Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Throughout 2024, we’ve witnessed tight trading ranges across various markets: oil, FX, and Credit spreads.</li><li>Notably, Semiconductors (light blue), Gold (depicted in blue), High-Yield OAS (in red), and Bitcoin (represented in black) exhibit remarkably similar chart patterns.</li><li>In essence, these assets no longer offer diversification benefits; they have effectively become indistinguishable trades.</li></ul>

Throughout 2024, we’ve witnessed tight trading ranges across various markets: oil, FX, and Credit spreads.Notably, Semiconductors (light blue), Gold (depicted in blue), High-Yield OAS (in red), and Bitcoin (represented in black) exhibit remarkably similar chart patterns.In essence, these assets no longer offer diversification benefits; they have effectively become indistinguishable trades.

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Negative roll yield killing BCOM returns, even as spot has performed OK</li><li>We need to see some serious stimulus out of China for broad commodities to rally</li><li>Macro data turning bullish in shipping and the Container output from Shanghai is showing signs of a STRONG rebound</li></ul>

Negative roll yield killing BCOM returns, even as spot has performed OKWe need to see some serious stimulus out of China for broad commodities to rallyMacro data turning bullish in shipping and the Container output from Shanghai is showing signs of a STRONG rebound

Commodity & Shipping Watch: Time to get back into the shipping bets?

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

<ul><li>Welcome to this week’s edition of our EM-angled editorial, which comes hot on the heels of the PBOC Key Ministry Briefing.</li><li>So, where better to turn first than China?</li><li>Findings in brief: More stimulus for the Chinese economy and markets; Spill-overs to manufacturing/China sensitive geographies and currencies; Both EM (particularly Asian) equity and FX appear cheap.</li></ul>

Welcome to this week’s edition of our EM-angled editorial, which comes hot on the heels of the PBOC Key Ministry Briefing.So, where better to turn first than China?Findings in brief: More stimulus for the Chinese economy and markets; Spill-overs to manufacturing/China sensitive geographies and currencies; Both EM (particularly Asian) equity and FX appear cheap.

EM Stimulus Showdown: From Beijing with Boost to EM?

Geopolitical Analyst, Steno Research, Steno Research

Mikkel Rosenvold

Geopolitical Analyst, Steno Research

<ul><li>Welcome to this week’s Great Game where we turn our attention to China.</li><li>The Communist Party is annual National People’s Congress where Premier Li Qiang (Xi’s right hand man) delivered a very noteworthy speech on the Central Committee’s financial and political plans.</li><li>Watching a speech from a Chinese politician is a very different beast from watching top US politicians address the masses.</li></ul>

Welcome to this week’s Great Game where we turn our attention to China.The Communist Party is annual National People’s Congress where Premier Li Qiang (Xi’s right hand man) delivered a very noteworthy speech on the Central Committee’s financial and political plans.Watching a speech from a Chinese politician is a very different beast from watching top US politicians address the masses.

Podcast hosted by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough, Real Conversations

Real Conversations

Podcast hosted by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough

Hedgeye is an investment research and financial media company founded in 2008. Our core principles are transparency, accountability and trust. Hedgeye’s Real Conversations series, hosted by CEO Keith McCullough, brings together the brightest minds in the business to cut through the noise and discuss the financial market moves that actually matter.LEGALThe opinions expressed in Hedgeye Real Conversations are those of the individual speaking and not of Hedgeye, and should not be construed as specific investment advice. Hedgeye® is a registered trademark. All Hedegye Real Conversations are the intellectual property of Hedgeye. All rights reserved.

<ul><li>Bullish trend in China and interest rates, with signaling processes indicating potential upward movement</li><li>Focus on risk management and waiting for corrections before buying or selling</li><li>Emphasis on long cyclicality and avoiding rate-sensitive sectors likely to be negatively impacted by rising interest rates</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Bullish trend in China and interest rates, with signaling processes indicating potential upward movementFocus on risk management and waiting for corrections before buying or sellingEmphasis on long cyclicality and avoiding rate-sensitive sectors likely to be negatively impacted by rising interest ratesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

China

The Chinese renminbi (yuan) is the official currency of The People's Republic of China. 

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Are We Heading for a Volatility Event?

Notably, Semiconductors (light blue), Gold (depicted in blue), High-Yield OAS (in red), and Bitcoin (represented in black) exhibit remarkably...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Commodity & Shipping Watch: Time to get back into the shipping bets?

Negative roll yield killing BCOM returns, even as spot has performed OKWe need to see some serious stimulus out of China for broad...

Steno Research

EM Stimulus Showdown: From Beijing with Boost to EM?

Welcome to this week’s edition of our EM-angled editorial, which comes hot on the heels of the PBOC Key Ministry Briefing. So, where better to...

Steno Research

3 Take-Aways from Li Qiang’s Speech

Welcome to this week’s Great Game where we turn our attention to China. The Communist Party is annual National People’s Congress where Premier Li...

Steno Research

The Macro Show | February 27, 2024

The morning started early with a call at 4:30 AM, discussing China's bullish trend, potential interest rate hikes, and sector impacts, leading to...

Real Conversations

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