Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gs-yuasa-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8298:1" rel="noopener">Gs Yuasa Corp (6674 JP)</a> (GSY) is looking to raise around US$240m via a public offering, along with placing shares via third-party allotment with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a> .</li>
<li>The company formed a JV with Honda Motors earlier this year and will use the bulk of the proceeds for investments in the JV.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Gs Yuasa Corp (6674 JP) (GSY) is looking to raise around US$240m via a public offering, along with placing shares via third-party allotment with Honda Motor (7267 JP) .
The company formed a JV with Honda Motors earlier this year and will use the bulk of the proceeds for investments in the JV.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


GS Yuasa Placement - Well Flagged but Relatively Large Deal, Liquidity Might Be an Issue

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Rakuten Bank shares have experienced something of a re-rating, but we believe it has further to go, with attractive fundamentals and relatively undemanding valuations compared to its digital peers</li>
<li>Rakuten Bank is well positioned to benefit from the tailwind of the steepening yield curve in Japan, with its low LDR, growing loan book and healthy capital ratio</li>
<li>It is leveraging off the Rakuten Group eco-system; not only is it growing its client base, but also nearly a third of clients use Rakuten Bank as their primary bank</li>
</ul>


Rakuten Bank shares have experienced something of a re-rating, but we believe it has further to go, with attractive fundamentals and relatively undemanding valuations compared to its digital peers
Rakuten Bank is well positioned to benefit from the tailwind of the steepening yield curve in Japan, with its low LDR, growing loan book and healthy capital ratio
It is leveraging off the Rakuten Group eco-system; not only is it growing its client base, but also nearly a third of clients use Rakuten Bank as their primary bank


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Remains a Positive Pick in the Japanese Neobanks

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nine shareholders are looking to sell 33.48m shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10482:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)</a>. That is US$1.28bn, 24x ADV and 6.6% of shares outstanding.</li>
<li>Given the recent run up in the stock, there could be downside over the next couple of weeks ahead of the pricing date.</li>
<li>There will be buying from global trackers but nothing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX</a> trackers, so not a lot of stock will be mopped up. Passive buying before settlement could create a squeeze.</li>
</ul>


Nine shareholders are looking to sell 33.48m shares of Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP). That is US$1.28bn, 24x ADV and 6.6% of shares outstanding.
Given the recent run up in the stock, there could be downside over the next couple of weeks ahead of the pricing date.
There will be buying from global trackers but nothing from TOPIX trackers, so not a lot of stock will be mopped up. Passive buying before settlement could create a squeeze.


Asahi Group (2502 JP): Big Placement with Limited Index Buying; Timing Is Key

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10482:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)</a> announced a pure secondary offering of 33.5 million or 6.61% of outstanding shares. At the last close, the placement was worth JPY194 billion (US$1.3 billion).</li>
<li>Notwithstanding Asahi's explanation, the selling shareholders' motivation for exiting their shareholding is likely to capitalise on the strong share price performance - Asahi shares are up 45% YTD.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 28 November and 1 December (likely 28 November).</li>
</ul>



Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP) announced a pure secondary offering of 33.5 million or 6.61% of outstanding shares. At the last close, the placement was worth JPY194 billion (US$1.3 billion).
Notwithstanding Asahi's explanation, the selling shareholders' motivation for exiting their shareholding is likely to capitalise on the strong share price performance - Asahi shares are up 45% YTD.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 28 November and 1 December (likely 28 November).


Asahi Group (2502 JP): US$1.3bn Secondary Placement

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Parts of the apparel/fashion sector made a complete recovery last year but performance was patchy, with high rates of growth from a few but more had sales below 2019.</li>
<li>2023-24 should be a stellar year thanks to inbound tourism growth and healthier, if still hesitant, domestic demand.</li>
<li>While profitability has risen significantly, the pressure to keep prices down is widening the gap between efficient operators and the rest.</li>
</ul>


Parts of the apparel/fashion sector made a complete recovery last year but performance was patchy, with high rates of growth from a few but more had sales below 2019.
2023-24 should be a stellar year thanks to inbound tourism growth and healthier, if still hesitant, domestic demand.
While profitability has risen significantly, the pressure to keep prices down is widening the gap between efficient operators and the rest.


Japan's Fashion Sector 2023: Recovery Complete for Some as the Sector Looks Forward

Japan

Rakuten Group, Inc. provides Internet services. The Company offers Internet finance services which including "Rakuten Card" and "Rakuten Bank". Rakuten Group also provides digital content services including electronic book services.

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Rakuten (4755 JP)

GS Yuasa Placement - Well Flagged but Relatively Large Deal, Liquidity Might Be an Issue

Gs Yuasa Corp (6674 JP) (GSY) is looking to raise around US$240m via a public offering, along with placing shares via third-party allotment with...

Sumeet Singh

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Remains a Positive Pick in the Japanese Neobanks

Rakuten Bank shares are set to re-rate further, due to good fundamentals and modest valuations. It is a beneficiary of Japan's steepening yield...

Victor Galliano

Asahi Group (2502 JP): Big Placement with Limited Index Buying; Timing Is Key

9 shareholders are looking to sell 33.48m shares (6.6% of shares out). The stock has run up and should correct in the short-term. Global passives...

Brian Freitas

Asahi Group (2502 JP): US$1.3bn Secondary Placement

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 28 November...

Arun George

Japan's Fashion Sector 2023: Recovery Complete for Some as the Sector Looks Forward

Apparel sector's recovery in 2022 was uneven. Tourism and domestic demand are expected to boost 2023-24 sales, but pricing pressure is widening...

Michael Causton

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GS Yuasa Placement - Well Flagged but Relatively Large Deal, Liquidity Might Be an Issue

Gs Yuasa Corp (6674 JP) (GSY) is looking to raise around US$240m via a public offering, along with placing shares via third-party allotment with...

Sumeet Singh

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Remains a Positive Pick in the Japanese Neobanks

​Rakuten Bank shares are set to re-rate further, due to good fundamentals and modest valuations. It is a beneficiary of Japan's steepening yield...

Victor Galliano

Asahi Group (2502 JP): Big Placement with Limited Index Buying; Timing Is Key

9 shareholders are looking to sell 33.48m shares (6.6% of shares out). The stock has run up and should correct in the short-term. Global passives...

Brian Freitas

Asahi Group (2502 JP): US$1.3bn Secondary Placement

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 28 November...

Arun George

Japan's Fashion Sector 2023: Recovery Complete for Some as the Sector Looks Forward

​Apparel sector's recovery in 2022 was uneven. Tourism and domestic demand are expected to boost 2023-24 sales, but pricing pressure is widening...

Michael Causton

Rakuten Bank shares are set to re-rate further, due to good fundamentals and modest valuations. It is a beneficiary of Japan's steepening yield...

Apparel sector's recovery in 2022 was uneven. Tourism and domestic demand are expected to boost 2023-24 sales, but pricing pressure is widening...