Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The US has maintained the reciprocal tariff rate on Thailand at 36%, while allowing room for negotiations before the new tariff takes effect on August 1, 2025.</li><li>If the US ultimately imposes this 36% tariff on Thai exports (with KTX estimating a 30% probability), it would undermine the competitiveness of Thai products — particularly electronics and rubber — posing downside risk that could push the SET Index down to 1,037 points over the next 12 months.</li><li>However, we believe the Thai government will make strong efforts to negotiate the rate down closer to 18% (55% probability). </li></ul>

The US has maintained the reciprocal tariff rate on Thailand at 36%, while allowing room for negotiations before the new tariff takes effect on August 1, 2025.If the US ultimately imposes this 36% tariff on Thai exports (with KTX estimating a 30% probability), it would undermine the competitiveness of Thai products — particularly electronics and rubber — posing downside risk that could push the SET Index down to 1,037 points over the next 12 months.However, we believe the Thai government will make strong efforts to negotiate the rate down closer to 18% (55% probability). 

Special Report: Reciprocal Tariff - JULY 9, 2025

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,120/1,110 points and the resistance at 1,135 points (10-day EMA)/1,136/1,146 points.</li><li>In the medium term, the index remains in a downtrend within the 960-1,200-point range, seeking a bottoming-out signal.</li><li>In the short term, there is potential for a continued rebound, with a target of 1,162 points, which could mark a shift in trend from the previous downtrend pattern (new lows followed by rebounds) to a base-building phase for a new upward cycle (possibly forming a double bottom or W-shape). </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,120/1,110 points and the resistance at 1,135 points (10-day EMA)/1,136/1,146 points.In the medium term, the index remains in a downtrend within the 960-1,200-point range, seeking a bottoming-out signal.In the short term, there is potential for a continued rebound, with a target of 1,162 points, which could mark a shift in trend from the previous downtrend pattern (new lows followed by rebounds) to a base-building phase for a new upward cycle (possibly forming a double bottom or W-shape). 

KTX Zoom - ECB Expected to Cut Interest Rates to Support Growth: April 17, 2025

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to rise, with the resistance levels at 1,135 points (10-day EMA) and 1,146 points, and the support levels at 1,118 and 1,110 points.</li><li>The index is supported by positive news from the US announcing the removal of tariffs on IT products such as smartphones, hard disks, etc., with its trading partners.</li><li>In the medium term, the index remains in a downtrend within the range of 960-1,200 points as it seeks a bottoming-out signal. </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to rise, with the resistance levels at 1,135 points (10-day EMA) and 1,146 points, and the support levels at 1,118 and 1,110 points.The index is supported by positive news from the US announcing the removal of tariffs on IT products such as smartphones, hard disks, etc., with its trading partners.In the medium term, the index remains in a downtrend within the range of 960-1,200 points as it seeks a bottoming-out signal. 

KTX Zoom - Keep an Eye on China’s 1Q25 GDP Growth Along with Economic Data

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,150/1,140 points and the resistance at 1,166/1,174 points (10-day EMA) and 1,180 points.</li><li>In the medium term, the trend remains bearish in a zig-zag down pattern, seeking the bottom within the 1,100-1,506 range.</li><li>In the short term, the index is still in a downtrend (forming new lows followed by rebounds). </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,150/1,140 points and the resistance at 1,166/1,174 points (10-day EMA) and 1,180 points.In the medium term, the trend remains bearish in a zig-zag down pattern, seeking the bottom within the 1,100-1,506 range.In the short term, the index is still in a downtrend (forming new lows followed by rebounds). 

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move lower. The key support levels are at 1,150/1,130 points, while the resistance is at 1,176 points (10-day EMA) and 1,185 points.</li><li>The medium-term trend remains downward in a zig-zag down pattern as the index searches for the bottom within the broader range of 1,100-1,506 points.</li><li>In the short term, the index continues in a downtrend (forming new lows with occasional rebounds). </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move lower. The key support levels are at 1,150/1,130 points, while the resistance is at 1,176 points (10-day EMA) and 1,185 points.The medium-term trend remains downward in a zig-zag down pattern as the index searches for the bottom within the broader range of 1,100-1,506 points.In the short term, the index continues in a downtrend (forming new lows with occasional rebounds). 

Thailand

Amata Corporation Public Company Limited develops industrial estates primarily served for manufacturing plants and factories. The Company acquires land and develops essential infrastructure and facilities ready for industrialized operations. Ameta also has overseas investments in Vietnam.

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Amata Corp Public (AMATA TB)

Special Report: Reciprocal Tariff - JULY 9, 2025

We recommend speculative buying of stocks affected by concerns over the 36% tariff, namely DELTA, HANA, CCET, SVI, STA, NER, WHA, and AMATA.

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom - ECB Expected to Cut Interest Rates to Support Growth: April 17, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,120/1,110 points and the resistance at 1,135 points (10-day EMA)...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom - Keep an Eye on China’s 1Q25 GDP Growth Along with Economic Data

Technically, the SET Index is expected to rise, with the resistance levels at 1,135 points (10-day EMA) and 1,146 points, and the support levels at...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom: US Employment - APRIL 4, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,150/1,140 points and the resistance at 1,166/1,174 points (10-day...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom - APRIL 3, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move lower. The key support levels are at 1,150/1,130 points, while the resistance is at 1,176 points (10...

Krungthai XSpring

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