Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).</li>
<li>Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.</li>
</ul>


There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).
Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Niva Bupa Health Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/niva-bupa-health-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43716:1" rel="noopener">Niva Bupa Health Insurance (1226871D IN)</a> (Niva Bupa) raised around US$260m in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Niva Bupa is a health insurance firm. Its portfolio consists of health (including retail and group), personal accident, and travel insurance.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics, possible placement and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Niva Bupa Health Insurance (1226871D IN) (Niva Bupa) raised around US$260m in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Niva Bupa is a health insurance firm. Its portfolio consists of health (including retail and group), personal accident, and travel insurance.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics, possible placement and updates since our last note.


Niva Bupa Health Insurance IPO Lockup-Bunch of PE Investors Could Pare Around US$500m Worth of Stock

Schloss Bangalore Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schloss-bangalore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43983:1" rel="noopener">Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN)</a> raised about US$400m in its India IPO. </li>
<li>It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN) raised about US$400m in its India IPO. 
It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Schloss Bangalore IPO Trading - Decent Anchor; Muted Overall Demand

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The recent spike in Asian currencies is driving foreign institutional flows into Asian equities. Currency appreciation is usually a lead indicator of FII flows, implying that this enthusiasm may continue. </li>
<li>The markets that were sold down the most are attracting the most flows and could continue to do so. India, Taiwan and to a lesser extent, Korea qualify.</li>
<li>Domestic sectors like Chinese internet, restaurant chains, athleisure; Indian private banks, consumer discretionary, hospital chains could gain. So could defensives with high dividend yields, e.g. Korea and Chinese utilities, telecom.</li>
</ul>


The recent spike in Asian currencies is driving foreign institutional flows into Asian equities. Currency appreciation is usually a lead indicator of FII flows, implying that this enthusiasm may continue. 
The markets that were sold down the most are attracting the most flows and could continue to do so. India, Taiwan and to a lesser extent, Korea qualify.
Domestic sectors like Chinese internet, restaurant chains, athleisure; Indian private banks, consumer discretionary, hospital chains could gain. So could defensives with high dividend yields, e.g. Korea and Chinese utilities, telecom.


Asian Equities: Currency Strength Driving FII Flows – Winners and Losers

<ul>
<li>To reduce index concentration and the risk of market volatility and market manipulation, SEBI has recommended changes to the eligibility criteria for derivatives on non-benchmark indices.</li>
<li>The recommended changes will result in two inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> along with large capping changes.</li>
<li>The inclusions and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 17.05% and in a round-trip trade of INR 76.2bn (US$893m) in September.</li>
</ul>


To reduce index concentration and the risk of market volatility and market manipulation, SEBI has recommended changes to the eligibility criteria for derivatives on non-benchmark indices.
The recommended changes will result in two inclusions to the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) along with large capping changes.
The inclusions and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 17.05% and in a round-trip trade of INR 76.2bn (US$893m) in September.


NIFTY Bank Index: Impact of the Forecast Methodology Change

India

ICICI Bank Limited operates as a bank. The Bank offers saving accounts, loans, debit, credit cards, insurance, investments, mortgages, and online banking services. ICICI Bank serves customers worldwide.

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ICICI Bank Ltd (ICICIBC IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Niva Bupa Health Insurance IPO Lockup-Bunch of PE Investors Could Pare Around US$500m Worth of Stock

PE fund True North (via Fettle Tone) and Niva Bupa's MD and CEO, Krishnan Ramachandran have launched a INR10.8bn (US$126m) block of 132m shares or...

Akshat Shah

Schloss Bangalore IPO Trading - Decent Anchor; Muted Overall Demand

Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SBL) raised about US$400m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

Asian Equities: Currency Strength Driving FII Flows – Winners and Losers

In May, net buying of HK-listed stocks cratered to $5.8bn from the previous 3 month’s $20-21bn range. Avg daily turnover dropped to $12bn from the...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

NIFTY Bank Index: Impact of the Forecast Methodology Change

SEBI's proposal will result in 2 adds for the NSEBANK Index plus big downward capping for HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. Estimated one-way turnover of...

Brian Freitas

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