High Conviction Concentrated Growth Investing, Fallacy Alarm

Fallacy Alarm

High Conviction Concentrated Growth Investing

High conviction concentrated growth investing. Blends single stock, macro and thematic research into powerful long and short ideas. I am convinced that a robust and comprehensive investment process requires macro and micro considerations. And it requires a deep understanding what you are looking for and what you are invested in. Digitization has changed the dynamics both how businesses operate and how investors compete for returns. Ideas can scale much faster and fail much faster than before. The biggest value creation happens before it can be spotted in financial statements. As a result, my approach can be best summarized as high conviction, high concentration growth investing, embedded into a macro framework built on the realization that our current demographic set-up, monetary paradigm and innovation cycle will likely deliver a strong decade for nominal and real returns of productive assets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The commercialization of general purpose humanoid robots could be the most disruptive innovation that the next few decades have in store for us.</li><li>It would be a new computing platform that would by far surpass everything that we have seen in personal and mobile computing.</li><li>AI would be liberated from cyberspace to real space. Instead of shifting bits and bytes around, it would be moving physical objects.</li></ul>

The commercialization of general purpose humanoid robots could be the most disruptive innovation that the next few decades have in store for us.It would be a new computing platform that would by far surpass everything that we have seen in personal and mobile computing.AI would be liberated from cyberspace to real space. Instead of shifting bits and bytes around, it would be moving physical objects.

If I Wanted to Bet on Humanoids, I'd Buy Meta.

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

<ul><li>Digital advertising has surpassed the days of “Mad Men” a while ago and thanks to AI, it seems even better positioned to unlock new markets and more opportunities.</li><li>Meta is, of course, one of the companies leading this march.</li><li>Here are my highlights from today’s call. Daily Active People (DAP) across its Family of Apps (FOA) accelerated to 80 mn QoQ in 1Q’25.</li></ul>

Digital advertising has surpassed the days of “Mad Men” a while ago and thanks to AI, it seems even better positioned to unlock new markets and more opportunities.Meta is, of course, one of the companies leading this march.Here are my highlights from today’s call. Daily Active People (DAP) across its Family of Apps (FOA) accelerated to 80 mn QoQ in 1Q’25.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>All but one of the Magnificent 7 stocks have seen their rallies collapse, breaking their long-term uptrends. The lone exception? <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms (META US).</a>
</li>
<li>Mark Zuckerberg's company is the only Magnificent 7 stock that has pulled back yet may still be holding its uptrend intact.</li>
<li>Our model has identified a tactical BUY opportunity in the support price area around 640. Keep reading for the details... </li>
</ul>


All but one of the Magnificent 7 stocks have seen their rallies collapse, breaking their long-term uptrends. The lone exception? Meta Platforms (META US).

Mark Zuckerberg's company is the only Magnificent 7 stock that has pulled back yet may still be holding its uptrend intact.
Our model has identified a tactical BUY opportunity in the support price area around 640. Keep reading for the details... 


META: The Last of the Mohicans Standing - A Buy Opportunity

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Meta Platforms delivered an impressive fourth-quarter performance, with revenue surging 21% year-over-year to $48.4 billion, surpassing market expectations.</li><li>The company's net income reached $20.8 billion, reflecting its ability to drive profitability despite ongoing investments in artificial intelligence and infrastructure.</li><li>This robust financial performance was largely fueled by advancements in AI-driven ad targeting and strong engagement across Meta’s ecosystem, including Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp.</li></ul>

Meta Platforms delivered an impressive fourth-quarter performance, with revenue surging 21% year-over-year to $48.4 billion, surpassing market expectations.The company's net income reached $20.8 billion, reflecting its ability to drive profitability despite ongoing investments in artificial intelligence and infrastructure.This robust financial performance was largely fueled by advancements in AI-driven ad targeting and strong engagement across Meta’s ecosystem, including Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp.

Meta’s $65 Billion AI Push: Can It Lead The Next Big Tech Revolution?

<ul><li>In recent weeks, Meta stock has mostly been one-way street: up! That continued to be the case after-hours post 4Q’24 earnings.</li><li>Here are my highlights from today’s call. Daily Active People (DAP) across its Family of Apps (FOA) accelerated to 60 mn QoQ in 4Q’24.</li><li>It’s kind of mind boggling that Meta added 1 Billion DAP since 1Q’20.</li></ul>

In recent weeks, Meta stock has mostly been one-way street: up! That continued to be the case after-hours post 4Q’24 earnings.Here are my highlights from today’s call. Daily Active People (DAP) across its Family of Apps (FOA) accelerated to 60 mn QoQ in 4Q’24.It’s kind of mind boggling that Meta added 1 Billion DAP since 1Q’20.

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta (META US)

If I Wanted to Bet on Humanoids, I'd Buy Meta.

The commercialization of general purpose humanoid robots could be the most disruptive innovation that the next few decades have in store for us.

Fallacy Alarm

Meta 1Q'25 Update

Digital advertising has surpassed the days of “Mad Men” a while ago and thanks to AI, it seems even better positioned to unlock new markets and...

MBI Deep Dives

META: The Last of the Mohicans Standing - A Buy Opportunity

Most of the Magnificent 7 stocks rallies have collapsed, but Meta Platforms (META US) may still hold its uptrend intact - our quant model sees a...

Nico Rosti

Meta’s $65 Billion AI Push: Can It Lead The Next Big Tech Revolution?

Meta Platforms delivered an impressive fourth-quarter performance, with revenue surging 21% year-over-year to $48.4 billion, surpassing market...

Baptista Research

Meta 4Q'24 Update

In recent weeks, Meta stock has mostly been one-way street: up! That continued to be the case after-hours post 4Q’24 earnings.

MBI Deep Dives

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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If I Wanted to Bet on Humanoids, I'd Buy Meta.

The commercialization of general purpose humanoid robots could be the most disruptive innovation that the next few decades have in store for us.

Fallacy Alarm

Meta 1Q'25 Update

Digital advertising has surpassed the days of “Mad Men” a while ago and thanks to AI, it seems even better positioned to unlock new markets and...

MBI Deep Dives

META: The Last of the Mohicans Standing - A Buy Opportunity

​Most of the Magnificent 7 stocks rallies have collapsed, but Meta Platforms (META US) may still hold its uptrend intact - our quant model sees a...

Nico Rosti

Meta’s $65 Billion AI Push: Can It Lead The Next Big Tech Revolution?

Meta Platforms delivered an impressive fourth-quarter performance, with revenue surging 21% year-over-year to $48.4 billion, surpassing market...

Baptista Research

Meta 4Q'24 Update

In recent weeks, Meta stock has mostly been one-way street: up! That continued to be the case after-hours post 4Q’24 earnings.

MBI Deep Dives

Most of the Magnificent 7 stocks rallies have collapsed, but Meta Platforms (META US) may still hold its uptrend intact - our quant model sees a...