HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Trump administration is considering putting “severe restrictions” on the drugs from China, which would negative for China biotech that mainly relies on licensing-out model. We share our views below.</li>
<li>The key to assessing the future profitability of innovative drugs in China lies in their ability to control costs, not just in the growth of product sales.</li>
<li>Sihuan achieved a turnaround and is undervalued. Just "medical aesthetics + cash" worth RMB15.3 billion valuation. The innovative drug business will provide decent upside potential, but with some concerns behind. </li>
</ul>


The Trump administration is considering putting “severe restrictions” on the drugs from China, which would negative for China biotech that mainly relies on licensing-out model. We share our views below.
The key to assessing the future profitability of innovative drugs in China lies in their ability to control costs, not just in the growth of product sales.
Sihuan achieved a turnaround and is undervalued. Just "medical aesthetics + cash" worth RMB15.3 billion valuation. The innovative drug business will provide decent upside potential, but with some concerns behind. 


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.14) - Trump to Put Restrictions on Chinese Drugs, Sihuan Is Undervalued

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 60.1% as of Sep 5th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind, Weichai Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 60.1% as of Sep 5th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind, Weichai Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 5th): China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.
Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.


Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene (6160 HK)</a> reported 2Q25 revenues of $1.3B, up 42% YoY (1H25 Revenue: $2.4B, up 45%), driven primarily by growth in Brukinsa sales in the U.S. and Europe.</li>
<li>In 2Q25, U.S. sale of Brukinsa was $684M, up 43% YoY. For three consecutive quarters now, Brukinsa outpaced its closest competitor Calquence which reported US revenue of $583M in 2Q25.</li>
<li>BeiGene now expects 2025 revenue to be in the range of $5.0–5.3B (up 29–39% YoY) compared to the previous revenue guidance of $4.9–5.3B.</li>
</ul>



BeiGene (6160 HK) reported 2Q25 revenues of $1.3B, up 42% YoY (1H25 Revenue: $2.4B, up 45%), driven primarily by growth in Brukinsa sales in the U.S. and Europe.
In 2Q25, U.S. sale of Brukinsa was $684M, up 43% YoY. For three consecutive quarters now, Brukinsa outpaced its closest competitor Calquence which reported US revenue of $583M in 2Q25.
BeiGene now expects 2025 revenue to be in the range of $5.0–5.3B (up 29–39% YoY) compared to the previous revenue guidance of $4.9–5.3B.


BeiGene (6160 HK): Brukinsa Extend Lead in US, Robust Pipeline, Positive Guidance Revision

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on BIDU, China Life, JD.COM, BEIGENE, MEITUAN, Sinopec, China Life, Beigene, Meituan, Jd, Bidu, Sinopec.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSCEI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on BIDU, China Life, JD.COM, BEIGENE, MEITUAN, Sinopec, China Life, Beigene, Meituan, Jd, Bidu, Sinopec.


HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Aug): BIDU, China Life, JD.COM, BEIGENE, MEITUAN, Sinopec, China Life

China

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

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BeiGene (6160 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.14) - Trump to Put Restrictions on Chinese Drugs, Sihuan Is Undervalued

Trump may impose restrictions on China drugs, impacting China biotech reliant on licensing model. Profitability in China biotech hinges on cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 5th): China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Buys in Japan and Europe; China's Shanghai Composite Pulling Back to 10-year Base Support -- Buy; MSCI $ACWI Uptrend Intact. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

BeiGene (6160 HK): Brukinsa Extend Lead in US, Robust Pipeline, Positive Guidance Revision

Beigene announced positive topline results from Phase 1/2 study of sonrotoclax, a next-generation and potentially best-in-class investigational...

Tina Banerjee

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Aug): BIDU, China Life, JD.COM, BEIGENE, MEITUAN, Sinopec, China Life

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in BIDU, China Life, JD.COM, BEIGENE, MEITUAN, Sinopec, China Life,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.14) - Trump to Put Restrictions on Chinese Drugs, Sihuan Is Undervalued

​Trump may impose restrictions on China drugs, impacting China biotech reliant on licensing model. Profitability in China biotech hinges on cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 5th): China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction, Goldwind

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Zheshang Bank, China Communications Construction,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Buys in Japan and Europe; China's Shanghai Composite Pulling Back to 10-year Base Support -- Buy; MSCI $ACWI Uptrend Intact. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

BeiGene (6160 HK): Brukinsa Extend Lead in US, Robust Pipeline, Positive Guidance Revision

Beigene announced positive topline results from Phase 1/2 study of sonrotoclax, a next-generation and potentially best-in-class investigational...

Tina Banerjee

HSCEI Index Earning Revision (Aug): BIDU, China Life, JD.COM, BEIGENE, MEITUAN, Sinopec, China Life

We analyzed HSCEI's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in BIDU, China Life, JD.COM, BEIGENE, MEITUAN, Sinopec, China Life,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Trump may impose restrictions on China drugs, impacting China biotech reliant on licensing model. Profitability in China biotech hinges on cost...