Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +19% Premium; Good Level to Close Out for Those Short the ADR Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -3.9% Discount; Rare Deep Discount Good Level to Long the ADR Spread</li>
<li>ASE: -5.5% Discount; Any Spread Below Parity a Good Level to Long the ADR Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +19% Premium; Good Level to Close Out for Those Short the ADR Spread
UMC: -3.9% Discount; Rare Deep Discount Good Level to Long the ADR Spread
ASE: -5.5% Discount; Any Spread Below Parity a Good Level to Long the ADR Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Weak US Friday Session Opens Up Wide Opportunities Across the Board

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC and UMC 3Q revenues are slightly above Guidance / Consensus. In US$, TSMC revenues growing at 40% YoY. Legacy Fab UMC growing at 4%. </li>
<li>This will continue, even if AI / HPC growth is slowing into 2026, the gap will remain wide between AI / HPC (say 35% growth) and Legacy (5%). </li>
<li>Ongoing concerns of AI investment bubble reflect “a lack of imagination” (Lisa Su). Stick with the category winners Nvidia - SK Hynix - TSMC , followed by AMD - Micron.</li>
</ul>


TSMC and UMC 3Q revenues are slightly above Guidance / Consensus. In US$, TSMC revenues growing at 40% YoY. Legacy Fab UMC growing at 4%. 
This will continue, even if AI / HPC growth is slowing into 2026, the gap will remain wide between AI / HPC (say 35% growth) and Legacy (5%). 
Ongoing concerns of AI investment bubble reflect “a lack of imagination” (Lisa Su). Stick with the category winners Nvidia - SK Hynix - TSMC , followed by AMD - Micron.


Semi Revenues Divergence Continues. AI, HPC Growing at ~45%, Everything Legacy in the Slumps.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated holding was USD1,352.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,460mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated holding was USD1,352.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,460mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 3rd): TSMC, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated short interest was USD26.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology, Alchip Technologies, Sinopac Financial, Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology, Alchip Technologies, Sinopac Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 3rd. The aggregated short interest was USD26.6bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology, Alchip Technologies, Sinopac Financial, Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology, Alchip Technologies, Sinopac Financial.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +26.8% Premium; Remains at Historical Extreme; Earnings Release Ahead</li>
<li>ChipMOS: +1.3% Premium; Wait for Higher Level Before Shorting the Spread</li>
<li>CHT: -1.0% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +26.8% Premium; Remains at Historical Extreme; Earnings Release Ahead
ChipMOS: +1.3% Premium; Wait for Higher Level Before Shorting the Spread
CHT: -1.0% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High Ahead of 3Q Results; CHT Rare ADR Discount

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Weak US Friday Session Opens Up Wide Opportunities Across the Board

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semi Revenues Divergence Continues. AI, HPC Growing at ~45%, Everything Legacy in the Slumps.

TSMC and UMC beat revenue expectations in 3Q, with TSMC growing at 40% YoY. The gap between AI/HPC and Legacy Fab growth is expected to widen,...

Nicolas Baratte

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 3rd): TSMC, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), MediaTek (2454 TT), Hon Hai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lite-On Technology (2301 TT), Elite Material...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High Ahead of 3Q Results; CHT Rare ADR Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Weak US Friday Session Opens Up Wide Opportunities Across the Board

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semi Revenues Divergence Continues. AI, HPC Growing at ~45%, Everything Legacy in the Slumps.

​TSMC and UMC beat revenue expectations in 3Q, with TSMC growing at 40% YoY. The gap between AI/HPC and Legacy Fab growth is expected to widen,...

Nicolas Baratte

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 3rd): TSMC, MediaTek, Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), MediaTek (2454 TT), Hon Hai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): Lite-On Technology, Elite Material, Zhen Ding Technology

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lite-On Technology (2301 TT), Elite Material...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High Ahead of 3Q Results; CHT Rare ADR Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC and UMC beat revenue expectations in 3Q, with TSMC growing at 40% YoY. The gap between AI/HPC and Legacy Fab growth is expected to widen,...