Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today was the review cutoff for the June rebalance of the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF. We see one potential change at the review.</li>
<li>Passive trackers are estimated to buy nearly 6 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pegatron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12852:1" rel="noopener">Pegatron Corp (4938 TT)</a> while selling around 1.7 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silergy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13998:1" rel="noopener">Silergy Corp (6415 TT)</a>.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pegatron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12852:1" rel="noopener">Pegatron Corp (4938 TT)</a> has continued to drop as the stock has moved higher; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silergy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13998:1" rel="noopener">Silergy Corp (6415 TT)</a>'s short interest has risen as the stock has dropped.</li>
</ul>


Today was the review cutoff for the June rebalance of the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF. We see one potential change at the review.
Passive trackers are estimated to buy nearly 6 days of ADV on Pegatron Corp (4938 TT) while selling around 1.7 days of ADV on Silergy Corp (6415 TT).
Short interest on Pegatron Corp (4938 TT) has continued to drop as the stock has moved higher; Silergy Corp (6415 TT)'s short interest has risen as the stock has dropped.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: One Change Expected in June

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wistron, Lotus, Yageo, Mediatek, Tatung, Cathay Financial, Giant Manufacture.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wistron, Lotus, Yageo, Mediatek, Tatung, Cathay Financial, Giant Manufacture.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 19th): Wistron, Lotus, Yageo, Mediatek, Tatung, Cathay Financial

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This week is relatively in terms of earnings. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials (AMAT US)</a> will however be reporting on the 18th U.S. time.</li>
<li>Hon Hai sees the PC market bottoming; Separately, we've closed our Long Acer vs. Short Asus and reversed it to Long Asus vs. Short Acer again.</li>
<li>Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers.</li>
</ul>


This week is relatively in terms of earnings. Applied Materials (AMAT US) will however be reporting on the 18th U.S. time.
Hon Hai sees the PC market bottoming; Separately, we've closed our Long Acer vs. Short Asus and reversed it to Long Asus vs. Short Acer again.
Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

<ul>
<li>Since we released our piece suggesting closing our original Long Asustek vs. Short Acer, and reversing to Long ACER vs. Short Asustek, this new trade has earned a 6.9% spread.</li>
<li>Given the latest performance between the two shares and the latest results from Asustek, we believe one can now close out Long Acer/Short Asustek... and reverse the trade again.</li>
<li>Hence we now like Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on relative share performance and latest guidance from Asustek.</li>
</ul>


Since we released our piece suggesting closing our original Long Asustek vs. Short Acer, and reversing to Long ACER vs. Short Asustek, this new trade has earned a 6.9% spread.
Given the latest performance between the two shares and the latest results from Asustek, we believe one can now close out Long Acer/Short Asustek... and reverse the trade again.
Hence we now like Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on relative share performance and latest guidance from Asustek.


Long Acer Vs. Short Asustek: 6.9% Performance in One Week, Can REVERSE the Trade Again

<ul>
<li>In our view, Hon Hai 3Q23 results showcased stability for 2023E ahead of expected growth in 2024E-2025E.</li>
<li>The company has maintained its 2025E 10% gross margin target and highlighted how its EV business expansion is continuing.</li>
<li>While Consumer Electronics revenue is expected to fall this year, PC Products is expected to grow given the company believes the PC market has bottomed. Stay Long Hon Hai.</li>
</ul>


In our view, Hon Hai 3Q23 results showcased stability for 2023E ahead of expected growth in 2024E-2025E.
The company has maintained its 2025E 10% gross margin target and highlighted how its EV business expansion is continuing.
While Consumer Electronics revenue is expected to fall this year, PC Products is expected to grow given the company believes the PC market has bottomed. Stay Long Hon Hai.


Hon Hai Sees Computing Products Rebound, PC Market Bottomed; EV Expanding

Taiwan

Asustek Computer Inc. manufactures and markets computer motherboards, interface cards, notebook computers, and other related products.

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Asustek Computer (2357 TT)

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance: One Change Expected in June

There could be one change for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF with Pegatron replacing Silergy. There is decent impact expected on the stocks...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 19th): Wistron, Lotus, Yageo, Mediatek, Tatung, Cathay Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wistron, Lotus, Yageo, Mediatek, Tatung, Cathay...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers. WiWynn shares crashed post results despite...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Long Acer Vs. Short Asustek: 6.9% Performance in One Week, Can REVERSE the Trade Again

We are closing out the previous trade and now like Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on relative share performance and latest guidance from Asustek.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Hon Hai Sees Computing Products Rebound, PC Market Bottomed; EV Expanding

Hon Hai 3Q23 results showcased stability for 2023E... ahead of expected strong profit growth in 2024E-2025E. Computing Products will show relative...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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