External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving affordability, rising urbanisation and penetration beyond Tier-I locations</li><li>Driven by the combination of a sustained funding cost advantage, structural shift in sourcing models, renewed focus on retail HL, and transient rate cycle tailwinds, banks (~67% of HL market) are likely to continue dominating the prime HL segment</li><li>Affordable-focused HFCs (~INR1trn, 4% of HL market) have emerged as high-growth, high-RoA businesses, however, given the superior economics, this segment is witnessing rising competitive intensity</li><li>Going forward, the market micro-structure is likely to reflect newer collaborative models which are still evolving.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving affordability, rising urbanisation and penetration beyond Tier-I locationsDriven by the combination of a sustained funding cost advantage, structural shift in sourcing models, renewed focus on retail HL, and transient rate cycle tailwinds, banks (~67% of HL market) are likely to continue dominating the prime HL segmentAffordable-focused HFCs (~INR1trn, 4% of HL market) have emerged as high-growth, high-RoA businesses, however, given the superior economics, this segment is witnessing rising competitive intensityGoing forward, the market micro-structure is likely to reflect newer collaborative models which are still evolving.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Housing Finance: New market structures open up investment universe

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q3 adjusted PAT at INR 20bn came in above our estimate of INR 18.7bn, primarily due to higher-than-expected other income, even as its operational performance was in line with our estimates</li><li>M&amp;M’s performance highlights for YTDFY23 are: (1) steady market share revival in the UV segment every quarter on the back of its new launches (2) 90bps market share improvement in tractors to 41.4%, without compromising on margins (3) revival in market share in &lt;3.5T segment (4) continued leadership in e-3Ws with 65% market share in Q3</li><li>Also, it is commendable that M&amp;M has already achieved most of the targets it earmarked a couple of years back (including EPS CAGR, improvement in auto margins, RoE at 18%, calibrated asset allocation etc.) and management has indicated that it is now time to raise its targets from here on</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q3 adjusted PAT at INR 20bn came in above our estimate of INR 18.7bn, primarily due to higher-than-expected other income, even as its operational performance was in line with our estimatesM&amp;M’s performance highlights for YTDFY23 are: (1) steady market share revival in the UV segment every quarter on the back of its new launches (2) 90bps market share improvement in tractors to 41.4%, without compromising on margins (3) revival in market share in &lt;3.5T segment (4) continued leadership in e-3Ws with 65% market share in Q3Also, it is commendable that M&amp;M has already achieved most of the targets it earmarked a couple of years back (including EPS CAGR, improvement in auto margins, RoE at 18%, calibrated asset allocation etc.) and management has indicated that it is now time to raise its targets from here onContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, City Union Bank, NOCIL

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The management remains conservative on its growth outlook with the investment cycle yet to gather pace.</li><li>While CUB had earlier guided for a credit growth of 15-18% as it exits FY23, the management expects credit growth to be slightly lower in FY23, before picking up FY24E onwards.</li><li>While the bank continues to carry excess liquidity of Rs 2500-3000 Cr to push credit growth, it does not intend to further widen the credit-deposit growth gap.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The management remains conservative on its growth outlook with the investment cycle yet to gather pace.While CUB had earlier guided for a credit growth of 15-18% as it exits FY23, the management expects credit growth to be slightly lower in FY23, before picking up FY24E onwards.While the bank continues to carry excess liquidity of Rs 2500-3000 Cr to push credit growth, it does not intend to further widen the credit-deposit growth gap.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

City Union Bank Ltd. - Weak Quarter; Conservative Growth Outlook!

<ul><li>The credit growth momentum has continued to remain robust as is visible from the near decadal high systemic growth of ~17% YoY, driven by the continued traction in the Retail and SME segments.</li><li>On a segmental basis, Home loans, Auto loans and Credit card outstanding continue to grow well.</li><li>Corporate loans are showing gradual recovery, albeit on a weaker base.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The credit growth momentum has continued to remain robust as is visible from the near decadal high systemic growth of ~17% YoY, driven by the continued traction in the Retail and SME segments.On a segmental basis, Home loans, Auto loans and Credit card outstanding continue to grow well.Corporate loans are showing gradual recovery, albeit on a weaker base.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BFSI Q3FY23 Result Preview – Earnings Growth to Remain Strong!

<ul><li>SRF: We retain our ADD rating on SRF, with a target price of INR 2,650 on the back of (1) continued healthy performance from speciality chemicals business; (2) strong balance sheet; and (3) deployment of capex for high-growth speciality chemicals business over the next 3-4 years to tap opportunities emerging from the agrochemical and pharma industries</li><li>EBITDA/APAT were 24/24% below our estimates, owing to a 7% fall in revenue, substantially higher-than-expected raw material cost, offset by lower-than-expected depreciation and higher-than-expected other income. Marico: Marico posted an in-line performance on both revenue and EBITDA margin</li><li>Consolidated revenue was up 3% YoY while domestic revenue/volume were up 1/3% YoY (three-year revenue/volume CAGRs at 11/7% vs HUL’s 10/3%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SRF: We retain our ADD rating on SRF, with a target price of INR 2,650 on the back of (1) continued healthy performance from speciality chemicals business; (2) strong balance sheet; and (3) deployment of capex for high-growth speciality chemicals business over the next 3-4 years to tap opportunities emerging from the agrochemical and pharma industriesEBITDA/APAT were 24/24% below our estimates, owing to a 7% fall in revenue, substantially higher-than-expected raw material cost, offset by lower-than-expected depreciation and higher-than-expected other income. Marico: Marico posted an in-line performance on both revenue and EBITDA marginConsolidated revenue was up 3% YoY while domestic revenue/volume were up 1/3% YoY (three-year revenue/volume CAGRs at 11/7% vs HUL’s 10/3%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: SRF, Marico, TVS Motor, Hero Motocorp, City Union Bank

India

City Union Bank Ltd. is a full service bank. The Bank offers a wide range of banking and financial services across India, including both domestic and International banking services.

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City Union Bank (CUBK IN)

Housing Finance: New market structures open up investment universe

India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, City Union Bank, NOCIL

M&M Q3 adjusted PAT at INR 20bn came in above our estimate of INR 18.7bn, primarily due to higher-than-expected other income, even as its...

HDFC Securities

City Union Bank Ltd. - Weak Quarter; Conservative Growth Outlook!

While CUB had earlier guided for a credit growth of 15-18% as it exits FY23, the management expects credit growth to be slightly lower in FY23,...

Axis Direct

BFSI Q3FY23 Result Preview – Earnings Growth to Remain Strong!

On a segmental basis, Home loans, Auto loans and Credit card outstanding continue to grow well. Corporate loans are showing gradual recovery,...

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: SRF, Marico, TVS Motor, Hero Motocorp, City Union Bank

Consolidated revenue was up 3% YoY while domestic revenue/volume were up 1/3% YoY (three-year revenue/volume CAGRs at 11/7% vs HUL’s 10/3%)

HDFC Securities

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