Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The June 2023 index review results for the Hang Seng index can be expected after the close on 12th May 2023.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-for-hang-seng-index-mar-23-healthcare-names-could-dominate" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:94998" rel="noopener">Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 23: Healthcare Names Could Dominate</a>, we expected some healthcare names to be added but there were no index changes in March 2023. </li>
<li>Although the index methodology is highly subjective and predicting index changes is extremely tricky, the HSI is an important index in the region and here are our thoughts for June. </li>
</ul>


The June 2023 index review results for the Hang Seng index can be expected after the close on 12th May 2023.
In Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 23: Healthcare Names Could Dominate, we expected some healthcare names to be added but there were no index changes in March 2023. 
Although the index methodology is highly subjective and predicting index changes is extremely tricky, the HSI is an important index in the region and here are our thoughts for June. 


Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Jun 23: Beigene Looks Interesting

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.6% as of Feb 24th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.0ppt week on week, led by utilities, health care, financials and offset by information technology, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Xinjiang Gold Wind, China Shenhua, CICC, GWM, Shanghai Fudan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.6% as of Feb 24th.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.0ppt week on week, led by utilities, health care, financials and offset by information technology, industrials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Xinjiang Gold Wind, China Shenhua, CICC, GWM, Shanghai Fudan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 24th): Xinjiang Gold Wind, China Shenhua, CICC, GWM, Shanghai Fudan

Founder of Antler Capital

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We welcome the regulators' formalization of financial asset classifications. This will gradually remove regulatory arbitrage and pave the way for further bank reintermediation.</li>
<li>The new rules will likely have limited impacts on bond holdings that have active secondary markets, but illiquid debt investment plans will come under more intense regulatory and auditor scrutiny.</li>
<li>We see an impact of 10-15bp on the listed banks' reported NPL ratios. That said, a handful of banks may be at risk of capital shortages if the environment worsens. </li>
</ul>


We welcome the regulators' formalization of financial asset classifications. This will gradually remove regulatory arbitrage and pave the way for further bank reintermediation.
The new rules will likely have limited impacts on bond holdings that have active secondary markets, but illiquid debt investment plans will come under more intense regulatory and auditor scrutiny.
We see an impact of 10-15bp on the listed banks' reported NPL ratios. That said, a handful of banks may be at risk of capital shortages if the environment worsens. 


Chinese Banks: New Asset Classification Rules | You Can Run but You Can't Hide

Equity Bottom-Up

People's Insurance (PICC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>To build on our earlier work on the insurance space -- and as we search for beta-neutral relative value plays -- we look at PICC Group-H's SOTP valuation.</li>
<li>The group's life and health business has historically traded at a steep implicit discount to China Life-H, perhaps deservedly so. But price dislocations do occur from time to time.</li>
<li>We share our cheat sheet on how we approach these opportunities, which are often good for a quick 10% trade. As usual, we highlight the potential risks as well.</li>
</ul>


To build on our earlier work on the insurance space -- and as we search for beta-neutral relative value plays -- we look at PICC Group-H's SOTP valuation.
The group's life and health business has historically traded at a steep implicit discount to China Life-H, perhaps deservedly so. But price dislocations do occur from time to time.
We share our cheat sheet on how we approach these opportunities, which are often good for a quick 10% trade. As usual, we highlight the potential risks as well.


PICC Group / PICC P&C Pair: A Cheat Sheet to Improve Your Batting Average

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of China Mobile, BYD, Simcere, ICBC, CNOOC, Meituan, Geely, CCB, Country Garden Services, Anta. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of China Mobile, BYD, Simcere, ICBC, CNOOC, Meituan, Geely, CCB, Country Garden Services, Anta. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: Health Care Led Inflows in Jan

China

China Life Insurance Co., Limited offers a wide range of life, accident, and health insurance products and services.

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China Life Insurance Co (Adr) (LFC US)

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Jun 23: Beigene Looks Interesting

I have presented 24 Names from Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary, Properties, Utilities, and Conglomerates as high-likelihood names. Quiddity's...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 24th): Xinjiang Gold Wind, China Shenhua, CICC, GWM, Shanghai Fudan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Xinjiang Gold Wind, China Shenhua, CICC, GWM, Shanghai Fudan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chinese Banks: New Asset Classification Rules | You Can Run but You Can't Hide

New asset classification rules have officially been announced. We see this as a long-term positive for the sector as regulators continue to bring...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

PICC Group / PICC P&C Pair: A Cheat Sheet to Improve Your Batting Average

PICC Group / PICC P&C are an interesting pair that often provides investors with short windows for relative value trades. From the group's SOTP...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: Health Care Led Inflows in Jan

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for January and highlight flows for China Mobile, BYD, Simcere, ICBC, CNOOC, Meituan, Geely, CCB, Country...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)