Banks: Liquidity May Ease Faster, but Stable Rupiah Is Needed for the Rally to Sustain (NEUTRAL)
An early rate cut may ease liquidity pressure faster, while some loans and marketable securities are at risk of lower yield.
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Banks: FY25 Outlook: Less money to lend, save, and repay (NEUTRAL)
We expect a moderate earnings growth of 5.8% in FY25F (from 6.7% in FY24F) due to slower loan growth, still tight liquidity, and higher CoC.
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Equity Strategy: Short-Term Domestic Growth Challenges in 2Q24 May Drive Further De-Risking
Our FY23 results recap shows market EPS growth of -12% yoy, but growth would reach +4.1% if we exclude one-offs (mainly from GOTO).
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Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN.IJ) - 3Q23 Earnings Slight Miss
9M23 net profits were below the consensus (71% of FY23F), but asset recovery might help the 4Q23 NP meet the mgmt’s lower guidance.
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Bank Tabungan Negara: Expanding Within the Housing Segment
We reiterate our BUY call on BBTN with a GGM-derived TP of IDR2,000 (implying 1.0x 2023F PBV) post the release of the 1Q23 results.
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