Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Two pair trade opportunities in the Indian financial sector persist, with price ratios exceeding two standard deviations from their historical means.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlight: Two pair trade opportunities in the Indian financial sector persist, with price ratios exceeding two standard deviations from their historical means.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Roundup: Performance Recap of Financial Pair Trades

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oswal-pumps" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43952:1" rel="noopener">Oswal Pumps (1019841D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$162m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$250m.</li>
<li>Oswal Pumps Ltd (OPL) specializes in the manufacturing of solar-powered and conventional pumps, electric motors, and related components for agricultural, residential, and industrial applications.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Oswal Pumps (1019841D IN) is looking to raise about US$162m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$250m.
Oswal Pumps Ltd (OPL) specializes in the manufacturing of solar-powered and conventional pumps, electric motors, and related components for agricultural, residential, and industrial applications.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.


Oswal Pumps IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>During rate cut cycle, NBFCs with a higher proportion of floating-rate liabilities &amp; a relatively lower proportion of floating-rate assets are poised to experience an expansion in their profitability.</li>
<li>This insight analyzes the asset-liability profiles of select Vehicle Financiers, Prime HFCs, and Affordable HFCs to identify their sensitivity to interest rate movements</li>
<li>Overall, NBFCs expect the benefit of the rate cut to have a lagged effect from H2FY26, leading  expansion in NIM and overall profitability</li>
</ul>


During rate cut cycle, NBFCs with a higher proportion of floating-rate liabilities &amp; a relatively lower proportion of floating-rate assets are poised to experience an expansion in their profitability.
This insight analyzes the asset-liability profiles of select Vehicle Financiers, Prime HFCs, and Affordable HFCs to identify their sensitivity to interest rate movements
Overall, NBFCs expect the benefit of the rate cut to have a lagged effect from H2FY26, leading  expansion in NIM and overall profitability


Thematic Report : Impact of Rate Cuts on Profitability of NBFCs and HFCs in India

ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This article provides an update on a previously identified pair trading opportunity between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-lombard-general-insura" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25882:1" rel="noopener">ICICI Lombard (ICICIGI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25899:1" rel="noopener">SBI Life (SBILIFE IN)</a>, based on statistical mean reversion analysis.</li>
<li>
Key Insights: The trade has now reached its exit signal as the price ratio reverted to its one-standard deviation band, yielding a +9% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read It: For investors interested in quantitative trading strategies, this article demonstrates how statistical arbitrage can generate short-term alpha and highlights actionable similar opportunities in the current market.</li>
</ul>



Context: This article provides an update on a previously identified pair trading opportunity between ICICI Lombard (ICICIGI IN) and SBI Life (SBILIFE IN), based on statistical mean reversion analysis.

Key Insights: The trade has now reached its exit signal as the price ratio reverted to its one-standard deviation band, yielding a +9% return.

Why Read It: For investors interested in quantitative trading strategies, this article demonstrates how statistical arbitrage can generate short-term alpha and highlights actionable similar opportunities in the current market.


ICICI Lombard (ICICIGI IN) Vs. SBI Life (SBILIFE IN): Mean Reversion Delivers Gains, Trade Exit

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).</li>
<li>Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.</li>
</ul>


There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).
Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

India

Bajaj Finance Limited is a financial services company that operates branches in India, which provide an assortment of financial services.

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Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)

Relative Value Roundup: Performance Recap of Financial Pair Trades

A collection of relative value opportunities uncovered by a mean-reversion methodology, offering unique insights for potential gains in the Indian...

Gaudenz Schneider

Oswal Pumps IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Oswal Pumps is looking to raise about US$162m in its upcoming India IPO. We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In...

Akshat Shah

Thematic Report : Impact of Rate Cuts on Profitability of NBFCs and HFCs in India

NBFCs with more floating-rate liabilities and less floating-rate assets set to profit from rate cuts, with increased profitability expected in...

Nimish Maheshwari

ICICI Lombard (ICICIGI IN) Vs. SBI Life (SBILIFE IN): Mean Reversion Delivers Gains, Trade Exit

Update on the pair trading opportunity between ICICI Lombard and SBI Life shows the trade has reached its exit signal with a profit, highlighting...

Gaudenz Schneider

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Roundup: Performance Recap of Financial Pair Trades

A collection of relative value opportunities uncovered by a mean-reversion methodology, offering unique insights for potential gains in the Indian...

Gaudenz Schneider

Oswal Pumps IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Oswal Pumps is looking to raise about US$162m in its upcoming India IPO. We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In...

Akshat Shah

Thematic Report : Impact of Rate Cuts on Profitability of NBFCs and HFCs in India

​NBFCs with more floating-rate liabilities and less floating-rate assets set to profit from rate cuts, with increased profitability expected in...

Nimish Maheshwari

ICICI Lombard (ICICIGI IN) Vs. SBI Life (SBILIFE IN): Mean Reversion Delivers Gains, Trade Exit

Update on the pair trading opportunity between ICICI Lombard and SBI Life shows the trade has reached its exit signal with a profit, highlighting...

Gaudenz Schneider

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

NBFCs with more floating-rate liabilities and less floating-rate assets set to profit from rate cuts, with increased profitability expected in...