IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Thai Life Insurance  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> will open its book for a US$1 billion raise from 29 June to 14 July. The IPO price has been set at THB16.00 per share.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thai-life-insurance-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71653" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thai-life-insurance-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71693" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>Peer analysis suggests that Thai Life should trade at a modest premium to Bangkok Life but at a material discount to AIA. Consequently, the IPO valuation is full. </li>
</ul>



Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) will open its book for a US$1 billion raise from 29 June to 14 July. The IPO price has been set at THB16.00 per share.
We previously discussed the IPO in Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case and Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bear Case. 
Peer analysis suggests that Thai Life should trade at a modest premium to Bangkok Life but at a material discount to AIA. Consequently, the IPO valuation is full. 


Thai Life Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Thai Life Insurance is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO.</li>
<li>Thai Life Insurance is one of the largest life insurance companies in Thailand, third by assets. As of Mar 2022, it had 64,000 insurance agents.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about valuations and undertake a peer comparison versus its international peers.</li>
</ul>


Thai Life Insurance is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO.
Thai Life Insurance is one of the largest life insurance companies in Thailand, third by assets. As of Mar 2022, it had 64,000 insurance agents.
In this note, we will talk about valuations and undertake a peer comparison versus its international peers.


Thai Life Insurance Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation and International Peer Comparison

<ul>
<li>Thai Life Insurance is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO.</li>
<li>Thai Life Insurance is one of the largest life insurance companies in Thailand, third by assets. As of Mar 2022, it had 64,000 insurance agents.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the industry dynamics and undertake a peer comparison versus its domestic peers.</li>
</ul>


Thai Life Insurance is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO.
Thai Life Insurance is one of the largest life insurance companies in Thailand, third by assets. As of Mar 2022, it had 64,000 insurance agents.
In this note, we will talk about the industry dynamics and undertake a peer comparison versus its domestic peers.


Thai Life Insurance Pre-IPO - Industry Dynamics and Domestic Peer Comparison Aren't Very Encouraging

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-life-assurance-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16237:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmt-network-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8581:1" rel="noopener">JMT Network Services (JMT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jaymart-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12053:1" rel="noopener">Jaymart (JMART)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/com7-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27411:1" rel="noopener">Com7 (COM7)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ratch-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15338:1" rel="noopener">Ratch Group (RATCH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-gloves-thailand-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29141:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Gloves (STGT)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50 INDEX</a>.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.1% and will result in a one-way trade of THB 1,914m. There is little funding flow on the other index stocks.</li>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-life-assurance-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16237:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA TB)</a> is a minor surprise. The deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/com7-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27411:1" rel="noopener">Com7 PCL (COM7 TB)</a> is a much bigger surprise.</li>
</ul>



Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA), JMT Network Services (JMT) and Jaymart (JMART) will replace Com7 (COM7), Ratch Group (RATCH) and Sri Trang Gloves (STGT) in the SET50 INDEX.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.1% and will result in a one-way trade of THB 1,914m. There is little funding flow on the other index stocks.
The inclusion of Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA TB) is a minor surprise. The deletion of Com7 PCL (COM7 TB) is a much bigger surprise.


SET50 Index Rebalance: BLA, JMT, JMART Added; COM7, RATCH, STGT Out

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.</li>
<li>Thai Life is the third-largest life insurer in Thailand with a 12.9% market share as measured by gross premium income in 1Q22.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on a strong brand, the largest agent network, return to APE growth, high persistency ratio and improving VONB margin.</li>
</ul>



Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) has started to meet investors ahead of its $1 billion IPO. The roadshow will run till early July with a listing targeted later in July.
Thai Life is the third-largest life insurer in Thailand with a 12.9% market share as measured by gross premium income in 1Q22.
The key elements of the bull case rest on a strong brand, the largest agent network, return to APE growth, high persistency ratio and improving VONB margin.


Thailand

Bangkok Life Assurance PCL offers life insurance services.

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Bangkok Life Assurance (BLA TB)

Thai Life Insurance IPO: Valuation Insights

Peer analysis suggests that Thai Life should trade at a modest premium to Bangkok Life but at a material discount to AIA. Consequently, the IPO...

Arun George

Thai Life Insurance Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation and International Peer Comparison

Thai Life Insurance is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Thai Life Insurance Pre-IPO - Industry Dynamics and Domestic Peer Comparison Aren't Very Encouraging

Thai Life Insurance is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO. In this note, we talk about the industry dynamics and undertake...

Sumeet Singh

SET50 Index Rebalance: BLA, JMT, JMART Added; COM7, RATCH, STGT Out

BLA, JMT & JMART replace COM7, RATCH & STGT in the SET50 Idx after the close on 30 June. The inclusion of BLA is a small surprise, while the...

Brian Freitas

Thai Life Insurance IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on a strong brand, the largest agent network, return to APE growth, high persistency ratio and improving...

Arun George

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