Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Equity Bottom-Up

COSCO Shipping Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

First:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/286" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:286:1">COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd (H) (1919 HK)</a> 3Q17 result presentation is still messy. Second: Proposed issuance of shares for new vessels appears poorly framed.I would not usually comment on a result, but combined with placement and in perspective of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/801" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1">Orient Overseas International Ltd (316 HK)</a>,  i thought a short comment made sense. Press summary extracts at end of piece.3Q17 Poor NumbersA quick look at 3Q17 report broker comments (and share price performance) does show analysts are…

First:COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd (H) (1919 HK) 3Q17 result presentation is still messy. Second: Proposed issuance of shares for new vessels appears poorly framed.I would not usually comment on a result, but combined with placement and in perspective of Orient Overseas International Ltd (316 HK),  i thought a short comment made sense. Press summary extracts at end of piece.3Q17 Poor NumbersA quick look at 3Q17 report broker comments (and share price performance) does show analysts are…

COSCO 3Q17 Result and Cash Raise Quick Comment

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Last week we noted that, after several quarters of improving profitability, container shipping earnings could begin to stagnate as the industry faces new headwinds and tougher Y/Y comparisons (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/you-are-here-taiwanese-japanese-container-carriers-recovery-valuations-since-hanjin-s-demise" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:14725">You Are Here--&gt; Taiwanese &amp; Japanese Container Carriers’ Recovery &amp; Valuations Since Hanjin’s Demise</a>). Q2FY17 results from Japan's three largest shipping companies, released during the midday break on October 31st, suggest those headwinds may indeed be gaining strength, and that further upside from the…

Last week we noted that, after several quarters of improving profitability, container shipping earnings could begin to stagnate as the industry faces new headwinds and tougher Y/Y comparisons (see You Are Here--&gt; Taiwanese &amp; Japanese Container Carriers’ Recovery &amp; Valuations Since Hanjin’s Demise). Q2FY17 results from Japan's three largest shipping companies, released during the midday break on October 31st, suggest those headwinds may indeed be gaining strength, and that further upside from the…

Container Shipping Cyclical Gains Waning; Japan's K-Line Cuts 3/18 OP Target on Rising Competition

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Supply-demand balance still delicate, but better than last two years. The balance between supply and demand is still wafer-thin, which has had its impact, despite the peak season being underway. Our latest numbers suggest that the peak season freight rate growth is expected to be moderate this year. On the Asia-Europe trade, the late summer lull in shipments was a headwind, while the Transpacific still suffers the overhang of excess supply. In addition, massive factory closure in China…

Supply-demand balance still delicate, but better than last two years. The balance between supply and demand is still wafer-thin, which has had its impact, despite the peak season being underway. Our latest numbers suggest that the peak season freight rate growth is expected to be moderate this year. On the Asia-Europe trade, the late summer lull in shipments was a headwind, while the Transpacific still suffers the overhang of excess supply. In addition, massive factory closure in China…

Container Shipping - A Rising Tide Floats All Boats

Kerry Logistics Network / Equity Bottom-Up

Last week <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/367" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:367:1">Kerry Logistics Network Ltd (636 HK)</a> reported a disappointing set of H1 results that reinforce our growing concerns about its lack of focus. The results also suggest the company's recent acquisitions in International Freight Forwarding in the US and EU have failed to add much, if anything, to KLN's bottom line.<h2>90% of H1 Turnover Growth in Low-margin Freight Forwarding</h2>KLN reported impressive Turnover growth of 31% in H1, but over 90% of that increase came from the company's…

Last week Kerry Logistics Network Ltd (636 HK) reported a disappointing set of H1 results that reinforce our growing concerns about its lack of focus. The results also suggest the company's recent acquisitions in International Freight Forwarding in the US and EU have failed to add much, if anything, to KLN's bottom line.90% of H1 Turnover Growth in Low-margin Freight ForwardingKLN reported impressive Turnover growth of 31% in H1, but over 90% of that increase came from the company's…

Kerry Logistics Network: Still Struggling to Convert Revenue Growth into Higher Profits in H1

<h2>Overview</h2>Since <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/18689" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18689:1">Hanjin Shipping Co Ltd (117930 KS)</a> declared bankruptcy at the end of August 2016, market conditions in long-haul container shipping have improved substantially. The removal of Hanjin's capacity (and it's aggressive pricing tactics) combined with a modest improvement in demand led to a strong improvement in freight rates in most long-haul markets since the end of Q3 last year. In addition, a series of recent mergers and acquisitions in the sector, plus new carrier alliances that…

OverviewSince Hanjin Shipping Co Ltd (117930 KS) declared bankruptcy at the end of August 2016, market conditions in long-haul container shipping have improved substantially. The removal of Hanjin's capacity (and it's aggressive pricing tactics) combined with a modest improvement in demand led to a strong improvement in freight rates in most long-haul markets since the end of Q3 last year. In addition, a series of recent mergers and acquisitions in the sector, plus new carrier alliances that…

Evergreen, Yang Ming Q217 Results Show Sharp Recovery Since Hanjin Bankruptcy in Q316; Now What?

Hong Kong

Orient Overseas International Ltd, through its subsidiaries, owns and leases ships, operates terminals, and provides freight forwarding and container transportation services.  The Company also develops and invests in properties, leases equipment, and invests in securities.

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Orient Overseas International (316 HK)

COSCO 3Q17 Result and Cash Raise Quick Comment

First:COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd (H) (1919 HK) 3Q17 result presentation is still messy. Second: Proposed issuance of shares for new vessels...

Charles De Trenck

Container Shipping Cyclical Gains Waning; Japan's K-Line Cuts 3/18 OP Target on Rising Competition

Last week we noted that, after several quarters of improving profitability, container shipping earnings could begin to stagnate as the industry...

Daniel Hellberg

Container Shipping - A Rising Tide Floats All Boats

Supply-demand balance still delicate, but better than last two years. The balance between supply and demand is still wafer-thin, which has had its...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Kerry Logistics Network: Still Struggling to Convert Revenue Growth into Higher Profits in H1

Last week Kerry Logistics Network Ltd (636 HK) reported a disappointing set of H1 results that reinforce our growing concerns about its lack of...

Daniel Hellberg

Evergreen, Yang Ming Q217 Results Show Sharp Recovery Since Hanjin Bankruptcy in Q316; Now What?

OverviewSince Hanjin Shipping Co Ltd (117930 KS) declared bankruptcy at the end of August 2016, market conditions in long-haul container shipping...

Daniel Hellberg

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