IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a> is on a trading halt. Press reports suggest a consortium featuring Starwood Capital Group and SSW Partners is considering a buyout.</li>
<li>Starwood and SSW are approaching other shareholders to join the consortium. The other members are likely Warburg Pincus, OMERS, Jinchu Shen, and Hwee Chiang Lim.</li>
<li>The offer is likely to be structured as a Cayman privatisation scheme. Our best guess is that an offer of at least HK$14.00 per share would be needed. </li>
</ul>



ESR Group (1821 HK) is on a trading halt. Press reports suggest a consortium featuring Starwood Capital Group and SSW Partners is considering a buyout.
Starwood and SSW are approaching other shareholders to join the consortium. The other members are likely Warburg Pincus, OMERS, Jinchu Shen, and Hwee Chiang Lim.
The offer is likely to be structured as a Cayman privatisation scheme. Our best guess is that an offer of at least HK$14.00 per share would be needed. 


ESR Group (1821 HK): Starwood Capital and SSW Partners Gauging a Privatisation Bid

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a> have strong IPO debuts.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) and ZEEKR (ZK US) have strong IPO debuts.
Event-Driven developments China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Alps Logistics (9055 JP), Infocom Corp (4348 JP). 



Weekly Deals Digest (12 May) - China TCM, GA Pack, HEC CJ Pharma, CPMC, Alps Logistics, Infocom

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reports that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teijin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5097:1" rel="noopener">Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)</a> wants to sell its 55% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a>. The rumoured bidders are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a>, Blackstone and KKR. </li>
<li>Based on precedents, the offer structure will likely be structured such that Teijin provides an irrevocable NOT to accept but vote in favour of share consolidation at the EGM.</li>
<li>Bloomberg suggests that Infocom could be valued at JPY200 billion. If this refers to market cap, the tender offer is JPY3,472, a 16.5% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) wants to sell its 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP). The rumoured bidders are Sony Corp (6758 JP), Blackstone and KKR. 
Based on precedents, the offer structure will likely be structured such that Teijin provides an irrevocable NOT to accept but vote in favour of share consolidation at the EGM.
Bloomberg suggests that Infocom could be valued at JPY200 billion. If this refers to market cap, the tender offer is JPY3,472, a 16.5% premium to the last close.


Infocom (4348 JP): Rumoured Tender Offer as Teijin Seeks to Exit

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reports that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> draws takeover interest from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone (BX US)</a>, which is considering partnering with Chairman and largest shareholder Reinold Geiger.</li>
<li>Blackstone needs an attractive takeover premium due to the presence of significant disinterested shareholders (Mr. Geiger and Acatis KVG).</li>
<li>Shareholders will be wary of the latest rumour due to Mr Geiger’s aborted offer on 4 September 2023. Nevertheless, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples.</li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that L'Occitane (973 HK) draws takeover interest from Blackstone (BX US), which is considering partnering with Chairman and largest shareholder Reinold Geiger.
Blackstone needs an attractive takeover premium due to the presence of significant disinterested shareholders (Mr. Geiger and Acatis KVG).
Shareholders will be wary of the latest rumour due to Mr Geiger’s aborted offer on 4 September 2023. Nevertheless, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples.


L’Occitane (973 HK): Blackstone Pondering an Offer

<ul>
<li>On 21 February, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-21/esr-owners-said-to-mull-options-for-5-billion-logistics-firm?embedded-checkout=true" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg reported</a> that due to the steep share price declines, major <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a> shareholders are considering options for their stakes, including ESR’s privatisation.</li>
<li>The reports also noted buyer interest in ESR’s significant assets. Past share dealings suggest that Warburg Pincus and the co-founders are the likely consortium to lead a potential privatisation. </li>
<li>The offer probability is low as a scheme would likely require a HK$16.00 offer, posing a funding challenge. Nevertheless, the upside remains as ESR trades at an undemanding valuation. </li>
</ul>


On 21 February, Bloomberg reported that due to the steep share price declines, major ESR Group (1821 HK) shareholders are considering options for their stakes, including ESR’s privatisation.
The reports also noted buyer interest in ESR’s significant assets. Past share dealings suggest that Warburg Pincus and the co-founders are the likely consortium to lead a potential privatisation. 
The offer probability is low as a scheme would likely require a HK$16.00 offer, posing a funding challenge. Nevertheless, the upside remains as ESR trades at an undemanding valuation. 


ESR Group (1821 HK): Evaluating a Potential Privatisation

United States

Blackstone Inc. operates as an investment company. The Company focuses on real estate, hedge funds, private equity, leveraged lending, senior debts, and rescue financing. Blackstone serves customers worldwide.

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Blackstone (BX US)

ESR Group (1821 HK): Starwood Capital and SSW Partners Gauging a Privatisation Bid

The offer is likely to be structured as a Cayman privatisation scheme. Our best guess is that an offer of at least HK$14.00 per share would be needed.

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (12 May) - China TCM, GA Pack, HEC CJ Pharma, CPMC, Alps Logistics, Infocom

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (China TCM, GA Pack, HEC CJ Pharma, CPMC, Alps Logistics, Infocom, Hollysys, Adbri, Qantm...

Arun George

Infocom (4348 JP): Rumoured Tender Offer as Teijin Seeks to Exit

The rumoured JPY200 billion valuation is reasonable. If this refers to market cap, the tender offer is JPY3,472, a 16.5% premium to the last close....

Arun George

L’Occitane (973 HK): Blackstone Pondering an Offer

L’Occitane is on a trading halt pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Bloomberg reports that Blackstone is nearing a privatisation deal...

Arun George

ESR Group (1821 HK): Evaluating a Potential Privatisation

The offer probability is low as a scheme would likely require a HK$16.00 offer, posing a funding challenge. Nevertheless, the upside remains as ESR...

Arun George

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