Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Big increase in single stock volumes particularly Puts which pushed the single stock put call ratio over 1 for the first time since early November.</li>
<li>Heavy Put trading in the Financial Sector especially with ICBC and CCB.</li>
<li>Health Care, Energy and Materials are the 3 sectors seeing higher Put trading vs Calls and are also the 3 sectors with the lowest 3M implied vol 1 year percentile.</li>
</ul>


Big increase in single stock volumes particularly Puts which pushed the single stock put call ratio over 1 for the first time since early November.
Heavy Put trading in the Financial Sector especially with ICBC and CCB.
Health Care, Energy and Materials are the 3 sectors seeing higher Put trading vs Calls and are also the 3 sectors with the lowest 3M implied vol 1 year percentile.


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Dec 30 – Jan 03

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.0% as of Jan 3rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.1ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, utilities, materials and offset by consumer staples, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for TEC, CanSinoBIO, SD GOLD, CRRC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.0% as of Jan 3rd.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.1ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, utilities, materials and offset by consumer staples, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for TEC, CanSinoBIO, SD GOLD, CRRC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 3rd):TEC, CanSinoBIO, SD GOLD, CRRC.

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CCB, Alibaba, China Mobile, ICBC, ABC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into CCB, Alibaba, China Mobile, ICBC, ABC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): $10.7bn Inflows Led by Banks

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman</a> are potential inclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> in March while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-biopharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:230:1" rel="noopener">Sino Biopharmaceutical</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning</a> are potential deletions.</li>
<li>There is a lower probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc-0533692c-6dae-4014-baa1-ed0b050638f2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29259:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> in the index in March.</li>
<li>There could be a few more index inclusions for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman</a> in March and the stock could outperform its peers over the next few months.</li>
</ul>



BeiGene and ZTO Express Cayman are potential inclusions for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index in March while Sino Biopharmaceutical and Li Ning are potential deletions.
There is a lower probability of Yum China Holdings (9987 HK) replacing Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) in the index in March.
There could be a few more index inclusions for ZTO Express Cayman in March and the stock could outperform its peers over the next few months.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Increase in Velocity Could Lead to 3 Changes in March

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 20th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent,  Weimob, AIA, Jd, Hkex.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 20th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tencent,  Weimob, AIA, Jd, Hkex.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Weimob, AIA, Jd, Hkex

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides a comprehensive range of commercial banking products and services to individuals and corporate customers. The Bank's business consists of three principal business segments: corporate banking, personal banking, and treasury operations. China Construction Bank also services infrastructure loans, residential mortgage, and bank cards.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Construction Bank H (939 HK)

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Dec 30 – Jan 03

Single stock put volumes are on the rise, pushing the put call ratio over 1 for the first time since November. Heavy put trading in financial...

John Ley

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 3rd):TEC, CanSinoBIO, SD GOLD, CRRC.

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for TEC (688187 CH/3898 HK), CanSinoBIO (688185 CH/6185 HK), SD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): $10.7bn Inflows Led by Banks

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for December and highlighted flows for CCB, Alibaba, China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Meituan, Kuaishou, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Increase in Velocity Could Lead to 3 Changes in March

There could be up to 3 changes for the HSCEI in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.24% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$5,276m (US$680m)....

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Weimob, AIA, Jd, Hkex

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 20th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Weimob, AIA, Jd,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Dec 30 – Jan 03

​Single stock put volumes are on the rise, pushing the put call ratio over 1 for the first time since November. Heavy put trading in financial...

John Ley

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 3rd):TEC, CanSinoBIO, SD GOLD, CRRC.

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for TEC (688187 CH/3898 HK), CanSinoBIO (688185 CH/6185 HK), SD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (December): $10.7bn Inflows Led by Banks

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for December and highlighted flows for CCB, Alibaba, China Mobile, ICBC, ABC, Meituan, Kuaishou, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Increase in Velocity Could Lead to 3 Changes in March

There could be up to 3 changes for the HSCEI in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.24% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$5,276m (US$680m)....

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Weimob, AIA, Jd, Hkex

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 20th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Weimob, AIA, Jd,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Single stock put volumes are on the rise, pushing the put call ratio over 1 for the first time since November. Heavy put trading in financial...