External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>Britannia Industries: Britannia’s Q4FY25 results were a mixed bag, coming in below estimates on volume growth (3.5% vs HSIE est of 5%) and surprising us on the profitability front owing to curtailment of ad spends and cost efficiencies (other expenses down 8% YoY)</li><li>Management remains focused on sustaining margins while being price competitive against regional and national players</li><li>Additionally, management highlighted that wheat deflation is not expected despite improved supply owing to higher MSP (+7%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Britannia Industries: Britannia’s Q4FY25 results were a mixed bag, coming in below estimates on volume growth (3.5% vs HSIE est of 5%) and surprising us on the profitability front owing to curtailment of ad spends and cost efficiencies (other expenses down 8% YoY)Management remains focused on sustaining margins while being price competitive against regional and national playersAdditionally, management highlighted that wheat deflation is not expected despite improved supply owing to higher MSP (+7%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Britannia Industries, ABB India, Thermax, Jyothy Labs...

<ul><li>Post a reasonably good festive season, demand environment is likely to have slackened for most consumer durable categories due to (1) weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures, and (2) delayed onset of winters</li><li>RAC continues to shine aided by second summer season and normal channel inventory thereby supporting overall industry growth</li><li>Timely onset of summer season remains key monitorable in coming months</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Post a reasonably good festive season, demand environment is likely to have slackened for most consumer durable categories due to (1) weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures, and (2) delayed onset of wintersRAC continues to shine aided by second summer season and normal channel inventory thereby supporting overall industry growthTimely onset of summer season remains key monitorable in coming monthsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q3FY25): Demand slackens post some festive cheer

<ul><li>With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures</li><li>As channel inventory ran dry post a sizzling summer season, primary sales of cooling products (more so RAC and air coolers) are likely to support overall industry growth</li><li>While Onam demand (start of the festive season) was below expectation, early trends from Navratri/Dusshera have been encouraging</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressuresAs channel inventory ran dry post a sizzling summer season, primary sales of cooling products (more so RAC and air coolers) are likely to support overall industry growthWhile Onam demand (start of the festive season) was below expectation, early trends from Navratri/Dusshera have been encouragingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Soft Quarter, Festive Season a Key Monitorable

<ul><li>In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR)</li><li>The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air coolers, fans) which benefited from a harsh summer season</li><li>White goods/ ECD segments’ revenues grew by 41%/17% YoY (+19%/+12% 2-yr CAGR)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR)The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air coolers, fans) which benefited from a harsh summer seasonWhite goods/ ECD segments’ revenues grew by 41%/17% YoY (+19%/+12% 2-yr CAGR)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS: Decoding Q1FY25 Trends

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment with a levy of windfall tax, (2) gas price realisation too unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen until March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM and (3) slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas production</li><li>In Q1FY25, reported EBITDA stood at INR 186bn (-4% YoY, +7% QoQ), coming in above our estimate owing to lower-than-expected statutory levies</li><li>PAT at INR 89bn (-11% YoY, -9% QoQ) was below our estimate, mainly driven by higher-than-expected depreciation and depletion costs</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in the current environment with a levy of windfall tax, (2) gas price realisation too unlikely to change significantly, as APM gas price is frozen until March 2025 and 95% of ONGC’s gas sales fall under APM and (3) slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas productionIn Q1FY25, reported EBITDA stood at INR 186bn (-4% YoY, +7% QoQ), coming in above our estimate owing to lower-than-expected statutory leviesPAT at INR 89bn (-11% YoY, -9% QoQ) was below our estimate, mainly driven by higher-than-expected depreciation and depletion costsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

India

Bajaj Electricals Limited manufactures electric fans and general lighting items, such as lamps, special lamps, fluorescent tubes, and lighting fixtures.  The Company also manufactures consumer durables like small electrical appliances.

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Bajaj Electricals (BJE IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Britannia Industries, ABB India, Thermax, Jyothy Labs...

Britannia’s Q4FY25 results were a mixed bag, coming in below estimates on volume growth (3.5% vs HSIE est of 5%) and surprising us on the...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q3FY25): Demand slackens post some festive cheer

RAC continues to shine aided by second summer season and normal channel inventory thereby supporting overall industry growth. Timely onset of...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Soft Quarter, Festive Season a Key Monitorable

With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables & EMS: Decoding Q1FY25 Trends

In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR). The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, TVS Motor, NCC, Bajaj Electricals, Symphony

We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 286, given: (1) limited upside potential for ONGC’s crude price realisation in...

HDFC Securities

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