External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Investors are disappointed with Citigroup's lackluster profitability compared to other large US banks, leading to a low valuation of 0.65x TBV</li><li>Potential for improvement as the company has excess capital and may be able to increase profitability to reach a 10% ROTE in the next two years</li><li>Predictions suggest that if Citigroup reaches its targets, there could be a significant increase in share value, with TBV/share reaching $100 and EPS of $10 by 2026, presenting a compelling investment opportunity for those willing to take a risk on the bank's future performance.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Investors are disappointed with Citigroup's lackluster profitability compared to other large US banks, leading to a low valuation of 0.65x TBVPotential for improvement as the company has excess capital and may be able to increase profitability to reach a 10% ROTE in the next two yearsPredictions suggest that if Citigroup reaches its targets, there could be a significant increase in share value, with TBV/share reaching $100 and EPS of $10 by 2026, presenting a compelling investment opportunity for those willing to take a risk on the bank's future performance.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Citigroup Inc (C) - Wednesday, Sep 18, 2024

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-ozk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28708:1" rel="noopener">Bank OZK (OZK US)</a> has more CRE loans to total loans of any US bank at 72% in 3Q24</li>
<li>Risks of CRE loans are real now and historically, they have high loss rates, in bad times</li>
<li>The bank is seeing a surge in NPAs , but its credit costs are lagging - make up in 4Q24?</li>
</ul>



Bank OZK (OZK US) has more CRE loans to total loans of any US bank at 72% in 3Q24
Risks of CRE loans are real now and historically, they have high loss rates, in bad times
The bank is seeing a surge in NPAs , but its credit costs are lagging - make up in 4Q24?


Bank OZK - Most CRE Loans/Total Loans of Any US Bank & Dramatically Worsening Credit Metrics

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US large banks are showing sharply expanding loans in recent weeks, in granular HFD</li>
<li>This comes as their higher cost Jumbo Time Deposits are now showing negative growth</li>
<li>There are positive implications for net interest income, NIM and net profit delta of large US banks</li>
</ul>


US large banks are showing sharply expanding loans in recent weeks, in granular HFD
This comes as their higher cost Jumbo Time Deposits are now showing negative growth
There are positive implications for net interest income, NIM and net profit delta of large US banks


US Banks - HFD Shows Sharply Expanding Loans, with Newly Negative Growth in Jumbo Time Deposits

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

<ul>
<li>Morningstar's positive assessment of SGX boosts the company's value, attracting optimism from major financial institutions like Citi, Morgan Stanley, and RHB.</li>
<li>Maybank's decision to maintain a 'buy' rating on Sembcorp and raise its target price follows the company's deal to import renewable energy from Malaysia, indicating confidence in its future prospects.</li>
<li>DBS sells off 54,600 CLINT units for $61,152, suggesting the bank may be reallocating its investment portfolio or adjusting its positions in certain assets.</li>
</ul>


Morningstar's positive assessment of SGX boosts the company's value, attracting optimism from major financial institutions like Citi, Morgan Stanley, and RHB.
Maybank's decision to maintain a 'buy' rating on Sembcorp and raise its target price follows the company's deal to import renewable energy from Malaysia, indicating confidence in its future prospects.
DBS sells off 54,600 CLINT units for $61,152, suggesting the bank may be reallocating its investment portfolio or adjusting its positions in certain assets.


Singapore Market Roundup (12-Dec-2024): Morningstar Boosts SGX's Value

Podcast of business and financial stories, Behind the Money

Behind the Money

Podcast of business and financial stories

From hostile takeovers to C-suite intrigue, Behind the Money takes you inside the business and financial stories of the moment with reporting from Financial Times journalists around the world.

<ul><li>Uncertainty around Trump administration's policies, including deregulation and potential impacts on banking and the economy, may create challenges and opportunities for the banking sector in the next four years</li><li>The US banking sector is expected to remain strong and dominant, with potential growth for top banks like JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.</li><li>The future of banking may see a divide between larger, stronger banks and fewer smaller institutions, with potential changes in the private credit sector.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Uncertainty around Trump administration's policies, including deregulation and potential impacts on banking and the economy, may create challenges and opportunities for the banking sector in the next four yearsThe US banking sector is expected to remain strong and dominant, with potential growth for top banks like JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.The future of banking may see a divide between larger, stronger banks and fewer smaller institutions, with potential changes in the private credit sector.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

What Trump’s presidency means for banking

United States

Citigroup Inc. is a diversified financial services holding company that provides a broad range of financial services to consumer and corporate customers. The Company services include investment banking, retail brokerage, corporate banking, and cash management products and services. Citigroup serves customers globally.

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Citigroup Inc (C US)

Citigroup Inc (C) - Wednesday, Sep 18, 2024

Investors are disappointed with Citigroup's lackluster profitability compared to other large US banks, leading to a low valuation of 0.65x TBV

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Bank OZK - Most CRE Loans/Total Loans of Any US Bank & Dramatically Worsening Credit Metrics

Commercial real estate (CRE) loans are risky in the US normally and especially now. Bank OZK is most exposed, with dramatic worsening of credit...

Daniel Tabbush

US Banks - HFD Shows Sharply Expanding Loans, with Newly Negative Growth in Jumbo Time Deposits

US large banks show loans accelerating (but not riskier CRE loans) and with higher cost Jumbo time deposit growth now turning negative in new...

Daniel Tabbush

Singapore Market Roundup (12-Dec-2024): Morningstar Boosts SGX's Value

Morningstar's positive assessment of SGX boosts the company's value, attracting optimism from major financial institutions like Citi, Morgan...

Singapore Market Roundup

What Trump’s presidency means for banking

Uncertainty around Trump administration's policies, including deregulation and potential impacts on banking and the economy, may create challenges...

Behind the Money

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