Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and manufacturing as top priorities.</li>
<li>The nation's banks will be instrumental in providing consumption financing to spur a virtual growth driver for the economy.  Easing monetary policies will be in addition to the trade-in programs.</li>
<li>Consumer in service sectors like e-commerce, travel &amp; tourism, healthcare, elderly care and AI will benefit from increasing consumption.  Local brands stand to gain market share against foreign competitors.</li>
</ul>


China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and manufacturing as top priorities.
The nation's banks will be instrumental in providing consumption financing to spur a virtual growth driver for the economy.  Easing monetary policies will be in addition to the trade-in programs.
Consumer in service sectors like e-commerce, travel &amp; tourism, healthcare, elderly care and AI will benefit from increasing consumption.  Local brands stand to gain market share against foreign competitors.


CHINA HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION: Unlocking Growth Potential in Five-Year Plan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>President Trump has indicated that he will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's industry dominance.</li>
<li>Although the supply commitments of REEs to supplant China's production will take years to fulfill, the tariff relief will provide immediate benefits to Chinese textile manufacturers with Southeast Asian production.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhou-intl-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10415:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> ,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yue-yuen-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12281:1" rel="noopener">Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stella-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7610:1" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a> will benefit from the tariff relief.
</li>
</ul>


President Trump has indicated that he will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's industry dominance.
Although the supply commitments of REEs to supplant China's production will take years to fulfill, the tariff relief will provide immediate benefits to Chinese textile manufacturers with Southeast Asian production.

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK) , Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) ,Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK) , and Stella International (1836 HK) will benefit from the tariff relief.



How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The August 1st deadline is approaching, and it seems a bit unclear whether a deal with Vietnam has been reached on a 20% tariff or something lower. </li>
<li>With no formal agreement and just Trump's Truth Social account as a reference, uncertainty looms. For HK-listed companies, the understanding is that they will pass on tariffs to their customers. </li>
<li>We summarize this in our call with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22670:1" rel="noopener">Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)</a> following the results. We also provide updates for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a> and other names. </li>
</ul>


The August 1st deadline is approaching, and it seems a bit unclear whether a deal with Vietnam has been reached on a 20% tariff or something lower. 
With no formal agreement and just Trump's Truth Social account as a reference, uncertainty looms. For HK-listed companies, the understanding is that they will pass on tariffs to their customers. 
We summarize this in our call with Nameson Holdings (1982 HK) following the results. We also provide updates for Pacific Textiles (1382 HK) and other names. 


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener July 2025: August 1st Deadline Approaches

<ul>
<li>Share prices are gradually stabilizing, influenced by news reports suggesting that Trump may eventually reduce tariffs on China (although trust overhang with Trump statements remains an issue).</li>
<li>Besides <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a>, most companies have halted capital allocation decisions like buybacks till more clarity emerges.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stella-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7610:1" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a>  has the highest US revenue exposure at 47%, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crystal-international-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25979:1" rel="noopener">Crystal International (2232 HK)</a> at 38%, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lever-style-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35760:1" rel="noopener">Lever Style (1346 HK)</a>  at 58%.</li>
</ul>


Share prices are gradually stabilizing, influenced by news reports suggesting that Trump may eventually reduce tariffs on China (although trust overhang with Trump statements remains an issue).
Besides Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK), most companies have halted capital allocation decisions like buybacks till more clarity emerges.

Stella International (1836 HK)  has the highest US revenue exposure at 47%, followed by Crystal International (2232 HK) at 38%, and Lever Style (1346 HK)  at 58%.


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener May 2025: Can't Shake The Tariff Overhang

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio underperformed its benchmark index during April by 1.1%.  Since its inception last year, the portfolio has outperformed its benchmark by 18%.</li>
<li>Although the tech sector was hit after April 2nd, the portfolio made 2% in its tech exposure for the month.  We reduced the portfolio's volatility &amp; increased its Sharpe ratio.</li>
<li>At the end of April, sold positions that are at risk from the tariff uncertainty and increased our exposure to China domestic consumption.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio underperformed its benchmark index during April by 1.1%.  Since its inception last year, the portfolio has outperformed its benchmark by 18%.
Although the tech sector was hit after April 2nd, the portfolio made 2% in its tech exposure for the month.  We reduced the portfolio's volatility &amp; increased its Sharpe ratio.
At the end of April, sold positions that are at risk from the tariff uncertainty and increased our exposure to China domestic consumption.


Hong Kong

Stella International Holdings Limited develops and manufactures footwear products for casual and fashion footwear companies worldwide.

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Stella International (1836 HK)

CHINA HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION: Unlocking Growth Potential in Five-Year Plan

China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and...

David Mudd

How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

President Trump will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's...

David Mudd

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener July 2025: August 1st Deadline Approaches

Textile Sector Note: Approaching Aug 1 tariff deadline to drive volatility. We see tactical opportunities and risks across our 12-stock coverage...

Sameer Taneja

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener May 2025: Can't Shake The Tariff Overhang

We identify twelve high-yield, net cash or low-net debt stocks in Hong Kong's apparel and footwear sector, analyzing their exposure to the US amid...

Sameer Taneja

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (April 2025)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio underperformed its benchmark index during April by 1.1%. Since its inception last year, the portfolio has...

David Mudd

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