Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 6th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 6th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 6th): Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Screening for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Asia Ex-Japan equity funds.</li>
<li>High Positioning, Positive Momentum: KE Holdings Ltd, Shriram Finance Limited     </li>
<li>Low Positioning, Negative Momentum: Baidu Inc, BOC Hong Kong Limited    </li>
</ul>


Screening for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Asia Ex-Japan equity funds.
High Positioning, Positive Momentum: KE Holdings Ltd, Shriram Finance Limited     
Low Positioning, Negative Momentum: Baidu Inc, BOC Hong Kong Limited    


Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>In our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-hsi-september-rally-what-s-next?slug=eqd-hsi-september-rally-what-s-next" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previous insight</a> about the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>'s we theorized a probable continuation of the rally in October, after some resistance, but the index just shoot up straight.</li>
<li>Resistance appeared last week, from an area considered a tail by our SHORT model, so it was not possible to make a forecast from there. </li>
<li>The question now is: can the index re-start to rally from here? Or will it pull back more this coming week?</li>
</ul>


In our previous insight about the Hang Seng Index's we theorized a probable continuation of the rally in October, after some resistance, but the index just shoot up straight.
Resistance appeared last week, from an area considered a tail by our SHORT model, so it was not possible to make a forecast from there. 
The question now is: can the index re-start to rally from here? Or will it pull back more this coming week?


EQD | The HSI Rally: Go LONG Now or Wait?

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries</li>
<li>There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit</li>
<li>Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth</li>
</ul>


We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries
There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit
Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth


Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

<ul>
<li>There is a sharp and accelerating rise in deposits with Hong Kong's banks, likely from Mainland China in part</li>
<li>There is no offsetting lending volume, where loan growth remains still negative, not a positive combination for net interest income</li>
<li>The LDR for Hong Kong's banks is fast approaching the distressed levels seen during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC)</li>
</ul>


There is a sharp and accelerating rise in deposits with Hong Kong's banks, likely from Mainland China in part
There is no offsetting lending volume, where loan growth remains still negative, not a positive combination for net interest income
The LDR for Hong Kong's banks is fast approaching the distressed levels seen during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC)


HK Banks - Surging Deposits and Contracting Loans, Sees LDR Fall Toward GFC Levels

Hong Kong

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited provides a comprehensive range of financial products and services to retail and corporate customers.  Its products include retail banking, corporate banking, and treasury services.  The Company operates its branches in Hong Kong and China.

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BOC Hong Kong (BOC HK) (2388 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 6th): Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Ex-Japan: Extreme Stocks

Screening for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Asia Ex-Japan equity funds.

Steven Holden

EQD | The HSI Rally: Go LONG Now or Wait?

The Hang Seng Index rally went vertical, then pulled back last week. Is this the right time to go in LONG? Or better wait for the index to pullback...

Nico Rosti

Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

There is a wide variance of domestic loan growth rates in Asian countries, one must be highly selective. There are implications for growth of net...

Daniel Tabbush

HK Banks - Surging Deposits and Contracting Loans, Sees LDR Fall Toward GFC Levels

Hong Kong's banks are seeing surge in deposits, likely from Mainland China, but this is not accompanied by loan growth, where this is in...

Daniel Tabbush

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52-week Range

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