HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Next, domestic policy may shift from easing the pressure on medical insurance to focusing on the concerns about people's livelihood, the pressure of public opinion, people's demands, and old-age care.</li>
<li>The endogenous demand will be stepped downward based on current economic situation. The performance/valuation of HPV vaccine/growth hormones/eye care companies will gradually decline if just based on domestic markets.</li>
<li>The second half of 2022 to 2023 will gradually enter the outbreak period of medical equipment procurement for newly built hospitals. Related companies will usher in a "honeymoon period".</li>
</ul>


Next, domestic policy may shift from easing the pressure on medical insurance to focusing on the concerns about people's livelihood, the pressure of public opinion, people's demands, and old-age care.
The endogenous demand will be stepped downward based on current economic situation. The performance/valuation of HPV vaccine/growth hormones/eye care companies will gradually decline if just based on domestic markets.
The second half of 2022 to 2023 will gradually enter the outbreak period of medical equipment procurement for newly built hospitals. Related companies will usher in a "honeymoon period".


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.26) - Policy Trend, Aier Eye Hospital, Hospital Project Construction

<ul>
<li>While AI has had a profound impact in image recognition,there has been little comparable progress in drug discovery, far from the current levels of investment and expectations in this sector.</li>
<li>The success of license-in model must be based on the appropriate valuation level. The ultimate parameter to measure a drug company based on license-in model is its cash flow status.</li>
<li>Pet medical equipment is not subject to the negative policy impact of centralized procurement. Together with high demand, it is expected to become the second growth curve of enterprises.</li>
</ul>


While AI has had a profound impact in image recognition,there has been little comparable progress in drug discovery, far from the current levels of investment and expectations in this sector.
The success of license-in model must be based on the appropriate valuation level. The ultimate parameter to measure a drug company based on license-in model is its cash flow status.
Pet medical equipment is not subject to the negative policy impact of centralized procurement. Together with high demand, it is expected to become the second growth curve of enterprises.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.12)-AI Drug Discovery, License-In Mode Valuation, Pet Medical Equipment

<ul>
<li>IVD field ushered in the largest centralized procurement in history - the liver function biochemical testing reagents,which would bring great reshuffle effect to the competition pattern of biochemical diagnostics market.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) </a>and Sanofi reached two major cooperation. Meanwhile, Innovent’s CCO Liu Min resigned. We deep dived the logic and impact behind. </li>
<li>For HK IPO, market participants have come up with ways to reduce issuance scale in an attempt to stabilize the performance of new shares after IPO, which wouldn’t help.</li>
</ul>


IVD field ushered in the largest centralized procurement in history - the liver function biochemical testing reagents,which would bring great reshuffle effect to the competition pattern of biochemical diagnostics market.

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) and Sanofi reached two major cooperation. Meanwhile, Innovent’s CCO Liu Min resigned. We deep dived the logic and impact behind. 
For HK IPO, market participants have come up with ways to reduce issuance scale in an attempt to stabilize the performance of new shares after IPO, which wouldn’t help.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.5) - HK IPO, Innovent, BeiGene, the Largest IVD Centralized Procurement

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The main logic of Micro-Tech’s performance growth is import substitution, but the Company is facing some challenges in the short term, such as centralized procurement, pandemic, inflation, etc.</li>
<li>Micro-Tech will face lower-than-expected performance growth in 2022. Since the whole series of products would be covered by centralized procurement, the valuation of Micro-Tech should be lower than Mindray.</li>
<li>However, there are possibilities for Micro-Tech to achieve a turnaround (with bottom-fishing opportunity) if it could make a breakthrough in internationalization and product innovation. We recommend investors follow Micro-Tech closely.</li>
</ul>


The main logic of Micro-Tech’s performance growth is import substitution, but the Company is facing some challenges in the short term, such as centralized procurement, pandemic, inflation, etc.
Micro-Tech will face lower-than-expected performance growth in 2022. Since the whole series of products would be covered by centralized procurement, the valuation of Micro-Tech should be lower than Mindray.
However, there are possibilities for Micro-Tech to achieve a turnaround (with bottom-fishing opportunity) if it could make a breakthrough in internationalization and product innovation. We recommend investors follow Micro-Tech closely.


Micro-Tech Nanjing (688029.CH) - Potential for Reversals Despite Short-Term Pressure on Performance

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Outflows from consumer discretionary and consumer staple were offset by the inflows into material and energy.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Yunnan Energy New Material, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, BOE Technology and etc.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Outflows from consumer discretionary and consumer staple were offset by the inflows into material and energy.
We highlight inflows into Yunnan Energy New Material, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, BOE Technology and etc.


Northbound Flows: Yunnan Energy New Material, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, BOE Technology

China

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes medical equipment. The Company produces life information supporting, in vitro diagnostic, and medical imaging equipment equipment. Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics also produces supporting reagents.

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

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Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.26) - Policy Trend, Aier Eye Hospital, Hospital Project Construction

Policy may shift from easing medical insurance pressure to improving people's livelihood. Low endogenous demand will affect company's valuation....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.12)-AI Drug Discovery, License-In Mode Valuation, Pet Medical Equipment

AI drug discovery is far from meeting the current investment level and expectations. The success of license-in mode must be based on appropriate...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.5) - HK IPO, Innovent, BeiGene, the Largest IVD Centralized Procurement

IVD field ushered in the largest VBP in history. Innovent/Sanofi reached major cooperation, and Innovent’s CCO resigned. We deep dived the logic...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Micro-Tech Nanjing (688029.CH) - Potential for Reversals Despite Short-Term Pressure on Performance

Micro-Tech’s performance is under pressure due to centralized procurement, pandemic and inflation. But there is potential for future reversals with...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Northbound Flows: Yunnan Energy New Material, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, BOE Technology

Northbound connect recorded second week of outflows. We highlight inflows into Yunnan Energy New Material, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, BOE Technology...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)