IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>’s VGO from Boyu Capital at HK$12.00 per share has been declared unconditional. Boyu has waived the 7.71% valid acceptances condition. </li>
<li>Boyu has likely two aims for the unusual VGO – secure anti-trust approval and a re-rating by becoming the largest shareholder. Anti-trust approval was received on 8 November.  </li>
<li>Acceptances of 0.0081% of outstanding shares reflect the unattractive offer. The final closing date is 22 November. At the last close price, the spread to the offer is 2.7%. </li>
</ul>



Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)’s VGO from Boyu Capital at HK$12.00 per share has been declared unconditional. Boyu has waived the 7.71% valid acceptances condition. 
Boyu has likely two aims for the unusual VGO – secure anti-trust approval and a re-rating by becoming the largest shareholder. Anti-trust approval was received on 8 November.  
Acceptances of 0.0081% of outstanding shares reflect the unattractive offer. The final closing date is 22 November. At the last close price, the spread to the offer is 2.7%. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>’s VGO from Boyu Capital is now open at HK$12.00 per share. The first closing date is 14 November. The IFA says it's fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The offer is conditional on 7.71% valid acceptances and anti-trust approval. The conditions can be waived. The offeror has not received irrevocables.</li>
<li>The offer is unattractive, but the low threshold and peer multiple derating suggest a high probability of success. At the current price, the spread to the offer is 3.4%. </li>
</ul>



Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)’s VGO from Boyu Capital is now open at HK$12.00 per share. The first closing date is 14 November. The IFA says it's fair and reasonable. 
The offer is conditional on 7.71% valid acceptances and anti-trust approval. The conditions can be waived. The offeror has not received irrevocables.
The offer is unattractive, but the low threshold and peer multiple derating suggest a high probability of success. At the current price, the spread to the offer is 3.4%. 


Jinke Smart’s VGO from Boyu Capital: Open with First Close of 14 November

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Currently at 69 index members, we just could reach 80 constituents at the December rebalance. That would leave the index committee to plan the move to 100 constituents in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 potential inclusions to the index in December. One-way turnover is just under 4% and inclusions of all stocks will increase index market cap coverage significantly.</li>
<li>Shorts are more than 3% of free float on five of the potential inclusions and these stocks could see some short covering ahead of the announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


Currently at 69 index members, we just could reach 80 constituents at the December rebalance. That would leave the index committee to plan the move to 100 constituents in 2023.
We list 10 potential inclusions to the index in December. One-way turnover is just under 4% and inclusions of all stocks will increase index market cap coverage significantly.
Shorts are more than 3% of free float on five of the potential inclusions and these stocks could see some short covering ahead of the announcement of the changes.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Small Step or Giant Leap?

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-space-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo (2602 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$49.35 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$5.6 billion (US$713 million). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>Notwithstanding the industry headwinds, the H Shares of peers with financially sound parentco backgrounds are trading above the listing prices.</li>
<li>Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price remains attractive compared to peers with financially sound parentco backgrounds. </li>
</ul>



Onewo (2602 HK) priced its H Share at HK$49.35 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$5.6 billion (US$713 million). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.
Notwithstanding the industry headwinds, the H Shares of peers with financially sound parentco backgrounds are trading above the listing prices.
Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price remains attractive compared to peers with financially sound parentco backgrounds. 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-space-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo (2602 HK)</a> (OST) raised around US$733m in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18368:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK)</a> . </li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, amongst the residential community service providers in China, OST ranked first. It also ranked first in the commercial space integrated services market in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Onewo (2602 HK) (OST) raised around US$733m in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK) . 
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, amongst the residential community service providers in China, OST ranked first. It also ranked first in the commercial space integrated services market in China.
In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


Onewo Space-Tech IPO Trading - Weak but Relatively Better Demand

China

China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited offer property management services. The Company provides residential property management, community value added services, commercial operational services, commercial subleasing services, and other services. China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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China Resources Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK)

Jinke Smart (9666 HK) VGO Unconditional

Boyu has waived the 7.71% valid acceptances condition. The final closing date is 22 November. At the last close price, the spread to the offer is...

Arun George

Jinke Smart’s VGO from Boyu Capital: Open with First Close of 14 November

The offer is unattractive, but the low acceptance threshold and peer multiple derating suggest a high probability of success. At the current price,...

Arun George

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Small Step or Giant Leap?

Currently at 73 constituents, we could get to 80 stocks at the Dec rebalance. That would leave the slate clean to plan the move to 100 stocks in...

Brian Freitas

Onewo IPO: Trading Debut

Despite peer multiple derating since the prospectus release, the IPO price remains attractive compared to peers with financially sound parentco...

Arun George

Onewo Space-Tech IPO Trading - Weak but Relatively Better Demand

Onewo (2602 HK) (OST) raised around US$733m in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by China Vanke Co...

Sumeet Singh

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