IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Sona Blw Precision Forgings Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sona-blw-precision-forgings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32993:1" rel="noopener">Sona BLW Precision Forgings (SPF IN)</a>/Sona Comstar is one of India’s leading auto technology companies that designs, manufactures, and supplies highly engineered, mission-critical systems and components. Sona Comstar is looking to raise Rs60 billion ($820 million) through an IPO in India as soon as April, according to press reports. The offer comprises a primary raise of Rs3 billion ($41 million) and a secondary raise of Rs57 billion ($777 million). The selling shareholder is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group LP (BX US)</a>.  <div class="content-highlight">Sona Comstar’s broad product portfolio which spans both conventional and electrified powertrains position it to gain from high growth auto industry trends (rising penetration of mild hybrids/full hybrids and battery electric vehicles) as well as various Government of India initiatives to spur the growth of the auto industry (such as recently announced Rs570 billion production-linked incentive scheme). Overall, we think that Sona Comstar is an attractive and alternative play on the electric vehicle market.</div>

Sona BLW Precision Forgings (SPF IN)/Sona Comstar is one of India’s leading auto technology companies that designs, manufactures, and supplies highly engineered, mission-critical systems and components. Sona Comstar is looking to raise Rs60 billion ($820 million) through an IPO in India as soon as April, according to press reports. The offer comprises a primary raise of Rs3 billion ($41 million) and a secondary raise of Rs57 billion ($777 million). The selling shareholder is Blackstone Group LP (BX US).  Sona Comstar’s broad product portfolio which spans both conventional and electrified powertrains position it to gain from high growth auto industry trends (rising penetration of mild hybrids/full hybrids and battery electric vehicles) as well as various Government of India initiatives to spur the growth of the auto industry (such as recently announced Rs570 billion production-linked incentive scheme). Overall, we think that Sona Comstar is an attractive and alternative play on the electric vehicle market.

Sona Comstar IPO Initiation: Shifting Gears

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

On 5 February, Brown Bidco Ltd., owned by joint offerors Blackstone, GIP and Cascade, announced a $5.62 recommended cash acquisition for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/signature-aviation-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21829:1" rel="noopener">Signature Aviation (SIG LN)</a>, intended to be  implemented by a scheme of arrangement.
<ul>
<li>
equivalent to 411.33p at the time of the announcement (FX 1.3663 USD/GBP).
</li>
<li>Shareholders may elect to receive the consideration in Sterling at the applicable market exchange rate on the latest practicable date for fixing such rate prior to the relevant payment date.</li>
<li data-bind="visible: !isCollapsed(), html: content">The consideration represents 4.1x EV/Fwd Revenue, 17.4x EV/Fwd EBITDA and 73.9x P/Fwd E.</li>
</ul>
Blackstone and GIP wisely agreed to sign a ceasefire in their contest for Signature.
<ul>
<li>The recommended 411p offer is a 53% premium to the Signature at the time the fight broke out in public. This premium is a good outcome for the auction, considering that Rudd argued that the company was "desperately undervalued".</li>
<li data-bind="visible: !isCollapsed(), html: content">On a comps base the offer seems generous, which is not surprising given  Sir Nigel Rudd's track record in selling British companies (Pilkington, Boots and Invensys). We are looking at an IRR c. 12%.</li>
<li data-bind="visible: !isCollapsed(), html: content">
Interloper risk is low, given Cascade and BMGFT's 19% stake.
</li>
</ul>
As of Monday 15 February intra-day trading, gross USD adjusted spread was -0.48%, therefore it would be wise to stay clear of this trade until the gross adjusted spread reaches a positive value above 2%.

On 5 February, Brown Bidco Ltd., owned by joint offerors Blackstone, GIP and Cascade, announced a $5.62 recommended cash acquisition for Signature Aviation (SIG LN), intended to be  implemented by a scheme of arrangement.


equivalent to 411.33p at the time of the announcement (FX 1.3663 USD/GBP).

Shareholders may elect to receive the consideration in Sterling at the applicable market exchange rate on the latest practicable date for fixing such rate prior to the relevant payment date.
The consideration represents 4.1x EV/Fwd Revenue, 17.4x EV/Fwd EBITDA and 73.9x P/Fwd E.

Blackstone and GIP wisely agreed to sign a ceasefire in their contest for Signature.

The recommended 411p offer is a 53% premium to the Signature at the time the fight broke out in public. This premium is a good outcome for the auction, considering that Rudd argued that the company was "desperately undervalued".
On a comps base the offer seems generous, which is not surprising given  Sir Nigel Rudd's track record in selling British companies (Pilkington, Boots and Invensys). We are looking at an IRR c. 12%.

Interloper risk is low, given Cascade and BMGFT's 19% stake.


As of Monday 15 February intra-day trading, gross USD adjusted spread was -0.48%, therefore it would be wise to stay clear of this trade until the gross adjusted spread reaches a positive value above 2%.

Signature Aviation - PE Consortium Agreed Offer

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

This report gives an update on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumble-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31309:1" rel="noopener">Bumble (BMBL US)</a>'s IPO valuations and upside potential, company's revenue drivers, risks and overview of online dating segment and its growth outlook. Pandemic-led social isolation has led singles (or the romantically alone) to increasingly resort to dating apps to find companionship. Online dating had become more popular over the last decade. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumble-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31309:1" rel="noopener">Bumble (BMBL US)</a>, that owns the second highest-grossing dating app globally, will list today (Feb 11th), just ahead of Valentine's day, the big day of love for couples worldwide. Interestingly, Bumble's IPO was so overwhelmingly wooed by investors that it had to upsize the offer twice!! It has now issued 50 million shares at USD43/share (raising around USD2.15 Bn and valuing the company at USD 8 Bn) as against earlier upsized issue size of 45 million shares at USD39/share (vs. original IPO offer of 34.5 million shares at a price range of $28 to $30 a share). <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumble-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31309:1" rel="noopener">Bumble (BMBL US)</a> 's eponymous dating app is noted for its first-of-the-kind 'women make the first move' feature that seeks to reset dating norms (and offer a better user experience) distinguishes it from other players by attracting more women users/subscribers to the platform. It has been favourably rated ahead of other dating apps when it comes to singles 'actually' seeking a relationship. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumble-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31309:1" rel="noopener">Bumble (BMBL US)</a> was founded by Whitney Wolfe, previously co-founder of Tinder, the bigger and widely known dating app for all occasions. Bumble stands out as one of the few US-based tech companies founded by a woman, with a predominantly women-led board and management team. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group LP (BX US)</a> is a significant private investor in Bumble.

This report gives an update on Bumble (BMBL US)'s IPO valuations and upside potential, company's revenue drivers, risks and overview of online dating segment and its growth outlook. Pandemic-led social isolation has led singles (or the romantically alone) to increasingly resort to dating apps to find companionship. Online dating had become more popular over the last decade. Bumble (BMBL US), that owns the second highest-grossing dating app globally, will list today (Feb 11th), just ahead of Valentine's day, the big day of love for couples worldwide. Interestingly, Bumble's IPO was so overwhelmingly wooed by investors that it had to upsize the offer twice!! It has now issued 50 million shares at USD43/share (raising around USD2.15 Bn and valuing the company at USD 8 Bn) as against earlier upsized issue size of 45 million shares at USD39/share (vs. original IPO offer of 34.5 million shares at a price range of $28 to $30 a share). Bumble (BMBL US) 's eponymous dating app is noted for its first-of-the-kind 'women make the first move' feature that seeks to reset dating norms (and offer a better user experience) distinguishes it from other players by attracting more women users/subscribers to the platform. It has been favourably rated ahead of other dating apps when it comes to singles 'actually' seeking a relationship. Bumble (BMBL US) was founded by Whitney Wolfe, previously co-founder of Tinder, the bigger and widely known dating app for all occasions. Bumble stands out as one of the few US-based tech companies founded by a woman, with a predominantly women-led board and management team. Blackstone Group LP (BX US) is a significant private investor in Bumble. 

Bumble IPO: The Dating App Where Women Lead. Likely Pop on Listing Today

In this note, we look at how Amazon's foray into India's booming EdTech sector could impact the existing players and sector dynamics/growth trajectory. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)</a> formally launched its online learning venture in India - <a href="https://academy.amazon.in/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Amazon Academy</a> - this week. Presently on Beta mode, the online learning tools and live classes on Amazon Academy (currently available for free) are designed to help students prepare for the highly competitive selection tests to gain admission at top-rated Engineering colleges in the country. Amazon's reported foray into the booming Edtech sector in India had already set off a flurry of M&amp;A activity as existing lead players attempt to fortify their positions. Edtech sector witnessed rapid growth last year as COVID-led lockdowns disrupted formal education and students across age groups were forced to resort to online learning options. India's heavily underinvested (and often badly managed) public education system and highly restrictive regulations governing the private education sector have helped create a large and attractive opportunity for EdTech players. Lead players have attracted funding from who's who of private investing (see appendix), a testimony to the sector's attractiveness and potential. Will that change with the foray of Amazon, known for its aggressive and competitive operating style? While little is known about Amazon's operating pricing plans and strategy, we present our expectation on the same and how it could impact existing players and sector dynamics/growth.

In this note, we look at how Amazon's foray into India's booming EdTech sector could impact the existing players and sector dynamics/growth trajectory. Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US) formally launched its online learning venture in India - Amazon Academy - this week. Presently on Beta mode, the online learning tools and live classes on Amazon Academy (currently available for free) are designed to help students prepare for the highly competitive selection tests to gain admission at top-rated Engineering colleges in the country. Amazon's reported foray into the booming Edtech sector in India had already set off a flurry of M&amp;A activity as existing lead players attempt to fortify their positions. Edtech sector witnessed rapid growth last year as COVID-led lockdowns disrupted formal education and students across age groups were forced to resort to online learning options. India's heavily underinvested (and often badly managed) public education system and highly restrictive regulations governing the private education sector have helped create a large and attractive opportunity for EdTech players. Lead players have attracted funding from who's who of private investing (see appendix), a testimony to the sector's attractiveness and potential. Will that change with the foray of Amazon, known for its aggressive and competitive operating style? While little is known about Amazon's operating pricing plans and strategy, we present our expectation on the same and how it could impact existing players and sector dynamics/growth. 

Amazon Forays into India EdTech - Expect Shift in Sector Dynamics, Rest May Brace to Pivot

Soilbuild Business Space REIT / Event-Driven

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soilbuild-business-space-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13446:1" rel="noopener">Soilbuild Business Space REIT (SBREIT SP)</a> has announced a privatisation offer from Mr Lim Chap Huat (executive Chairman) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group LP (BX US)</a> at S$0.55 cash per unit. The privatisation price is a premium of 8% to the last close price of S$0.51 per unit (8 December prior to the trading halt) and a 27.9% to the unaffected price of S$0.430 per unit (31 August 2020 prior to the announcement of a possible transaction involving Mr Lim Chap Huat’s stake). The effective date for the trust scheme meeting is targeted for the end of March 2021 with delisting in early April 2021. <div class="content-highlight">SB REIT faces challenging market conditions due to the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic. A combination of high DPU yield and limited debt headroom is a constraint to driving growth through DPU accretive acquisitions. Over the past few years, SB REIT’s sponsor has received several privatisation proposals and the current offer is the highest offer price received to date. Overall, while the bid is not a knockout bid particularly for long-term unitholders, we think that a reasonable offer (offer values SB REIT broadly in line with its latest adjusted NAV) makes it likely that the offer succeeds. </div>

Soilbuild Business Space REIT (SBREIT SP) has announced a privatisation offer from Mr Lim Chap Huat (executive Chairman) and Blackstone Group LP (BX US) at S$0.55 cash per unit. The privatisation price is a premium of 8% to the last close price of S$0.51 per unit (8 December prior to the trading halt) and a 27.9% to the unaffected price of S$0.430 per unit (31 August 2020 prior to the announcement of a possible transaction involving Mr Lim Chap Huat’s stake). The effective date for the trust scheme meeting is targeted for the end of March 2021 with delisting in early April 2021. SB REIT faces challenging market conditions due to the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic. A combination of high DPU yield and limited debt headroom is a constraint to driving growth through DPU accretive acquisitions. Over the past few years, SB REIT’s sponsor has received several privatisation proposals and the current offer is the highest offer price received to date. Overall, while the bid is not a knockout bid particularly for long-term unitholders, we think that a reasonable offer (offer values SB REIT broadly in line with its latest adjusted NAV) makes it likely that the offer succeeds. 

Soilbuild Business Space REIT’s Privatisation Bid

United States

Blackstone Inc. operates as an investment company. The Company focuses on real estate, hedge funds, private equity, leveraged lending, senior debts, and rescue financing. Blackstone serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Blackstone (BX US)

Sona Comstar IPO Initiation: Shifting Gears

Sona Comstar is looking to raise Rs60 bn ($820 m) through an IPO in India. Overall, we think that Sona Comstar is an attractive and alternative...

Arun George

Signature Aviation - PE Consortium Agreed Offer

The deal is highly likely to close. As of 15 February intra-day trading, gross USD adjusted spread was -0.48%, therefore it would be wise to stay...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Bumble IPO: The Dating App Where Women Lead. Likely Pop on Listing Today

Bumble's IPO has been upsized twice before listing today. Insight offers an update on IPO valuations and upside, company's revenue drivers, risks...

Devi Subhakesan

Amazon Forays into India EdTech - Expect Shift in Sector Dynamics, Rest May Brace to Pivot

Amazon Academy's possible aggressive pricing plans and potential subscriber base. Analysis of how it could impact existing players and sector...

Devi Subhakesan

Soilbuild Business Space REIT’s Privatisation Bid

SB REIT announced a privatisation offer from Mr Lim Chap Huat and Blackstone at S$0.55 cash per unit, a 27.9% to the unaffected price of S$0.430...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)