Macro Strategy: 2026: Navigating the Rate and Yield Transition
We expect 2026 INDOGB yields at 5.62%–6.14% (5.9% yr-end baseline), supported by expected rate cuts, stable IDR and foreign ownership.
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BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – ICBP P/E Band – Core Profit
JCI rose 1.5% w-w, outperforming majority of EM peers (except for Korea’s Kospi index +4.4% w-w), bringing YTD performance to 21.9%.
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Macro Strategy: 2026: Reassessing the Investment Cycle
Manufacturing-led FDI now anchors investment growth, lifting GFCF and widening regional benefit with Ex-Java areas benefiting the most.
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Macro Strategy: 2026: The Dual Levers
Indonesia’s growth is driven by steady consumption and increasingly important investment, both forming dual engine for growth expansion.
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Banks: Middle Income Trapped (NEUTRAL)
Investment loans continue to be the backbone of growth and asset quality, while deteriorating consumer asset quality persisted in 1H25.
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