China New Economy Equity Analyst, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robert McKay

China New Economy Equity Analyst

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite being breakeven just quarters ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a> has achieved profitability on par with global peers nearly 3x its size. Margin still has upside with further subsidiary integration;</li>
<li>JDL is still positioned to accelerate revenue by taking share from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-f-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44093:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (6936 HK)</a> in untapped opportunities, including domestic B2C (Taobao/Tmall), cross-border B2C (Kuayue acquisition), and B2B;</li>
<li>JDL's stock price rose 60%+ while it was our top pick for 2024. We reiterate the company as our TOP buy idea in the China logistics space for 2025;</li>
</ul>


Despite being breakeven just quarters ago, JD Logistics (2618 HK) has achieved profitability on par with global peers nearly 3x its size. Margin still has upside with further subsidiary integration;
JDL is still positioned to accelerate revenue by taking share from S.F. Holding (6936 HK) in untapped opportunities, including domestic B2C (Taobao/Tmall), cross-border B2C (Kuayue acquisition), and B2B;
JDL's stock price rose 60%+ while it was our top pick for 2024. We reiterate the company as our TOP buy idea in the China logistics space for 2025;


China Logistics (Part 2): All JD Logistic Roads Lead Back to S.F. Express

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2024 ECM offerings in the Greater China logistics &amp; transport segment included TS Lines (in Hong Kong), SF Holding(Hong Kong), and BingEx (US)</li>
<li>Generally, recent share offerings in the segment have <em>not</em> performed well at all</li>
<li>Looking to 2025, we see several deals, including SHEIN and a possible Didi return</li>
</ul>


2024 ECM offerings in the Greater China logistics &amp; transport segment included TS Lines (in Hong Kong), SF Holding(Hong Kong), and BingEx (US)
Generally, recent share offerings in the segment have not performed well at all
Looking to 2025, we see several deals, including SHEIN and a possible Didi return


2024 Greater China Logistics & Transport ECM Review & A Look at Potential 2025 Deals

<ul>
<li>Volume growth &amp; price declines both moderated in November vs preceding months</li>
<li>We believe most express companies should be experiencing margin expansion in Q424</li>
<li>We finish with a review 2024's winners and losers in China's ecomm fulfillment space</li>
</ul>


Volume growth &amp; price declines both moderated in November vs preceding months
We believe most express companies should be experiencing margin expansion in Q424
We finish with a review 2024's winners and losers in China's ecomm fulfillment space


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | November Volume, ASPs | Review of YTD Performance (December 2024)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 13th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 13th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>TCOM US/ ATAT US: China Extends Transit Visa-Free Policy to 240 Hours(+/+)</li>
<li>1024 HK: Kuaishou Introduces Subscription Service for Micro Drama Business (+)</li>
<li>700 HK/1439927D CH/BIDU US: Apple Negotiates with Tencent and ByteDance to Launch AI Features in China (+/+/-)</li>
</ul>


TCOM US/ ATAT US: China Extends Transit Visa-Free Policy to 240 Hours(+/+)
1024 HK: Kuaishou Introduces Subscription Service for Micro Drama Business (+)
700 HK/1439927D CH/BIDU US: Apple Negotiates with Tencent and ByteDance to Launch AI Features in China (+/+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/ ATAT US/1024 HK/700 HK/1439927D CH /BIDU/3690 HK/JD/BABA/PDD

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (ADR) (JD US)

China Logistics (Part 2): All JD Logistic Roads Lead Back to S.F. Express

JD Logistics has achieved profitability on par with global peers nearly 3x its size, with upside potential in margins and opportunities to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

2024 Greater China Logistics & Transport ECM Review & A Look at Potential 2025 Deals

After 2024 began with raised expectations, actual ECM activity in the Greater China logistics & transportation space disappointed. But there are a...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | November Volume, ASPs | Review of YTD Performance (December 2024)

Year-over-year parcel volume growth and price declines both moderated somewhat in November. We believe most Chinese express companies are...

Tracking Traffic

HK Short Interest Weekly: Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 13th and highlight short interest changes in Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/ ATAT US/1024 HK/700 HK/1439927D CH /BIDU/3690 HK/JD/BABA/PDD

China expands visa-free transit policy, Kuaishou offers subscription service for micro dramas, Apple in talks with Tencent and ByteDance for AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Logistics (Part 2): All JD Logistic Roads Lead Back to S.F. Express

​JD Logistics has achieved profitability on par with global peers nearly 3x its size, with upside potential in margins and opportunities to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

2024 Greater China Logistics & Transport ECM Review & A Look at Potential 2025 Deals

After 2024 began with raised expectations, actual ECM activity in the Greater China logistics & transportation space disappointed. But there are a...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | November Volume, ASPs | Review of YTD Performance (December 2024)

Year-over-year parcel volume growth and price declines both moderated somewhat in November. We believe most Chinese express companies are...

Tracking Traffic

HK Short Interest Weekly: Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 13th and highlight short interest changes in Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/ ATAT US/1024 HK/700 HK/1439927D CH /BIDU/3690 HK/JD/BABA/PDD

​China expands visa-free transit policy, Kuaishou offers subscription service for micro dramas, Apple in talks with Tencent and ByteDance for AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

JD Logistics has achieved profitability on par with global peers nearly 3x its size, with upside potential in margins and opportunities to...

China expands visa-free transit policy, Kuaishou offers subscription service for micro dramas, Apple in talks with Tencent and ByteDance for AI...