Focus Now on Prabowo & "People Power" / Parliament Unchanged / Expect Yet More Caution / Uno Uneasy
Prabowo refused to concede defeat despite reliable Quick Counts showing a 55% Widodo win. Prabowo also fancifully claimed victory, denounced fraud...
635 Views
No Narrowing / Moderate Unrest Risk / Overseas Ballot Case / Tax Rule Tweaks / Quick Count Methods
Prabowo's rhetoric has become even more strident, but there is no reason -- and no data -- to suggest that he is drawing any closer. Reliable...
704 Views
18pt Lead Mitigates Prabowo-Related Risk / Islamic Parties Declining / PRC Textile Plan / 4th Debate
Two new and credible polls show Widodo leading by margins of 18-19 percentage points over Prabowo. This mitigates -- but does not entirely...
607 Views
Widodo Lead Intact / VP Debate Lacks Impact / Trade Slows / Permitting Impediment / PPP Chair Arrest
A new poll from Alvara concurs with last week's LSI data and shows Widodo's lead intact. A TV debate between the VP nominees was largely...
561 Views
Widodo Leads 59-31 / IA-Cepa Holds Promise / Online Permitting Progresses / Rights Activist Arrested
A credible poll -- the first new trustworthy data in a month -- shows Widodo having expanded his lead to 59 percent, versus 31 percent for...
225 Views