External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>JCI rallied by a strong 4.8% w-w and was the top performer among the EM markets last week.</li><li>The index’s performance was driven by a combination of large-cap ‘fundamental’ stocks (i.e., BBRI +11% w-w, TLKM 13%, BBCA +5%, BMRI +4%) and illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, DSSA).</li><li>Market’s rally was also driven by the strong return in foreign investors’ flow which amounted to US$412mn, which put Indonesia among the only market with positive flow among the Asian EMs, with notable inflows into large-cap banks and TLKM. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI rallied by a strong 4.8% w-w and was the top performer among the EM markets last week.The index’s performance was driven by a combination of large-cap ‘fundamental’ stocks (i.e., BBRI +11% w-w, TLKM 13%, BBCA +5%, BMRI +4%) and illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, DSSA).Market’s rally was also driven by the strong return in foreign investors’ flow which amounted to US$412mn, which put Indonesia among the only market with positive flow among the Asian EMs, with notable inflows into large-cap banks and TLKM. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – Banking Sector’s P/BV Band Chart (5-Year)

<ul><li>The 2026 budget balances fiscal prudence with acceleration growth, prioritizing 8 national agendas, aiming for 5.4% GDP growth.</li><li>Revenue target projects 9.8% growth, driven by higher tax collections requiring improvement in tax collection and reforms.</li><li>The fiscal plan moderates deficit to 2.48% in 2026, controlling debt supply while conservative yield assumptions provide fiscal buffer.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The 2026 budget balances fiscal prudence with acceleration growth, prioritizing 8 national agendas, aiming for 5.4% GDP growth.Revenue target projects 9.8% growth, driven by higher tax collections requiring improvement in tax collection and reforms.The fiscal plan moderates deficit to 2.48% in 2026, controlling debt supply while conservative yield assumptions provide fiscal buffer.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: The 2026 Proposed Budget: Building Up Momentum

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect 2H25 earnings growth to rebound, driven by improved liquidity and prospect of govt spending acceleration.</li><li>We continue to like Telcos and are turning more constructive on banks (stable/ better NIM), while remaining ST cautious on Consumers.</li><li>We raise our JCI target to 7,960, factoring in premium from anticipated flow into conglo-group stocks, despite our lower FY25 EPS growth f’cast.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect 2H25 earnings growth to rebound, driven by improved liquidity and prospect of govt spending acceleration.We continue to like Telcos and are turning more constructive on banks (stable/ better NIM), while remaining ST cautious on Consumers.We raise our JCI target to 7,960, factoring in premium from anticipated flow into conglo-group stocks, despite our lower FY25 EPS growth f’cast.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: 2H25: Positioning for a Growth Rebound

<ul><li>Market review: Following 3 weeks of negative performances, JCI staged a rebound of +2.7% w-w, outperforming majority of the EM peers.</li><li>The index’s performance was driven by the large-cap sectors: Banks (+3.1% w-w), Telco (+2.7% w-w) as well as laggard sectors namely Poultry (+7.7% w-w), Cement (+4.5%), and Tower (+4.1%), indicating likelihood of technical rebound amid still limited catalysts.</li><li>Foreign investors remain net sellers in the market with -US$115mn of outflow. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Market review: Following 3 weeks of negative performances, JCI staged a rebound of +2.7% w-w, outperforming majority of the EM peers.The index’s performance was driven by the large-cap sectors: Banks (+3.1% w-w), Telco (+2.7% w-w) as well as laggard sectors namely Poultry (+7.7% w-w), Cement (+4.5%), and Tower (+4.1%), indicating likelihood of technical rebound amid still limited catalysts.Foreign investors remain net sellers in the market with -US$115mn of outflow. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – JCI, LQ45, and IDX80 YTD Performance

<ul><li>Based on the OJK data, we see deteriorating asset quality across all segments, i.e., property, vehicle, and other household loans.</li><li>Breaching its all-time high NPL ratio, the weaknesses observed in the apartment segment reaffirm our concern about asset quality in 2025.</li><li>Maintain Neutral rating on the sector with BBCA as our top pick, followed by BTPS, on their earnings momentum and lesser ownership.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Based on the OJK data, we see deteriorating asset quality across all segments, i.e., property, vehicle, and other household loans.Breaching its all-time high NPL ratio, the weaknesses observed in the apartment segment reaffirm our concern about asset quality in 2025.Maintain Neutral rating on the sector with BBCA as our top pick, followed by BTPS, on their earnings momentum and lesser ownership.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks: Deteriorating Household Loans’ Asset Quality (NEUTRAL)

Indonesia

PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk provides commercial banking activities and its related services. The Bank also provides banking activities based on shariah principles.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – Banking Sector’s P/BV Band Chart (5-Year)

The index’s performance was driven by a combination of large-cap ‘fundamental’ stocks (i.e., BBRI +11% w-w, TLKM 13%, BBCA +5%, BMRI +4%) and...

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: The 2026 Proposed Budget: Building Up Momentum

The 2026 budget balances fiscal prudence with acceleration growth, prioritizing 8 national agendas, aiming for 5.4% GDP growth.

BRI Danareksa Research

Equity Strategy: 2H25: Positioning for a Growth Rebound

We raise our JCI target to 7,960, factoring in premium from anticipated flow into conglo-group stocks, despite our lower FY25 EPS growth f’cast.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the week – JCI, LQ45, and IDX80 YTD Performance

Market review: Following 3 weeks of negative performances, JCI staged a rebound of +2.7% w-w, outperforming majority of the EM peers.

BRI Danareksa Research

Banks: Deteriorating Household Loans’ Asset Quality (NEUTRAL)

Maintain Neutral rating on the sector with BBCA as our top pick, followed by BTPS, on their earnings momentum and lesser ownership.

BRI Danareksa Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)