ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak-com-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> 3Q2023 results confirmed that it is on track to achieving EBITDA breakeven in 4Q2023, with strong revenue growth and a significant improvement in its contribution margin.</li>
<li>The was a slight slowdown in marketplace revenue QoQ due to a high Lebaran base, mainly due to slower gaming. 4Q2023 should see a strong recovery and higher take rates. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak-com-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a> looks to be pressing all the right buttons but more granularity on what is driving higher take rates would be well-received . Valuations look attractive relative to peers.</li>
</ul>



Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) 3Q2023 results confirmed that it is on track to achieving EBITDA breakeven in 4Q2023, with strong revenue growth and a significant improvement in its contribution margin.
The was a slight slowdown in marketplace revenue QoQ due to a high Lebaran base, mainly due to slower gaming. 4Q2023 should see a strong recovery and higher take rates. 

Bukalapak looks to be pressing all the right buttons but more granularity on what is driving higher take rates would be well-received . Valuations look attractive relative to peers.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Taking the Track Towards Profitability

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

J&T Global Express  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a>, a global logistics service provider, raised around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK), a global logistics service provider, raised around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


J&T Global Express IPO Trading - Tepid Demand Despite the Team Effort

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express</a>, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its  Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



J&amp;T Global Express, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its  Hong Kong IPO.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.


J&T Global Express IPO - Team Effort for Some Heavy Lifting

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. </li>
<li>The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. </li>
<li>We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.</li>
</ul>


Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. 
The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. 
We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra International as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.


Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia</a> may see a stabilisation of the declines in GTV that it has experienced over the last 2Qs, with some of the platform's new initiatives gaining traction.</li>
<li>The closure of TikTok Shop should be positive at the margin for Tokopedia but it has also rolled back its platform fee, which has had a positive impact on growth.</li>
<li>New initiatives include GoRide Transit, GoCorp, GoTo PLUS, and the GoPay app, with the latter seeing strong take-up. 3Q2023 results should reveal more details on initiatives. All-time low seems unjustified.</li>
</ul>



GoTo Gojek Tokopedia may see a stabilisation of the declines in GTV that it has experienced over the last 2Qs, with some of the platform's new initiatives gaining traction.
The closure of TikTok Shop should be positive at the margin for Tokopedia but it has also rolled back its platform fee, which has had a positive impact on growth.
New initiatives include GoRide Transit, GoCorp, GoTo PLUS, and the GoPay app, with the latter seeing strong take-up. 3Q2023 results should reveal more details on initiatives. All-time low seems unjustified.


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Building Positive Resonance with New Initiatives

Singapore

Sea Limited offers information technology services. The Company provides online personal computer and mobile digital content, e-commerce, and payment platforms. Sea serves customers worldwide.

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Sea Ltd (SE US)

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Taking the Track Towards Profitability

Bukalapak's 3Q23 results confirmed that it is on track to achieving EBITDA breakeven in 4Q23, with higher take rates, strong revenue growth and a...

Angus Mackintosh

J&T Global Express IPO Trading - Tepid Demand Despite the Team Effort

J&T Global Express (1519 HK), a global logistics service provider, raised around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

J&T Global Express IPO - Team Effort for Some Heavy Lifting

J&T Global Express, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about its...

Sumeet Singh

Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

We explore the prospects across different sectors in Indonesia with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - Building Positive Resonance with New Initiatives

GoTo's new initiatives include GoRide Transit, GoCorp, GoTo PLUS, and the GoPay app, the latter seeing strong take-up. 3Q2023 results should see...

Angus Mackintosh

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