Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$650m via its H-share placement.</li>
<li>The stock has been on a roll this year and recently announced strong earnings as well. Although it’s now trading at its 52-week highs.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) aims to raise around US$650m via its H-share placement.
The stock has been on a roll this year and recently announced strong earnings as well. Although it’s now trading at its 52-week highs.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Wuxi AppTec Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, Though It Is a Bit Opportunistic

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China biotech has become the biggest valuation driver for the entire healthcare sector based on strong expectations on licensing cooperations. Other subsectors may still underperform due to lack of logic.</li>
<li>The primary market still lacks confidence in long-term outlook. Some founders/shareholders have already reduced holdings and cash out. Valuation bubble may burst when turning point occurs.We analyzed the possible scenarios.</li>
<li>At this stage, stock picking logic may need to focus on three directions. The next stage of the rise may come more from A-share market. We shared our top picks.</li>
</ul>


China biotech has become the biggest valuation driver for the entire healthcare sector based on strong expectations on licensing cooperations. Other subsectors may still underperform due to lack of logic.
The primary market still lacks confidence in long-term outlook. Some founders/shareholders have already reduced holdings and cash out. Valuation bubble may burst when turning point occurs.We analyzed the possible scenarios.
At this stage, stock picking logic may need to focus on three directions. The next stage of the rise may come more from A-share market. We shared our top picks.


What Happens to China Healthcare? - The Soaring Shares, the Turning Point, and the Top Picks

Everest Medicines / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.</li>
<li>This will be the third placement this year for the stock, the previous two deals didn’t do well. Although the stock has bounced back a lot since.</li>
<li>In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Everest Medicines (1952 HK) aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.
This will be the third placement this year for the stock, the previous two deals didn’t do well. Although the stock has bounced back a lot since.
In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Everest Medicine Placement - Third Deal in the Year, Previous Ones Didn’t Do Well

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 11th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Henderson Land, Giant Biogene, Innovent Bio, Xpeng.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 11th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Henderson Land, Giant Biogene, Innovent Bio, Xpeng.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Henderson Land, Giant Biogene, Innovent Bio, Xpeng

China

Innovent Biologics, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and distributes monoclonal antibody drug candidates for the treatment of oncology, ophthalmology, autoimmune, cardiovascular, and other diseases. Innovent Biologics serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Continue Adding Exposure to China; $ACWI Short-Term Supports for this pullback: $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. Pullbacks = buy opportunities,...

Vermilion Research

Wuxi AppTec Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, Though It Is a Bit Opportunistic

WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) aims to raise around US$650m via its H-share placement. In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and talk...

Sumeet Singh

What Happens to China Healthcare? - The Soaring Shares, the Turning Point, and the Top Picks

Hengrui has entered into agreements with GSK for HRS-9821 and up to 11 programs, with high upfront payment of US$500 million and total amount of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Everest Medicine Placement - Third Deal in the Year, Previous Ones Didn’t Do Well

Everest Medicines (1952 HK) aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement. In this note, we run the deal through our framework and talk about...

Sumeet Singh

HK Short Interest Weekly: Henderson Land, Giant Biogene, Innovent Bio, Xpeng

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 11th and highlight short interest changes in Henderson Land, Giant...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)