Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Volatility cones provide a clear framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich.</li>
<li>
Highlights:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC (5 HK),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An (2318 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> all display historically cheap implied volatility. Read on for trade suggestions.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.</li>
</ul>



Context: Volatility cones provide a clear framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich.

Highlights:Tencent (700 HK), HSBC (5 HK),Meituan (3690 HK), Ping An (2318 HK), and JD.com (9618 HK) all display historically cheap implied volatility. Read on for trade suggestions.

Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.


Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility: What Cones Reveal in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan & More

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, China Life, HSTECH ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, China Life, HSTECH ETF.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $18bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM, XINYI SOLAR, HSBC, Meituan, Jd, AIA, Bidu, Sino Biopharm, Xinyi Solar.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM, XINYI SOLAR, HSBC, Meituan, Jd, AIA, Bidu, Sino Biopharm, Xinyi Solar.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 29th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Sinopec (386 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 29th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Sinopec (386 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 29th): Tencent, China Hongqiao, Sinopec

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Dah Sing saw its Macau and China credit costs rise by 4x in 1H25 YoY</li>
<li>Headline total provision rise of 34% YoY gives a flattering view of credit metrics</li>
<li>Loan migration from benign to worse overdue loan buckets is dramatic, not visible in headlines</li>
</ul>


Dah Sing saw its Macau and China credit costs rise by 4x in 1H25 YoY
Headline total provision rise of 34% YoY gives a flattering view of credit metrics
Loan migration from benign to worse overdue loan buckets is dramatic, not visible in headlines


HK Banks - Dah Sing's Credit Costs in Macau and China Rose 4x YoY in 1H25

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is the holding company for the HSBC Group. The Company provides a variety of international banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, trade, trusteeship, securities, custody, capital markets, treasury, private and investment banking, and insurance.  The Group operates worldwide.

Price Gauge
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HSBC Holdings (5 HK)

Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility: What Cones Reveal in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan & More

Volatility cones help identify cheap options trading opportunities in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan, Ping An, and JD.com, providing actionable insights...

Gaudenz Schneider

Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $18bn Inflows

We estimate inflows into HK via southbound trade were $18bn in August, at four month high. We highlight inflows for Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), MEITUAN (3690 HK), JD.COM (9618 HK), BIDU...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 29th): Tencent, China Hongqiao, Sinopec

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Banks - Dah Sing's Credit Costs in Macau and China Rose 4x YoY in 1H25

Dah Sing Financial shows 4x growth YoY in its Macau and China credit costs. This is not clearly visible, or its Overdue Loan migration, in headline...

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility: What Cones Reveal in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan & More

​Volatility cones help identify cheap options trading opportunities in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan, Ping An, and JD.com, providing actionable insights...

Gaudenz Schneider

Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $18bn Inflows

We estimate inflows into HK via southbound trade were $18bn in August, at four month high. We highlight inflows for Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), MEITUAN (3690 HK), JD.COM (9618 HK), BIDU...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 29th): Tencent, China Hongqiao, Sinopec

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Banks - Dah Sing's Credit Costs in Macau and China Rose 4x YoY in 1H25

Dah Sing Financial shows 4x growth YoY in its Macau and China credit costs. This is not clearly visible, or its Overdue Loan migration, in headline...

Daniel Tabbush

Volatility cones help identify cheap options trading opportunities in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan, Ping An, and JD.com, providing actionable insights...