External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Supported by lower CoF increases compared to their peers, only BBCA, BRIS, and NISP booked double digit NP growth in 4M24.</li><li>Despite a slight improvement (-4bps mom) in Apr24, COF pressure might return in May24 from a higher benchmark rate.</li><li>For its resilient CoF, higher liquidity, and better NP growth outlook compared to its peers, BBCA remains our top pick in the sector.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Supported by lower CoF increases compared to their peers, only BBCA, BRIS, and NISP booked double digit NP growth in 4M24.Despite a slight improvement (-4bps mom) in Apr24, COF pressure might return in May24 from a higher benchmark rate.For its resilient CoF, higher liquidity, and better NP growth outlook compared to its peers, BBCA remains our top pick in the sector.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>We project a softer FY24 EPS growth outlook of +3% yoy (vs. +5% prev.) amid slowing growth in 2Q24, but see limited further downside risk.</li><li>JCI’s current 1.8x PBV (22% disc. to 10-year mean) seems unwarranted as we forecast FY24 ROE to fall only slightly to 9.5% (vs. 10y avg of 10%).</li><li>We lower our FY24-end JCI target slightly to 7,670 (vs. 7,830 prev.); our stock picks favor defensive and quality names.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We project a softer FY24 EPS growth outlook of +3% yoy (vs. +5% prev.) amid slowing growth in 2Q24, but see limited further downside risk.JCI’s current 1.8x PBV (22% disc. to 10-year mean) seems unwarranted as we forecast FY24 ROE to fall only slightly to 9.5% (vs. 10y avg of 10%).We lower our FY24-end JCI target slightly to 7,670 (vs. 7,830 prev.); our stock picks favor defensive and quality names.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth Headwinds Priced In, but We Prefer Defensive and ‘quality’ Amid Lingering Uncertainties

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Supported by 17% yoy loans growth and a relatively steady NIM, BBCA booked net profit of Rp12.9tr in 1Q24 (+12% yoy, +5% qoq), inline.</li><li>Credit quality was in check with NPL at 1.9% in 1Q24 (+9bps yoy, +13bps qoq) but with a lower LaR ratio of 6.3% (-29bps yoy, -314bps qoq).</li><li>We maintain our forecasts, TP and Buy rating; BBCA remains as our top pick in the banking sector.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Supported by 17% yoy loans growth and a relatively steady NIM, BBCA booked net profit of Rp12.9tr in 1Q24 (+12% yoy, +5% qoq), inline.Credit quality was in check with NPL at 1.9% in 1Q24 (+9bps yoy, +13bps qoq) but with a lower LaR ratio of 6.3% (-29bps yoy, -314bps qoq).We maintain our forecasts, TP and Buy rating; BBCA remains as our top pick in the banking sector.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bank Central Asia (BBCA.IJ Rp 9,350 BUY; TP Rp 11,300) The Place to Shelter from the Storm

<ul><li>We estimate the big-4 banks’ FY24F earnings to be potentially 1-6% lower if the BI rate is unchanged; BBCA as the least affected bank.</li><li>While previously a higher-for-longer scenario drove a lower ROE and sharp de-rating, FY24F ROE is resilient amid better asset quality.</li><li>We remain Overweight on the banking sector at the current implied CoE of 9.0%, -1SD to its 5-year average. BBCA remains our top pick.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We estimate the big-4 banks’ FY24F earnings to be potentially 1-6% lower if the BI rate is unchanged; BBCA as the least affected bank.While previously a higher-for-longer scenario drove a lower ROE and sharp de-rating, FY24F ROE is resilient amid better asset quality.We remain Overweight on the banking sector at the current implied CoE of 9.0%, -1SD to its 5-year average. BBCA remains our top pick.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks: Solid asset quality and capital to weather macro uncertainties (OVERWEIGHT)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Net profit reached IDR48.6tn (+19.4% YoY), in line with our &amp; consensus' target; due to robust expansion of NII growth and reduced provision charges by 50% YoY which resulted in all-time-low CoC of 0.3%.</li><li>NIM remained flat on QoQ at 5.5% and it is anticipated that NIM to remain stable at 5.5%-5.6% in FY24E.</li><li>Management foresee a possibility for a 25-50bps improvement in loan yield.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Net profit reached IDR48.6tn (+19.4% YoY), in line with our &amp; consensus' target; due to robust expansion of NII growth and reduced provision charges by 50% YoY which resulted in all-time-low CoC of 0.3%.NIM remained flat on QoQ at 5.5% and it is anticipated that NIM to remain stable at 5.5%-5.6% in FY24E.Management foresee a possibility for a 25-50bps improvement in loan yield.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BBCA IJ - MNC Sekuritas Equity Report February 2, 2024

Indonesia

PT Bank Central Asia Tbk provides banking and related services.  The Bank also provides custodianship, trusteeship, and management of pension funds of financial institutions.  Through its subsidiaries, the Bank also provides leasing and consumer financing services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)

Banks: 4M24 Banks-Only Results

Supported by lower CoF increases compared to their peers, only BBCA, BRIS, and NISP booked double digit NP growth in 4M24.

BRI Danareksa Research

Growth Headwinds Priced In, but We Prefer Defensive and ‘quality’ Amid Lingering Uncertainties

We project a softer FY24 EPS growth outlook of +3% yoy (vs. +5% prev.) amid slowing growth in 2Q24, but see limited further downside risk

BRI Danareksa Research