Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Welcome to the second research piece in our “Business Cycle Week”.</li><li>In this edition of the series on the business cycle, we will focus on whether FX markets sniff out the cycle ahead of other asset markets.</li><li>Is the USD a bellwether of global trends or is it just a saying?</li></ul>

Welcome to the second research piece in our “Business Cycle Week”.In this edition of the series on the business cycle, we will focus on whether FX markets sniff out the cycle ahead of other asset markets.Is the USD a bellwether of global trends or is it just a saying?

FX Watch: Have FX Markets Sniffed out an Upcoming Rebound?

<ul>
<li>Happy Sunday and welcome to our weekly flagship publication “Steno Signals”.</li>
<li>We have had a great week trading-wise except for being stopped out in our EUR/USD shorts and we find the price action in the USD extremely interesting to assess.</li>
<li>Could the moves we see in FX space be a harbinger of an unexpected cyclical rebound?</li>
</ul>


Happy Sunday and welcome to our weekly flagship publication “Steno Signals”.
We have had a great week trading-wise except for being stopped out in our EUR/USD shorts and we find the price action in the USD extremely interesting to assess.
Could the moves we see in FX space be a harbinger of an unexpected cyclical rebound?


Steno Signals #57 – What on earth is going on with the USD?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Media reports indicate that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> is in the crosshairs of investors looking to take the company private.</li>
<li>In an announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a> said it is regularly involved in discussion with strategic parties to create value for shareholders.</li>
<li>The recent large contract from the US Navy, potentially more contracts in the pipeline and a weak AUD could result in investors paying up to take the company private.</li>
</ul>


Media reports indicate that Austal Ltd (ASB AU) is in the crosshairs of investors looking to take the company private.
In an announcement, Austal Ltd (ASB AU) said it is regularly involved in discussion with strategic parties to create value for shareholders.
The recent large contract from the US Navy, potentially more contracts in the pipeline and a weak AUD could result in investors paying up to take the company private.


Austal (ASB AU): Privatisation on the Cards?

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets, Kaiko

Kaiko

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets

Kaiko is the leading cryptocurrency market data provider for institutional investors and enterprises. We empower market participants with accurate, transparent, and actionable financial data to be leveraged for a range of market activities. Kaiko’s mission is to be the foundation of the new digital finance economy by serving as a single source for market information. Our mission is premised on the idea that high-quality data drives market efficiency and greater transparency throughout the industry. For each of our enterprise clients, we build custom data plans designed for a range of use cases.

Crypto

<ul><li>Last week, Binance announced that it would restrict trading of privacy tokens for users in France, Italy, Poland, and Spain starting June 26.</li><li>This follows similar de-listings by Huobi, OkCoin, Bithumb, and Upbit.</li><li>As the name suggests, privacy tokens are designed to allow users to transact anonymously, rather than pseudonymously.</li></ul>

Last week, Binance announced that it would restrict trading of privacy tokens for users in France, Italy, Poland, and Spain starting June 26.This follows similar de-listings by Huobi, OkCoin, Bithumb, and Upbit.As the name suggests, privacy tokens are designed to allow users to transact anonymously, rather than pseudonymously.

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Bias/Focus: AUD short (and NZD), Euro maturing wedge. USD/JPY long from 130 (policy push). USD/ZAR bull. Sterling long from 1.2450 gaining traction.</li>
<li>Commodity currencies and the USD/JPY have been our USD positive bets hidden within the DXY slide. Within EM, USD/ZAR is out top USD long theme. </li>
<li>The USD/KRW has been the weak performer within Asia outlined some fairly clear USD divisions. USD/SGD macro support at 1.32/31 is compelling.</li>
</ul>


Bias/Focus: AUD short (and NZD), Euro maturing wedge. USD/JPY long from 130 (policy push). USD/ZAR bull. Sterling long from 1.2450 gaining traction.
Commodity currencies and the USD/JPY have been our USD positive bets hidden within the DXY slide. Within EM, USD/ZAR is out top USD long theme. 
The USD/KRW has been the weak performer within Asia outlined some fairly clear USD divisions. USD/SGD macro support at 1.32/31 is compelling.


Australia

The Australian dollar is the official currency of the Commonwealth of Australia.

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AUD (USDAUD CURNCY)

FX Watch: Have FX Markets Sniffed out an Upcoming Rebound?

In this edition, we will focus on whether FX markets sniff out the cycle ahead of other asset markets. Is the USD a bellwether of global trends or...

Steno Research

Steno Signals #57 – What on earth is going on with the USD?

Happy Sunday and welcome to our weekly flagship publication “Steno Signals”. We have had a great week trading-wise except for being stopped out in...

Steno Research

Austal (ASB AU): Privatisation on the Cards?

A potential privatisation on the cards for Austal. The big US Navy contract win & potential contracts due to the AUKUS deal have taken the stock...

Brian Freitas

The Fraught Future of Privacy Tokens

Last week, Binance announced that it would restrict trading of privacy tokens for users in France, Italy, Poland, and Spain starting June 26. This...

Kaiko

USD Long and Short Positioning

Bias/Focus: AUD short (and NZD), Euro maturing wedge. USD/JPY long from 130 (policy push). USD/ZAR bull. Sterling long from 1.2450 gaining...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)