Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

As I noted in my post from a fortnight ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blockchain-in-the-financial-services-industry" target="_blank">Blockchain in the Financial Services Industry</a>, central banks are taking greater interest in blockchain and exploring potential applications.A good example is the recent decision by Canada's central bank, The Bank of Canada, to develop an electronic 'version' of the Canadian Dollar ("CAD"). The initiative involves issuing, transferring and settling central bank assets via a token named 'CAD-Coin'. The idea would involve participants pledging cash (CAD)…

As I noted in my post from a fortnight ago, Blockchain in the Financial Services Industry, central banks are taking greater interest in blockchain and exploring potential applications.A good example is the recent decision by Canada's central bank, The Bank of Canada, to develop an electronic 'version' of the Canadian Dollar ("CAD"). The initiative involves issuing, transferring and settling central bank assets via a token named 'CAD-Coin'. The idea would involve participants pledging cash (CAD)…

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

While credit quality is certainly the most important issue facing China’s banks, we can not dismiss core income. This is what will pay for credit costs. But China’s banks are quietly facing a vanishing of their asset yields and therefore, net interest margins (NIM). Where interest rates are not coming down in the quarter, we suspect that much of the worsening in asset yields and NIM is due to loans not paying market rates.These may more affectionately be called NPLs, restructured loans or…

While credit quality is certainly the most important issue facing China’s banks, we can not dismiss core income. This is what will pay for credit costs. But China’s banks are quietly facing a vanishing of their asset yields and therefore, net interest margins (NIM). Where interest rates are not coming down in the quarter, we suspect that much of the worsening in asset yields and NIM is due to loans not paying market rates.These may more affectionately be called NPLs, restructured loans or…

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

In this part: Continued discussions with Strategists, Investors. ...Noble Scuttlebutt. Pacific Basin disaster. Oil Rebound Picks from last year. Continued  hucksterism at the Fed. .. and a quick update on the future of report presentations.  Are we about to get some revolutionary upgrades for off the rack software? (...and should not the Smartkarma community be ready for upgraded presentation standards?)Noble Scuttlebutt: The first item of note is the great summary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/378" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:378">Noble Group Ltd</a> and its…

In this part: Continued discussions with Strategists, Investors. ...Noble Scuttlebutt. Pacific Basin disaster. Oil Rebound Picks from last year. Continued  hucksterism at the Fed. .. and a quick update on the future of report presentations.  Are we about to get some revolutionary upgrades for off the rack software? (...and should not the Smartkarma community be ready for upgraded presentation standards?)Noble Scuttlebutt: The first item of note is the great summary of Noble Group Ltd and its…

Too Much Going On To Be Bullish (Cont.) Noble, Stock Updates

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

Yesterday was money and credit data release data in China.  Most of the numbers grew robustly, as is always expected with this specific release, but there were two numbers that we wanted to highlight because of what they mean for other issues.First, new RMB loans in China were up 9% YoY and 16% YTD YoY.  This represents the ongoing rapid expansion of credit in China that at best seems unsustainable at worst reckless.  Despite talk of restricting credit expansion, credit is growing more than…

Yesterday was money and credit data release data in China.  Most of the numbers grew robustly, as is always expected with this specific release, but there were two numbers that we wanted to highlight because of what they mean for other issues.First, new RMB loans in China were up 9% YoY and 16% YTD YoY.  This represents the ongoing rapid expansion of credit in China that at best seems unsustainable at worst reckless.  Despite talk of restricting credit expansion, credit is growing more than…

The Importance of the Obscure: Banker's Acceptance and Capital Flows Out of China

It was announced early Asia morning that the MSCI would not be including China in the Emerging Market Index.  While China had clearly hoped for inclusion at the annual, there were signs pointing to this as the outcome.  There are a number of important market factors to include going forward.First, it was MSCI exclusion that triggered the July 2015 collapse in A-share prices.  Though no Chinese indexes are nearly as frothy as in June 2015, there will be significant additional downward pressure on…

It was announced early Asia morning that the MSCI would not be including China in the Emerging Market Index.  While China had clearly hoped for inclusion at the annual, there were signs pointing to this as the outcome.  There are a number of important market factors to include going forward.First, it was MSCI exclusion that triggered the July 2015 collapse in A-share prices.  Though no Chinese indexes are nearly as frothy as in June 2015, there will be significant additional downward pressure on…

What MSCI Rejection Means for Chinese Indexes and the RMB

China

Agricultural Bank of China Limited provides a full range of commercial banking services. The Banks services includes RMB and foreign currency deposit, loan, international and domestic settlement, bill discount, currency trading, bank guarantee, and treasury bill underwriting.

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Agricultural Bank of China (601288 CH)

Blockchain and Central Banks

As I noted in my post from a fortnight ago, Blockchain in the Financial Services Industry, central banks are taking greater interest in blockchain...

Ishita Jain

The Quiet Collapse in China Bank Margins

While credit quality is certainly the most important issue facing China’s banks, we can not dismiss core income. This is what will pay for credit...

Daniel Tabbush

Too Much Going On To Be Bullish (Cont.) Noble, Stock Updates

In this part: Continued discussions with Strategists, Investors. ...Noble Scuttlebutt. Pacific Basin disaster. Oil Rebound Picks from last year....

Charles De Trenck

The Importance of the Obscure: Banker's Acceptance and Capital Flows Out of China

Yesterday was money and credit data release data in China. Most of the numbers grew robustly, as is always expected with this specific release,...

Christopher Balding

What MSCI Rejection Means for Chinese Indexes and the RMB

It was announced early Asia morning that the MSCI would not be including China in the Emerging Market Index. While China had clearly hoped for...

Christopher Balding

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