Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

China Resources Beer Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A liquid proxy for China's recovering consumption (with no technology regulation risk)</li>
<li>A quality red chip company at a very reasonable valuation</li>
<li>Growing sales and margins as its premiumisation strategy is executed</li>
</ul>


A liquid proxy for China's recovering consumption (with no technology regulation risk)
A quality red chip company at a very reasonable valuation
Growing sales and margins as its premiumisation strategy is executed


Cheers! Raise a Glass to China Resources Beer (0291.HK)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a> has seen investors run for the hills over the last year. The halving of the stock price could mean deletion from passive portfolios.</li>
<li>Other Hong Kong listed brewers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beer-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:399:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsingtao-brewery-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1296:1" rel="noopener">Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H (168 HK)</a> have been beaten down too and have underperformed their Asian peers.</li>
<li>The deletion from passive portfolios could provide a buying opportunity in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a> at the end of February (or earlier if the stock drops due to positioning).</li>
</ul>



Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK) has seen investors run for the hills over the last year. The halving of the stock price could mean deletion from passive portfolios.
Other Hong Kong listed brewers, China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK) and Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd H (168 HK) have been beaten down too and have underperformed their Asian peers.
The deletion from passive portfolios could provide a buying opportunity in Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK) at the end of February (or earlier if the stock drops due to positioning).


Bud APAC (1876 HK): Nursing a Hangover; Now Comes a Passive Overhang

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>A group of shareholders aims to raise US$1.3bn (JPY197.8bn) by selling their respective stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10482:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)</a> via an extended secondary follow-on.</li>
<li>We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/asahi-group-placement-relatively-small-one-when-compared-to-previous-large-jp-secondary-selldowns" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:117700" rel="noopener">Asahi Group Placement - Relatively Small One when Compared to Previous Large JP Secondary Selldowns</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates since and look at the performance of some of the past large Japan deals.</li>
</ul>


A group of shareholders aims to raise US$1.3bn (JPY197.8bn) by selling their respective stakes in Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP) via an extended secondary follow-on.
We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier note, Asahi Group Placement - Relatively Small One when Compared to Previous Large JP Secondary Selldowns.
In this note, we talk about the updates since and look at the performance of some of the past large Japan deals.


Asahi Group Placement - Follow Up - Shaping up for a Christmas Cheer

<ul>
<li>In Apr 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (6979 HK)</a> raised around US$676m in its HK IPO. While it initially had a turbulent listing, the shares are now trading above its IPO price.</li>
<li>ZJLD Group (ZJLD) is a Chinese liquor company primarily producing baijiu. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performance and future prospects.</li>
</ul>


In Apr 2023, ZJLD Group (6979 HK) raised around US$676m in its HK IPO. While it initially had a turbulent listing, the shares are now trading above its IPO price.
ZJLD Group (ZJLD) is a Chinese liquor company primarily producing baijiu. 
In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performance and future prospects.


2024 High Conviction - ZJLD - Buoyed by a Premiumisation Shift

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (6979 HK)</a> raised US$676m in its Hong Kong IPO in April 2023. Its six-month lockup will expire on 26th Oct 2023.</li>
<li>ZJLD is a Chinese liquor company producing baijiu. As per F&amp;S, the firm ranked third among all baijiu companies with three or more aroma types in terms of FY21 sales.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (6979 HK) raised US$676m in its Hong Kong IPO in April 2023. Its six-month lockup will expire on 26th Oct 2023.
ZJLD is a Chinese liquor company producing baijiu. As per F&amp;S, the firm ranked third among all baijiu companies with three or more aroma types in terms of FY21 sales.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


ZJLD Lock-Up - KKR’s US$680m Stake to Be Unlocked, Although the PE Could Opt to Wait

United States

Anheuser-Busch InBev NV brews beer.  The Company manufactures ale, lager, stout, and bitter beer.  Anheuser-Busch InBev owns brands that are both nationally and internationally prominent.  The Company has production plants in Europe, the Americas, and Asia.

Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD US)

Cheers! Raise a Glass to China Resources Beer (0291.HK)

A quality Chinese red chip company at a reasonable valuation, growing sales and margins due to its premium strategy. A play on recovering Chinese...

Rikki Malik

Bud APAC (1876 HK): Nursing a Hangover; Now Comes a Passive Overhang

Bud APAC is up since the Insight was published and is near the upper end of the downward sloping channel. With Hong Kong closed Monday and Tuesday...

Brian Freitas

Asahi Group Placement - Follow Up - Shaping up for a Christmas Cheer

A group of shareholders aims to raise US$1.3bn (JPY197.8bn) by selling their respective stakes in Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP) via an extended...

Clarence Chu

2024 High Conviction - ZJLD - Buoyed by a Premiumisation Shift

In Apr 2023, ZJLD Group (6979 HK) raised around US$676m in its HK IPO. While it initially had a turbulent listing, the shares are now trading above...

Clarence Chu

ZJLD Lock-Up - KKR’s US$680m Stake to Be Unlocked, Although the PE Could Opt to Wait

ZJLD Group (6979 HK) raised US$676m in its Hong Kong IPO in April 2023. Its six-month lockup will expire on 26th Oct 2023.

Clarence Chu