Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We discussed in last week's June 19 report how bullish price and RS trends on Israel's TA-125 was our tell that global equities were looking past Israel-Iran tensions.</li>
<li>Now completely in the rear-view mirror.  We also discussed how we were expecting short-term support on ACWI-US at $123-$123.50 (6.5-month base support), and ACWI-US bottomed at $123.20 on Monday.</li>
<li>As a result, we remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
</ul>


We discussed in last week's June 19 report how bullish price and RS trends on Israel's TA-125 was our tell that global equities were looking past Israel-Iran tensions.
Now completely in the rear-view mirror.  We also discussed how we were expecting short-term support on ACWI-US at $123-$123.50 (6.5-month base support), and ACWI-US bottomed at $123.20 on Monday.
As a result, we remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).


Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer, Wistron, Asia Vital Components.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer, Wistron, Asia Vital Components.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated holding was USD1,066.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,797mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Wistron, Asia Vital Components, Delta Electronics, Elite Material, Evergreen Marine, Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated holding was USD1,066.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,797mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Wistron, Asia Vital Components, Delta Electronics, Elite Material, Evergreen Marine, Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 20th): TSMC, Wistron, Asia Vital Components, Delta Electronics

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 13th. The aggregated holding was USD1,057.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD392mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Mediatek, Asia Vital Components, United Integrated Services, Eva Airways, Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Chicony Electronics, Ctbc Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 13th. The aggregated holding was USD1,057.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD392mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Mediatek, Asia Vital Components, United Integrated Services, Eva Airways, Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, Yang Ming Marine, Chicony Electronics, Ctbc Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 13th): TSMC, Mediatek, Asia Vital Components

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 13th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Jinan Acetate Chemical, Novatek Microelectronics, Compeq Manufacturing, Nanya Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 13th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.7bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Jinan Acetate Chemical, Novatek Microelectronics, Compeq Manufacturing, Nanya Technology.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 13th): Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

Taiwan

CTBC Financial Holding Company Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides a variety of banking and financial services, including deposit, loan, guarantee, international banking, trust banking, credit card, investment banking, safety deposit box, and Internet banking services.

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CTBC Financial Holding (2891 TT)

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding

Downgrading Germany and Ireland; Global Technology Still Leading; Crucial Base Supports Holding on $ACWI ($123-123.50), $EEM ($46)

Vermilion Research

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 20th): Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek Computer

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Asustek...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 20th): TSMC, Wistron, Asia Vital Components, Delta Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Wistron (3231 TT), Asia Vital...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 13th): TSMC, Mediatek, Asia Vital Components

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Mediatek (2454 TT), Asia Vital...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 13th): Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Cathay Financial (2882 TT), Fubon Financial...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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P/E

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