Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's 2025 trade-in subsidies now include smartphones and ICE vehicles, but with a price caveat that excludes Apple, positive for Xiaomi and JD.com;</li>
<li>China limits export of LFP battery technology, but lowers import tax again;</li>
<li>ICE-Turned EV makers continue to enjoy product superiority. The watchouts for 2025 are BYD and Geely. Tesla's sales may peter out from C2H25.</li>
</ul>


China's 2025 trade-in subsidies now include smartphones and ICE vehicles, but with a price caveat that excludes Apple, positive for Xiaomi and JD.com;
China limits export of LFP battery technology, but lowers import tax again;
ICE-Turned EV makers continue to enjoy product superiority. The watchouts for 2025 are BYD and Geely. Tesla's sales may peter out from C2H25.


Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (GUM HK)</a> is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China. Guming focuses on the mid-priced freshly-made tea beverage market with product prices typically ranging between RMB10-18.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we had looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we discuss its refiling updates.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (GUM HK) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China. Guming focuses on the mid-priced freshly-made tea beverage market with product prices typically ranging between RMB10-18.
In our earlier notes, we had looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we discuss its refiling updates.


Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Showing Some Recent Weakness in Margins

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba

<ul>
<li>Inclusion of smartphone/tablet/smartwatch to trade-in subsidy will drive high single digit incremental growth for JD and Xiaomi, low single digit incremental growth for Alibaba in 2025;</li>
<li>New Year's Day transportation volume down, hotel consumption up, constituting a decent performance for a shorter holiday vs. last year. This bodes well for tourism for Chinese New Year; </li>
<li>China stepped up its signaling effort to Trump Administration that trade war measures will be retaliated. This week China added LFP battery technology to its own entity list.</li>
</ul>


Inclusion of smartphone/tablet/smartwatch to trade-in subsidy will drive high single digit incremental growth for JD and Xiaomi, low single digit incremental growth for Alibaba in 2025;
New Year's Day transportation volume down, hotel consumption up, constituting a decent performance for a shorter holiday vs. last year. This bodes well for tourism for Chinese New Year; 
China stepped up its signaling effort to Trump Administration that trade war measures will be retaliated. This week China added LFP battery technology to its own entity list.


China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (1/2025): Xiaomi, JD, BABA, TRIP, ATAT, CATL, BYD, BEKE, Luckin, BZ

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Alibaba’s Freshippo remained profitable and double-digit growth in the past nine months.</li>
<li>Brazil labor authorities are investigating BYD’s construction site for “slave-like condition”.</li>
<li>Tencent Music will compensate MCSC (Music Copyright Society of China) for the unauthorized usage of music copy rights.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba’s Freshippo remained profitable and double-digit growth in the past nine months.
Brazil labor authorities are investigating BYD’s construction site for “slave-like condition”.
Tencent Music will compensate MCSC (Music Copyright Society of China) for the unauthorized usage of music copy rights.


China Consumption Weekly (6 Jan 2025): Alibaba, BYD, Tencent Music, JD.com, Mixue

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

Price Gauge
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BYD (1211 HK)

Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

2025 trade-in subsidies favor Xiaomi and JD.com. China's new measure at limiting LFP battery exports added on export bans. Geely is new player at...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Showing Some Recent Weakness in Margins

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss its refiling updates.

Clarence Chu

HK Short Interest Weekly: Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th and highlight short interest changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (1/2025): Xiaomi, JD, BABA, TRIP, ATAT, CATL, BYD, BEKE, Luckin, BZ

Inclusion of smartphones in trade-in subsidy boosts growth for JD and Xiaomi, while China signals retaliation in trade war with US. Good signs for...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Consumption Weekly (6 Jan 2025): Alibaba, BYD, Tencent Music, JD.com, Mixue

Alibaba’s Freshippo remained profitable in the past nine months. Brazil authorities is investigating BYD’s “slave-like condition”. Tencent Music...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (2/2025): Tesla Heading into a Different Chinese EV Market

2025 trade-in subsidies favor Xiaomi and JD.com. China's new measure at limiting LFP battery exports added on export bans. Geely is new player at...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Showing Some Recent Weakness in Margins

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss its refiling updates.

Clarence Chu

HK Short Interest Weekly: Weimob, Byd Electronic, Meituan, Baba

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 27th and highlight short interest changes in Weimob, Byd Electronic,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (1/2025): Xiaomi, JD, BABA, TRIP, ATAT, CATL, BYD, BEKE, Luckin, BZ

​Inclusion of smartphones in trade-in subsidy boosts growth for JD and Xiaomi, while China signals retaliation in trade war with US. Good signs for...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Consumption Weekly (6 Jan 2025): Alibaba, BYD, Tencent Music, JD.com, Mixue

Alibaba’s Freshippo remained profitable in the past nine months. Brazil authorities is investigating BYD’s “slave-like condition”. Tencent Music...

Ming Lu

Inclusion of smartphones in trade-in subsidy boosts growth for JD and Xiaomi, while China signals retaliation in trade war with US. Good signs for...