Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets, Kaiko

Kaiko

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets

Kaiko is the leading cryptocurrency market data provider for institutional investors and enterprises. We empower market participants with accurate, transparent, and actionable financial data to be leveraged for a range of market activities. Kaiko’s mission is to be the foundation of the new digital finance economy by serving as a single source for market information. Our mission is premised on the idea that high-quality data drives market efficiency and greater transparency throughout the industry. For each of our enterprise clients, we build custom data plans designed for a range of use cases.

Crypto

<ul><li>Binance.US is bleeding. One week after the SEC lawsuit, market makers and traders have fled the exchange en masse.</li><li>Liquidity, as measured by aggregated market depth for 17 tokens on the exchange, has fallen nearly 80% over the past week.</li><li>On June 4, the day before the SEC lawsuit, market depth was $34mn. Today, market depth is just $7mn.</li></ul>

Binance.US is bleeding. One week after the SEC lawsuit, market makers and traders have fled the exchange en masse.Liquidity, as measured by aggregated market depth for 17 tokens on the exchange, has fallen nearly 80% over the past week.On June 4, the day before the SEC lawsuit, market depth was $34mn. Today, market depth is just $7mn.

<ul><li>This has been perhaps the single most consequential week for crypto in the U.S., as the SEC charged Coinbase with operating an unregistered securities exchange and charged Binance, Binance.US, and CEO Changpeng Zhao (“CZ”) with a variety of securities law violations. </li><li>Just two months ago, we chronicled the CFTC’s charges against Binance and CZ, which primarily focused on Binance’s alleged efforts to onboard high-volume U.S. traders onto Binance, rather than Binance.US (for simplicity, “Binance” will refer to the international exchange and “Binance.US” its U.S. affiliate).</li><li>This analysis showed that despite the creation of Binance.US in 2019, Binance’s trading had actually become more skewed towards U.S. hours, in fact resembling U.S.-based exchanges like Coinbase.</li></ul>

This has been perhaps the single most consequential week for crypto in the U.S., as the SEC charged Coinbase with operating an unregistered securities exchange and charged Binance, Binance.US, and CEO Changpeng Zhao (“CZ”) with a variety of securities law violations. Just two months ago, we chronicled the CFTC’s charges against Binance and CZ, which primarily focused on Binance’s alleged efforts to onboard high-volume U.S. traders onto Binance, rather than Binance.US (for simplicity, “Binance” will refer to the international exchange and “Binance.US” its U.S. affiliate).This analysis showed that despite the creation of Binance.US in 2019, Binance’s trading had actually become more skewed towards U.S. hours, in fact resembling U.S.-based exchanges like Coinbase.

<ul><li>Last week, Binance announced that it would restrict trading of privacy tokens for users in France, Italy, Poland, and Spain starting June 26.</li><li>This follows similar de-listings by Huobi, OkCoin, Bithumb, and Upbit.</li><li>As the name suggests, privacy tokens are designed to allow users to transact anonymously, rather than pseudonymously.</li></ul>

Last week, Binance announced that it would restrict trading of privacy tokens for users in France, Italy, Poland, and Spain starting June 26.This follows similar de-listings by Huobi, OkCoin, Bithumb, and Upbit.As the name suggests, privacy tokens are designed to allow users to transact anonymously, rather than pseudonymously.

<ul><li>The stablecoin market has been upended in 2023.</li><li>The start of the year saw BUSD given an expiry date of 2024, a banking crisis in March hit USDC and DAI hard, while Binance anointed TUSD as its stablecoin of choice by choosing it for one of the few zero-fee BTC pairs in crypto.</li><li>All of these events had huge ramifications for stablecoin market structure.</li></ul>

The stablecoin market has been upended in 2023.The start of the year saw BUSD given an expiry date of 2024, a banking crisis in March hit USDC and DAI hard, while Binance anointed TUSD as its stablecoin of choice by choosing it for one of the few zero-fee BTC pairs in crypto.All of these events had huge ramifications for stablecoin market structure.

Credit/Macro/Crypto Analyst, Former Credit/MA PM

Rose Choy

<ul>
<li>We use a simple framework to analyse 3 exchange tokens’ value and we find FTT and LEO tokens are decent bear market plays.</li>
<li>For crypto exchanges, buying the token is the only way for non-VC investors to gain exposure to the growth. Private valuations could differ greatly from the publicly traded valuations. </li>
<li>While exchange tokens are the easiest to understand and most equity-like in the traditional finance sense, we can also further apply the framework to tokens on other protocols.</li>
</ul>


We use a simple framework to analyse 3 exchange tokens’ value and we find FTT and LEO tokens are decent bear market plays.
For crypto exchanges, buying the token is the only way for non-VC investors to gain exposure to the growth. Private valuations could differ greatly from the publicly traded valuations. 
While exchange tokens are the easiest to understand and most equity-like in the traditional finance sense, we can also further apply the framework to tokens on other protocols.


Bear Market Plays - Crypto Exchange Tokens

United States

BNB was launched in 3rd July 2017 as an ERC-20 Token that enabled holders to get discounted trading fees at Binance Exchange. BNB has evolved over time to also be the native token of its own blockchain. BNB can still be used to pay for discounted Binance services though it is also heavily used as payment for gas when confirming transactions on BNB Chain.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Binance Coin (XBIUSD CURNCY)

Market Makers Flee Binance.US

Liquidity, as measured by aggregated market depth for 17 tokens on the exchange, has fallen nearly 80% over the past week.

Kaiko

The Data Behind the SEC's Big Week

This analysis showed that despite the creation of Binance.US in 2019, Binance’s trading had actually become more skewed towards U.S. hours

Kaiko

The Fraught Future of Privacy Tokens

Last week, Binance announced that it would restrict trading of privacy tokens for users in France, Italy, Poland, and Spain starting June 26. This...

Kaiko

Stablecoins: Does Trust Really Matter?

The start of the year saw BUSD given an expiry date of 2024, a banking crisis in March hit USDC and DAI hard, while Binance anointed TUSD as its...

Kaiko

Bear Market Plays - Crypto Exchange Tokens

We use a simple framework to analyse 3 exchange tokens’ value and we find FTT and LEO tokens are decent bear market plays. We can also further...

Rose Choy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)