Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Kuaishou, CMB, Tencent, SMIC, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Kuaishou, CMB, Tencent, SMIC, Xiaomi.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 28th): Alibaba, Kuaishou, CMB, Tencent, SMIC, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, China Mobile, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, ICBC, Wuxi Biologics.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for SMIC, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, China Mobile, Meituan, Innovent Biologics, ICBC, Wuxi Biologics.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 17th): SMIC, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, China Mobile

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The third batch of VBP results of the National TCM Patent Medicines were released. Some products experienced over 90% price reduction. The price decline of exclusive varieties was moderate.</li>
<li>The VBP results of cochlear implants and peripheral vascular stents were released. Both foreign and domestic companies participated in the VBP actively, hoping to increase market share in China. </li>
<li>The key is to see whether 2024 full-year performance can meet expectations, which is the bottom line for WuXi Bio. Without a definitive long-term logic, short-term trading is recommended.</li>
</ul>


The third batch of VBP results of the National TCM Patent Medicines were released. Some products experienced over 90% price reduction. The price decline of exclusive varieties was moderate.
The VBP results of cochlear implants and peripheral vascular stents were released. Both foreign and domestic companies participated in the VBP actively, hoping to increase market share in China. 
The key is to see whether 2024 full-year performance can meet expectations, which is the bottom line for WuXi Bio. Without a definitive long-term logic, short-term trading is recommended.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.5)-TCM VBP Update, Medical Device VBP Result Is Out, WuXi Bio's Outlook

Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Medical Insurance Bureau of Hubei Province issued two documents on the VBP of TCM patent medicines.Shineway’s core product Qing Kai Ling is included, which would bring pressure on performance.</li>
<li>It's time to be cautious about the outlook for GLP-1s. We may need to be mentally prepared in advance that the actual market size of GLP-1s is only US$100 billion.</li>
<li>Recent changes at the top of CNPGC have left some investors hopeful that China TCM will resolve horizontal competition as scheduled next year,but current bet on shares reversal isn't wise.</li>
</ul>


The Medical Insurance Bureau of Hubei Province issued two documents on the VBP of TCM patent medicines.Shineway’s core product Qing Kai Ling is included, which would bring pressure on performance.
It's time to be cautious about the outlook for GLP-1s. We may need to be mentally prepared in advance that the actual market size of GLP-1s is only US$100 billion.
Recent changes at the top of CNPGC have left some investors hopeful that China TCM will resolve horizontal competition as scheduled next year,but current bet on shares reversal isn't wise.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) - TCM VBP Update, GLP-1's Good Story Broke, China TCM's Sudden Rally

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The third batch of TCM VBP expansion and successive price reduction will continue to be implemented. The price dominance of exclusive TCM patent medicines may collapse based on this VBP.</li>
<li>Since 2019, the ADC drug market has entered a period of rapid growth, the significance of which is that the good story of ADC CXO is able to continue.</li>
<li>Innovent divested important subsidiary at low price, which apparently "irritated" investors. Valuation of Innovent will move towards traditional enterprise such as CSPC. Time to offload Innovent as investment logic changes.</li>
</ul>


The third batch of TCM VBP expansion and successive price reduction will continue to be implemented. The price dominance of exclusive TCM patent medicines may collapse based on this VBP.
Since 2019, the ADC drug market has entered a period of rapid growth, the significance of which is that the good story of ADC CXO is able to continue.
Innovent divested important subsidiary at low price, which apparently "irritated" investors. Valuation of Innovent will move towards traditional enterprise such as CSPC. Time to offload Innovent as investment logic changes.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.3) - TCM VBP Update, ADC CXO's Logic Is Solid, "Ugly Move" Of Innovent

China

China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) is the largest manufacturer of Chinese medicine injections, soft capsules, and granules in China.

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China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877 HK)

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 28th): Alibaba, Kuaishou, CMB, Tencent, SMIC, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Kuaishou, CMB, Tencent, SMIC, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 17th): SMIC, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for SMIC (981 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.5)-TCM VBP Update, Medical Device VBP Result Is Out, WuXi Bio's Outlook

VBP result of TCM Patent Medicine is released. VBP of cochlear implant/peripheral vascular stent is good for companies. Only when Li Ge buys big...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) - TCM VBP Update, GLP-1's Good Story Broke, China TCM's Sudden Rally

Hubei's TCM patent medicine VBP will impact Shineway's performance. Caution needed on GLP-1 market outlook. There's no evidence to support CNPGC’s...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.3) - TCM VBP Update, ADC CXO's Logic Is Solid, "Ugly Move" Of Innovent

The 3rd batch of TCM VBP will hit the performance of exclusive TCM varieties.Due to the "ugly move" of Innovent's management, we advise investors...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 28th): Alibaba, Kuaishou, CMB, Tencent, SMIC, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Kuaishou, CMB, Tencent, SMIC, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 17th): SMIC, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Tencent, Pop Mart Intl, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for SMIC (981 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.5)-TCM VBP Update, Medical Device VBP Result Is Out, WuXi Bio's Outlook

VBP result of TCM Patent Medicine is released. VBP of cochlear implant/peripheral vascular stent is good for companies. Only when Li Ge buys big...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) - TCM VBP Update, GLP-1's Good Story Broke, China TCM's Sudden Rally

​Hubei's TCM patent medicine VBP will impact Shineway's performance. Caution needed on GLP-1 market outlook. There's no evidence to support CNPGC’s...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.3) - TCM VBP Update, ADC CXO's Logic Is Solid, "Ugly Move" Of Innovent

The 3rd batch of TCM VBP will hit the performance of exclusive TCM varieties.Due to the "ugly move" of Innovent's management, we advise investors...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hubei's TCM patent medicine VBP will impact Shineway's performance. Caution needed on GLP-1 market outlook. There's no evidence to support CNPGC’s...