Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There is a lot of excitement and uncertainty about the paint sector especially Asian Paints' leadership in the broader market and among analysts.</li>
<li>We interact with a couple of paint dealers across Delhi and Dimapur to gauge the sentiment on the ground.</li>
<li>While there is no denying that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grasim-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:290:1" rel="noopener">Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN)</a> poses a credible threat it might be too early to write off the market leader <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There is a lot of excitement and uncertainty about the paint sector especially Asian Paints' leadership in the broader market and among analysts.
We interact with a couple of paint dealers across Delhi and Dimapur to gauge the sentiment on the ground.
While there is no denying that Grasim Industries (GRASIM IN) poses a credible threat it might be too early to write off the market leader Asian Paints (APNT IN). 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>AntFin is looking to raise around US$350m by selling around 2% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Ant just came out of lockup from the previous selldown a few days ago.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


AntFin is looking to raise around US$350m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN).
Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Ant just came out of lockup from the previous selldown a few days ago.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Zomato Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, Somewhat Well Flagged

<ul>
<li>Due to the ongoing earnings season, for the next couple of weeks, we will temporarily deviate from our regular format and instead focus on reported earnings.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> - The core concerns that worry the street do warrant attention. While the management believes it is temporary, we anticipate some more incremental pain ahead. </li>
<li>Other interesting names highlighted include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4627:1" rel="noopener">Delta Corp Ltd (DELTA IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indiamart-intermesh-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27733:1" rel="noopener">IndiaMart (INMART IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India (POLYCAB IN)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poonawalla-fincorp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3449:1" rel="noopener">Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Due to the ongoing earnings season, for the next couple of weeks, we will temporarily deviate from our regular format and instead focus on reported earnings.

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) - The core concerns that worry the street do warrant attention. While the management believes it is temporary, we anticipate some more incremental pain ahead. 
Other interesting names highlighted include Delta Corp Ltd (DELTA IN), IndiaMart (INMART IN), Polycab India (POLYCAB IN), and Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN). 


[Week 17] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition | HDFCB's Core Concerns

Analyst

Steve

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-paint-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7387:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP)</a> announced a better-than-expected 3Q23 results this week, mainly driven by a resilient China decorative paint business. </li>
<li>The company also raised 2023 operating profit guidance, expecting around 6% higher operating profit (Y168bn from Y158bn previously).</li>
<li>At 21x forward PE, the company is attractively valued given the growth profile and strong market share position in most end-markets.  </li>
</ul>



Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP) announced a better-than-expected 3Q23 results this week, mainly driven by a resilient China decorative paint business. 
The company also raised 2023 operating profit guidance, expecting around 6% higher operating profit (Y168bn from Y158bn previously).
At 21x forward PE, the company is attractively valued given the growth profile and strong market share position in most end-markets.  


Nippon Paint (4612 JP):  Results Beat On Resilient China 2C Business

<ul>
<li>We believe the undertone in the market is bullish, Large Caps are "out of flavour" and hence an L/S (Long/Short) strategy with INDA/SMIN could be an interesting pair to track. </li>
<li>We visited a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> showroom in Western India gathering hints of the defensive strategy in India. </li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-paints-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6354:1" rel="noopener">Asian Paints (APNT IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ce-info-systems-mapmyindia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34215:1" rel="noopener">CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) (1052633Z IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix (EBIX US)</a>.  </li>
</ul>


We believe the undertone in the market is bullish, Large Caps are "out of flavour" and hence an L/S (Long/Short) strategy with INDA/SMIN could be an interesting pair to track. 
We visited a BYD (1211 HK) showroom in Western India gathering hints of the defensive strategy in India. 
Other names discussed include Asian Paints (APNT IN), CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) (1052633Z IN) and Ebix (EBIX US).  


[Week 5] Namaste India 🙏 | BYD (1211 HK) | Playing Defence

India

Asian Paints Limited manufactures a wide range of decorative paints, varnishes, enamels, and black & synthetic resins. The Company, through its subsidiaries, also manufactures specialty industrial chemicals and vinyl pyridine latex products which are used in the manufacture of rubber tires.

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Asian Paints (APNT IN)