IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Get Nice Financial Group Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a> offer is conditional on the approval of the GNH/GNF shareholders. On 22 January, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a> shareholders approved the offer. </li>
<li>The GNF vote requires approval of the scheme by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The vote remains a low risk.   </li>
<li>The GNF vote is aided by the higher derating of peers (the median peer’s share price has declined 12.7%) compared to the decline in the implied offer value (10.4%).  </li>
</ul>


The Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) offer is conditional on the approval of the GNH/GNF shareholders. On 22 January, Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) shareholders approved the offer. 
The GNF vote requires approval of the scheme by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The vote remains a low risk.   
The GNF vote is aided by the higher derating of peers (the median peer’s share price has declined 12.7%) compared to the decline in the implied offer value (10.4%).  


Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)’s EGM Vote Passes, Next Up, the GNF Vote

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a>/GNF offer is conditional on the approval by GNH/GNF shareholders. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a>/GNH's shareholder vote is on 22 January. </li>
<li>The GNH vote will comfortably pass as Mr Hung, the controlling shareholder, represents 66.11% of outstanding shares, just shy of the 66.67% required voting threshold.   </li>
<li>The implied offer value has declined by 10%, broadly in line with the median decline in peer share prices. Therefore, the scheme vote remains low-risk. </li>
</ul>


The Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)/GNF offer is conditional on the approval by GNH/GNF shareholders. Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)/GNH's shareholder vote is on 22 January. 
The GNH vote will comfortably pass as Mr Hung, the controlling shareholder, represents 66.11% of outstanding shares, just shy of the 66.67% required voting threshold.   
The implied offer value has declined by 10%, broadly in line with the median decline in peer share prices. Therefore, the scheme vote remains low-risk. 


Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Attractive Spread Ahead of Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)’s EGM Vote

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a>/GNF’s scheme offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a>/GNH is at 4 GNH shares per GNF share + HK$0.50 scheme dividend.</li>
<li>The implied GNF offer value is HK$1.116, a 39.5% premium to the last close. The offer is conditional on the GNH/GNF shareholder approval, which is low risk</li>
<li>The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios, precedent transactions, and peer multiples. This is a done deal and is likely the first step towards privatising GNH.</li>
</ul>



Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)/GNF’s scheme offer from Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)/GNH is at 4 GNH shares per GNF share + HK$0.50 scheme dividend.
The implied GNF offer value is HK$1.116, a 39.5% premium to the last close. The offer is conditional on the GNH/GNF shareholder approval, which is low risk
The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios, precedent transactions, and peer multiples. This is a done deal and is likely the first step towards privatising GNH.


Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) Share Exchange Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a> are on a trading halt “<em>in relation to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers.</em>”</li>
<li>Mr Hung (Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH at this time.   </li>
<li>We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price. Our methods suggest a price range of HK$0.179-0.251 per share, a 16.3%-62.8% premium to the last close</li>
</ul>



Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) and Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) are on a trading halt “in relation to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers.”
Mr Hung (Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH at this time.   
We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price. Our methods suggest a price range of HK$0.179-0.251 per share, a 16.3%-62.8% premium to the last close


Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Reload with a Privatisation Offer?

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Where so many of us are focused on the impact of China slowdown on its banks, it is worth highlighting the risks to Hong Kong’s banks. But what we are focused on here is their domestic lending, not the stuff booked locally but for use in China. For most, the perception is that Hong Kong banks have little risk due to a strong emphasis on mortgage lending, but we are not convinced this is holding up, and we believe it will worsen.  Of course, the new marginally higher interest costs in Hong Kong…</p>

Where so many of us are focused on the impact of China slowdown on its banks, it is worth highlighting the risks to Hong Kong’s banks. But what we are focused on here is their domestic lending, not the stuff booked locally but for use in China. For most, the perception is that Hong Kong banks have little risk due to a strong emphasis on mortgage lending, but we are not convinced this is holding up, and we believe it will worsen.  Of course, the new marginally higher interest costs in Hong Kong…

Domestic NPLs in Hong Kong Can Surprise – Not Just Those in Neighboring China

Hong Kong

CASH Financial Services Group Limited operates as a financial services conglomerate. The Company provides a comprehensive range of financial products and quality services, comprising mobile and premium trading, investment banking and corporate finance advisory, wealth and asset management, finance technology platform, and other services.

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Cash Financial Services Group (510 HK)

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)’s EGM Vote Passes, Next Up, the GNF Vote

The GNF scheme vote remains low-risk, aided by peers' material derating. The current gross spread of 8.7% partly reflects the difficulty of playing...

Arun George

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Attractive Spread Ahead of Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)’s EGM Vote

The GNH vote will comfortably pass, and the GNF scheme vote remains low-risk. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread for an end-March...

Arun George

Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Reload with a Privatisation Offer?

Mr Hung Hon Man (founder and Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH now.

Arun George

Domestic NPLs in Hong Kong Can Surprise – Not Just Those in Neighboring China

Where so many of us are focused on the impact of China slowdown on its banks, it is worth highlighting the risks to Hong Kong’s banks. But what we...

Daniel Tabbush

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)’s EGM Vote Passes, Next Up, the GNF Vote

The GNF scheme vote remains low-risk, aided by peers' material derating. The current gross spread of 8.7% partly reflects the difficulty of playing...

Arun George

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Attractive Spread Ahead of Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)’s EGM Vote

The GNH vote will comfortably pass, and the GNF scheme vote remains low-risk. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread for an end-March...

Arun George

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) Share Exchange Offer

The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios, precedent transactions, and peer multiples. This is a done deal and is...

Arun George

Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Reload with a Privatisation Offer?

Mr Hung Hon Man (founder and Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH now.

Arun George

Domestic NPLs in Hong Kong Can Surprise – Not Just Those in Neighboring China

Where so many of us are focused on the impact of China slowdown on its banks, it is worth highlighting the risks to Hong Kong’s banks. But what we...

Daniel Tabbush