">Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling up to INR155bn (US$1.75bn) of stock at a valuation of around INR 1,384bn (US$15.6bn).</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to either of the global indices. The earliest inclusion in a global index should take place in June 2026.</li>
<li>The stock should be added to the Large Cap segment in the AMFI Classification in January and to the Nifty Next 50 Index in March.</li>
</ul>



Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling up to INR155bn (US$1.75bn) of stock at a valuation of around INR 1,384bn (US$15.6bn).
The stock will not get Fast Entry to either of the global indices. The earliest inclusion in a global index should take place in June 2026.
The stock should be added to the Large Cap segment in the AMFI Classification in January and to the Nifty Next 50 Index in March.


Tata Capital IPO: Big Listing, Big Valuation, Small Float

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Equity Capital Markets

Tata Capital Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our earlier insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tata-capital-ipo-jinxed-by-tata-motors-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:201451" rel="noopener">Tata Capital IPO – Jinxed by Tata Motors Finance</a> describes how post merger with Tata Motor finance,  the finance metrics of the company changed.</li>
<li>In this insight we discuss about updates from Q1FY26 results and key observations on the same.</li>
<li>This also discusses about the IPO valuation, peer comparison and our view.</li>
</ul>


Our earlier insight Tata Capital IPO – Jinxed by Tata Motors Finance describes how post merger with Tata Motor finance,  the finance metrics of the company changed.
In this insight we discuss about updates from Q1FY26 results and key observations on the same.
This also discusses about the IPO valuation, peer comparison and our view.


Tata Capital IPO : Update on Q1FY26 Financials, IPO Valuation, Peer Comparison and View

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The United States has imposed a 50% reciprocal tariff on Indian exports, the highest among major Asian peers, significantly above China (30%) and Vietnam (20%).
</li>
<li>This could hamper 50-100 bps India’s GDP growth, strain sectors like textile, gems, and raise risks around FPI flows as US accounts for nearly 40% of India’s FPI assets.</li>
<li>While India retains buffers through domestic absorption, trade diversification, and potential monetary easing, the tariff shock deepens trade uncertainty and capital flow sensitivity, warranting close investor monitoring. </li>
</ul>


The United States has imposed a 50% reciprocal tariff on Indian exports, the highest among major Asian peers, significantly above China (30%) and Vietnam (20%).

This could hamper 50-100 bps India’s GDP growth, strain sectors like textile, gems, and raise risks around FPI flows as US accounts for nearly 40% of India’s FPI assets.
While India retains buffers through domestic absorption, trade diversification, and potential monetary easing, the tariff shock deepens trade uncertainty and capital flow sensitivity, warranting close investor monitoring. 


Will 50% Tariffs Break India’s Export Edge?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-capital-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45653:1" rel="noopener">Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN)</a> is the third-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC) in India. It is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion. </li>
<li>On 8 May 2025, Tata Capital merged with Tata Motors Finance Solutions Limited (TMFL) through the issue of 183.9 million shares.</li>
<li>The fundamentals are mixed. Positives include large size, high growth rates, low opex ratio and good asset quality. Negatives include below peer average NIM, interest spread and ROE. </li>
</ul>



Tata Capital Limited (TATACAP IN) is the third-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC) in India. It is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion. 
On 8 May 2025, Tata Capital merged with Tata Motors Finance Solutions Limited (TMFL) through the issue of 183.9 million shares.
The fundamentals are mixed. Positives include large size, high growth rates, low opex ratio and good asset quality. Negatives include below peer average NIM, interest spread and ROE. 


HDB Financial Services Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdb-financial-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44072:1" rel="noopener">HDB Financial Services Ltd (0117739D IN)</a> is India's seventh-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC). It is seeking to raise Rs125 billion (US$1.4 billion).</li>
<li>I discussed the fundamentals in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hdb-financial-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:191077" rel="noopener">HDB Financial IPO: The Investment Case</a>. The shares will be listed on 2 July.</li>
<li>My valuation analysis suggests the HDB is fully priced at the IPO price range of Rs 700- 740 per share. I would avoid the IPO.</li>
</ul>



HDB Financial Services Ltd (0117739D IN) is India's seventh-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC). It is seeking to raise Rs125 billion (US$1.4 billion).
I discussed the fundamentals in HDB Financial IPO: The Investment Case. The shares will be listed on 2 July.
My valuation analysis suggests the HDB is fully priced at the IPO price range of Rs 700- 740 per share. I would avoid the IPO.


India

Shriram Finance Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers automobile, commercial vehicle, business, and gold loan services. Shriram Finance serves customers in India.

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Shriram Finance (SHFL IN)

Tata Capital IPO: Big Listing, Big Valuation, Small Float

Tata Cap is looking to raise up to US$1.75bn at a valuation of US$15.6bn. A free float of less than 15% will keep the stock out of one major global...

Brian Freitas

Tata Capital IPO : Update on Q1FY26 Financials, IPO Valuation, Peer Comparison and View

Insight on Tata Capital IPO post-merger with Tata Motors Finance, including Q1FY26 results, IPO valuation, peer comparison, and our view.

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Will 50% Tariffs Break India’s Export Edge?

US imposes 50% tariff on Indian exports, highest in Asia, may slow GDP growth, strain sectors, and impact FPI flows. India has buffers but faces...

Nimish Maheshwari

Tata Capital IPO: The Investment Case

Tata Capital has begun investor roadshows for an IPO to raise US$2.0 billion. In this note, I examine the fundamentals of the business.

Arun George

HDB Financial IPO: Valuation Insights

My valuation analysis suggests the HDB is fully priced at the IPO price range of Rs 700- 740 per share. I would avoid the IPO.

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tata Capital IPO: Big Listing, Big Valuation, Small Float

Tata Cap is looking to raise up to US$1.75bn at a valuation of US$15.6bn. A free float of less than 15% will keep the stock out of one major global...

Brian Freitas

Tata Capital IPO : Update on Q1FY26 Financials, IPO Valuation, Peer Comparison and View

​Insight on Tata Capital IPO post-merger with Tata Motors Finance, including Q1FY26 results, IPO valuation, peer comparison, and our view.

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Will 50% Tariffs Break India’s Export Edge?

​US imposes 50% tariff on Indian exports, highest in Asia, may slow GDP growth, strain sectors, and impact FPI flows. India has buffers but faces...

Nimish Maheshwari

Tata Capital IPO: The Investment Case

Tata Capital has begun investor roadshows for an IPO to raise US$2.0 billion. In this note, I examine the fundamentals of the business.

Arun George

HDB Financial IPO: Valuation Insights

My valuation analysis suggests the HDB is fully priced at the IPO price range of Rs 700- 740 per share. I would avoid the IPO.

Arun George

Insight on Tata Capital IPO post-merger with Tata Motors Finance, including Q1FY26 results, IPO valuation, peer comparison, and our view.

US imposes 50% tariff on Indian exports, highest in Asia, may slow GDP growth, strain sectors, and impact FPI flows. India has buffers but faces...