Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Opportunity: Currently eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Opportunity: Currently eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 Dec)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>NSE Indices has announced the methodology changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> that will be implemented in 4 tranches starting in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN)</a> will be added to the index to increase the number of constituents from 12 to 14.</li>
<li>Passives need to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:547:1" rel="noopener">ICICI Bank Ltd (ICICIBC IN)</a> while buying all the other stocks in the index.</li>
</ul>


NSE Indices has announced the methodology changes for the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) that will be implemented in 4 tranches starting in December.

Yes Bank (YES IN) and Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) will be added to the index to increase the number of constituents from 12 to 14.
Passives need to sell HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) and ICICI Bank Ltd (ICICIBC IN) while buying all the other stocks in the index.


NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes Announced; US$1.4bn Trade in Tranches

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axis-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:768:1" rel="noopener">Axis Bank (AXSB IN)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:547:1" rel="noopener">ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) and short Axis Bank (AXSB IN) targets a 5% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Axis Bank (AXSB IN) vs. ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) and short Axis Bank (AXSB IN) targets a 5% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) Vs. Short Axis Bank (AXSB IN): Quant-Driven Pair Trade in Indian Banks

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:547:1" rel="noopener">ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: The combination of going long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:547:1" rel="noopener">ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> has traded profitably in July and is now flagged again as a fresh opportunity.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) vs. HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: The combination of going long ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) and short HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) has traded profitably in July and is now flagged again as a fresh opportunity.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long ICICI (ICICIBC IN), Short HDFC (HDFCB IN): Fresh Statistical Arbitrage Signal in Indian Banks

<ul>
<li>In May, SEBI recommended changes to the minimum number of constituents for non-benchmark indices and the capping for those indices. Then came the market consultation in August.</li>
<li>SEBI has now confirmed the changes along with the timeline for capping changes to the largest stocks in the index.</li>
<li>The changes could commence in December and continue till March. The adds will take place in December and weight changes for the largest stocks will take place in 4 tranches.</li>
</ul>


In May, SEBI recommended changes to the minimum number of constituents for non-benchmark indices and the capping for those indices. Then came the market consultation in August.
SEBI has now confirmed the changes along with the timeline for capping changes to the largest stocks in the index.
The changes could commence in December and continue till March. The adds will take place in December and weight changes for the largest stocks will take place in 4 tranches.


NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes to Result in Big Flows

India

ICICI Bank Limited operates as a bank. The Bank offers saving accounts, loans, debit, credit cards, insurance, investments, mortgages, and online banking services. ICICI Bank serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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ICICI Bank Ltd (ICICIBC IN)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 Dec)

Discover statistical pair trade opportunities based on mean-reversion analysis in various markets and sectors, offering unique insights for...

Gaudenz Schneider

NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes Announced; US$1.4bn Trade in Tranches

Yes Bank and Union Bank will be added to the index. The weighting cap change is a net +ve for HDFCB and net -ve for ICICI Bank. Estimated turnover...

Brian Freitas

Long ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) Vs. Short Axis Bank (AXSB IN): Quant-Driven Pair Trade in Indian Banks

Pair trade with a 5% target-return amid significant deviation of the price ratio between Axis Bank vs. ICICI Bank. Opportunity for quantitative...

Gaudenz Schneider

Long ICICI (ICICIBC IN), Short HDFC (HDFCB IN): Fresh Statistical Arbitrage Signal in Indian Banks

A fresh entry opportunity has emerged as the price ratio crosses the two-standard-deviation threshold again, after fluctuating between the one- and...

Gaudenz Schneider

NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes to Result in Big Flows

The methodology and capping changes for the Nifty Bank Index will be implemented in 4 tranches, likely ending in March. The flows are big and the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 Dec)

​Discover statistical pair trade opportunities based on mean-reversion analysis in various markets and sectors, offering unique insights for...

Gaudenz Schneider

NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes Announced; US$1.4bn Trade in Tranches

Yes Bank and Union Bank will be added to the index. The weighting cap change is a net +ve for HDFCB and net -ve for ICICI Bank. Estimated turnover...

Brian Freitas

Long ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) Vs. Short Axis Bank (AXSB IN): Quant-Driven Pair Trade in Indian Banks

​Pair trade with a 5% target-return amid significant deviation of the price ratio between Axis Bank vs. ICICI Bank. Opportunity for quantitative...

Gaudenz Schneider

Long ICICI (ICICIBC IN), Short HDFC (HDFCB IN): Fresh Statistical Arbitrage Signal in Indian Banks

A fresh entry opportunity has emerged as the price ratio crosses the two-standard-deviation threshold again, after fluctuating between the one- and...

Gaudenz Schneider

NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes to Result in Big Flows

The methodology and capping changes for the Nifty Bank Index will be implemented in 4 tranches, likely ending in March. The flows are big and the...

Brian Freitas

Discover statistical pair trade opportunities based on mean-reversion analysis in various markets and sectors, offering unique insights for...

Pair trade with a 5% target-return amid significant deviation of the price ratio between Axis Bank vs. ICICI Bank. Opportunity for quantitative...